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30/06/23 Briefing


The S&P 500 futures are up 16 points and are trading 0.4% above fair value. The Nasdaq 100 futures are up 72 points and are trading 0.5% above fair value. The Dow Jones Industrial Average futures are up 89 points and are trading 0.3% above fair value.

The last day of the second quarter has arrived and thus far it is going like most days of the second quarter, which is to say the stock market is expected to head higher at the open. Fittingly, Apple (AAPL) will be a leader at the start. Shares of AAPL are trading 0.9% higher, pushing them above a $3 trillion market capitalization, after Citigroup began coverage of the stock with a Buy rating and $240 price target.

Modest gains in other mega-cap stocks have helped underpin the futures trade, more than offsetting some weakness in Nike (NKE) following its earnings report.

The May Personal Income and Spending Report is the featured economic release at 8:30 a.m. ET. That report will also include the PCE Price Index and Core-PCE Price Index, which is the Fed's preferred inflation gauge. Overnight, China's June Manufacturing PMI checked in at 49.0, as expected, yet that remains below the expansion line of 50.0. Separately, headline inflation in the eurozone improved to 5.5% year-over-year in June from 6.1%, but core inflation moved up to 5.4% year-over-year from 5.3%.

The 2-yr Treasury note yield is up four basis points to 4.92% and the 10-yr note yield is up three basis points to 3.88%. The U.S. Dollar Index is up 0.1% to 103.40.

Today's economic data includes:

  • 8:30 a.m. ET: May Personal Income (Briefing.com consensus 0.4%; prior 0.4%), Personal Spending (Briefing.com consensus 0.3%; prior 0.8%), PCE Price Index (Briefing.com consensus 0.1%; prior 0.4%), and Core-PCE Price Index (Briefing.com consensus 0.3%; prior 0.4%)

  • 10:00 a.m. ET: June University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment - Final (Briefing.com consensus 63.9; prior 63.9)

In corporate news:

  • Nike (NKE 110.10, -3.27, -2.9%): misses by $0.02, beats on revs, gross margin decreased 140 bps yr/yr, inventories flat yr/yr, Greater China revenue up 25% in constant currency

  • Progress Software (PRGS 55.13, +0.25, +0.5%): beats by $0.16, beats on revs; guides AugQ EPS above consensus, revs above consensus; guides FY23 EPS above consensus, revs above consensus

  • Apple (AAPL 191.20, +1.61, +0.9%): Citigroup starts coverage with a Buy rating and $240 price target

  • Adobe (ADBE 480.00, -3.77, -0.8%): UK CMA refers case involving Adobe (ADBE) acquisition of Figma to phase two

  • Dominion Energy (D 50.60, -1.22, -2.4%): sees Q2 EPS of $0.44-0.50, down from prior guidance of $0.58-0.68. The revised guidance reflects the estimated impact of historically mild weather, unplanned outages at the Millstone Power Station, and positive factors such as lower costs.

  • Smart Global Holdings (SGH 27.66, +1.03, +3.9%): beats by $0.26, beats on revs; guides AugQ EPS in-line, revs in-line

  • Bausch & Lomb Corp. (BLCO 18.76, -0.42, -2.2%): will pay $1.75 bln for eye drug from Novartis (NVS), according to The Wall Street Journal

Reviewing overnight developments:

  • Equity indices in the Asia-Pacific region ended ended the week on a mostly higher note. Japan's Nikkei: -0.1% (+1.2% for the week), Hong Kong's Hang Seng: -0.1% (+0.1% for the week), China's Shanghai Composite: +0.6% (+0.1% for the week), India's Sensex: +1.3% (+2.8% for the week), South Korea's Kospi: +0.6% (-0.2% for the week), Australia's ASX All Ordinaries: +0.2% (+1.6% for the week).

  • In economic data:

  • China's June Manufacturing PMI 49.0, as expected (last 48.8) and Non-Manufacturing PMI 53.2 (expected 53.7; last 54.5)

  • Japan's June CPI 2.3% yr/yr (last 2.4%). June Tokyo CPI 3.1% yr/yr (expected 3.8%; last 3.2%) and Tokyo Core CPI 3.2% yr/yr (expected 3.3%; last 3.2%). May Industrial Production -1.6% m/m (expected -1.0%; last 0.7%), May Unemployment Rate 2.6%, as expected (last 2.6%) and May jobs/applications ratio 1.31 (expected 1.32; last 1.32). May Housing Starts 3.5% yr/yr (expected -2.2%; last -11.9%) and Construction Orders 4.2% yr/yr (expected 7.0%; last 16.2%)

  • South Korea's May Industrial Production 3.2% m/m (expected 2.1%; last -0.6%); -7.3% yr/yr (expected -7.7%; last -9.0%). May Retail Sales 0.4% m/m (expected -0.6%; last -2.6%) and May Service Sector Output -0.1% m/m (expected 0.1%; last -0.5%)

  • Australia's May Housing Credit 0.3% m/m (last 0.4%) and Private Sector Credit 0.4% m/m, as expected (last 0.4%)


  • In news:

  • China's Manufacturing PMI remained in contractionary territory for the third consecutive month in the reading for June.

  • Reuters reported that the U.S. will block exports of some chip equipment from the Netherlands from being utilized in certain facilities in China.

  • China Securities Journal speculated that more measures will be introduced to support the property market.



  • Major European indices trade in positive territory. STOXX Europe 600: +1.1% (+1.8% for the week), Germany's DAX: +1.2% (+1.9% for the week), U.K.'s FTSE 100: +0.7% (+0.8% for the week), France's CAC 40: +1.0% (+3.1% for the week), Italy's FTSE MIB: +1.1% (+3.8% for the week), Spain's IBEX 35: +1.1% (+3.7% for the week).

  • In economic data:

  • Eurozone's June CPI 0.3% m/m (expected 0.0%; last 0.0%); 5.5% yr/yr (expected 5.6%; last 6.1%). May Core CPI 0.3% m/m (expected 0.7%; last 0.2%); 5.4% yr/yr (expected 5.5%; last 5.3%). May Unemployment Rate 6.5%, as expected (last 6.5%)

  • Germany's June Unemployment Change 28,000 (expected 13,000; last 9,000) and June Unemployment Rate 5.7% (expected 5.6%; last 5.6%). May Retail Sales 0.4% m/m (expected 0.0%; last 0.7%); -3.6% yr/yr (expected -4.3%; last -4.3%). May Import Price Index -1.4% m/m, as expected (last -1.7%); -9.1% yr/yr, as expected (last -7.0%)

  • U.K.'s Q1 GDP 0.1% qtr/qtr, as expected (last 0.1%); 0.2% yr/yr, as expected (last 0.6%). Q1 Business Investment 3.3% qtr/qtr (expected 0.7%; last -0.2%); 5.8% yr/yr (expected 3.2%; last 10.8%). June Nationwide HPI 0.1% m/m (expected -0.3%; last -0.1%); -3.5% yr/yr (expected -4.0%; last -3.4%)

  • France's June CPI 0.2% m/m, as expected (last -0.1%); 4.5% yr/yr (expected 4.6%; last 5.1%). May PPI -1.4% m/m (expected -2.3%; last -5.2%) and May Consumer Spending 0.5% m/m, as expected (last -0.8%)

  • Italy's May Unemployment Rate 7.6% (expected 7.9%; last 7.8%). May non-EU trade surplus EUR4.47 bln (last surplus of EUR1.22 bln)

  • Spain's April Current Account surplus EUR1.84 bln (expected surplus of EUR4.02 bln; last surplus of EUR5.58 bln)

  • Swiss June KOF Leading Indicators 90.8 (expected 89.1; last 91.4)


  • In news:

  • Eurozone's CPI decelerated to 5.5% yr/yr from 6.1% in the flash reading for June, but the core CPI growth rate ticked up to 5.4% from 5.3%.

  • The U.K. avoided a Q1 contraction by a narrow margin.

  • French Prime Minister Borne said that all options will be considered to put a stop to riots that continued into the third consecutive night.



U.S. equity futures:

  • S&P 500 Futures: +16 @ 4,412

  • DJIA Futures: +83 @ 34,206

  • Nasdaq 100 Futures: +71 @ 15,011

Overseas:

  • Europe: DAX +1.2%, FTSE +0.7%, CAC +1.0%

  • Asia: Nikkei -0.1%, Hang Seng -0.1%, Shanghai Composite +0.6%

Commodities:

  • Crude Oil +0.03 @ 69.89

  • Nat Gas -0.034 @ 2.667

  • Gold -5.45 @ 1912.45

  • Silver -0.191 @ 22.40

  • Copper +0.0138 @ 3.7128


Earnings/Guidance:

  • Accolade ( ACCD 0.00% ) beats by $0.10, beats on revs; guides Q2 revs in-line; guides FY24 revs above consensus

  • BGC Partners ( BGCP 0.00% ) reiterates its Q2 revenue outlook; updates timing of corporate conversion

  • BRC Inc. ( BRCC 1.69% ) guides Q2 revs below consensus; reiterates FY23 revenue outlook; announces CFO Greg Iverson will step down, effective August 13; Mark Weinsten to serve as interim CFO; Chris Mondzelewski assumes COO responsibilities

  • Constellation Brands ( STZ 0.03% ) beats by $0.08, beats on revs; reaffirms FY24 EPS guidance

  • Dominion Energy ( D 0.31% ) lowers Q2 EPS guidance

  • NIKE ( NKE 0.30% ) misses by $0.02, beats on revs, gross margin decreased 140 bps yr/yr, inventories flat yr/yr, Greater China revenue up 25% in constant currency

  • Progress Software ( PRGS 0.00% ) beats by $0.16, beats on revs; guides AugQ EPS above consensus, revs above consensus; guides FY23 EPS above consensus, revs above consensus

  • SMART Global ( SGH 0.00% ) beats by $0.26, beats on revs; guides AugQ EPS in-line, revs in-line

News:

  • Canadian wildfire smoke spreads to east coast, according to the New York Times

  • US and Dutch governments planning more restrictions on China chipmakers, according to Reuters

  • For the first time, the southern corridor of US which includes Texas and Florida are contributing more to US GDP than the northeast corridor of the country, according to Bloomberg

  • Supreme Court will rule on student debt forgiveness today, according to The Hill

  • Lawyers and conservative activists will likely bring lawsuits against corporate diversity initiatives following Supreme Court ruling on affirmative action, according to Financial Times

  • 1-800-FLOWERS ( FLWS 0.00% ) CEO Christopher McCann will be stepping down for personal health reasons, effective July 3; Jim McCann will resume his role as CEO and remain Chairman

  • AbbVie ( ABBV 0.54% ) elects Robert Michael as COO, effective June 29

  • American Electric ( AEP 0.00% ) receives approval by LPSC to move forward with its plan to acquire up to 999 MW of renewable generation resources

  • Aurinia Pharma ( AUPH 0.00% ) initiates exploration of strategic alternatives, including consideration of a potential sale or merger

  • Avita Medical ( RCEL 0.00% ) submits FDA PMA supplement for RECELL GO

  • Blueprint Medicines ( BPMC 0.00% ) partner Roche's (RHHBY) Genentech announced the voluntary withdrawal of the U.S. indication of GAVRETO

  • Cummins ( CMI 1.20% ) assumes full ownership of key fuel cell and electrolyzer technologies

  • Dollar Tree ( DLTR 0.00% ) plans to raise prices to $5 for various items, according to Business Insider

  • Enovix ( ENVX 0.00% ) appoints Farhan Ahmad as CFO, effective July 9, 2023

  • F&G Annuities & Life ( FG 5.63% ) provides security incident updates

  • FARO Techs ( FARO 0.00% ) names Peter Lau as CEO, effective July 24th

  • Home Bancorp ( HBCP 0.00% ) COO Jason P. Freyou resigned as of the close of business on July 14, 2023

  • Immuron ( IMRN 0.00% ) announces the transition of Paul Brennan from Non-Executive Director to Chairman, effective July 1, 2023

  • indie Semiconductor ( INDI 0.00% ) launches automotive wireless power charging system

  • IonQ ( IONQ 1.35% ) signs MOU with South Korea's Ministry of Science and ICT to educate quantum science and technology professionals and promote the creation of a local quantum ecosystem

  • JetBlue Airways ( JBLU 0.00% ) expands presence in transatlantic market to Europe with new service between JFK Airport in NY and Paris Charles de Gaulle Airport; to launch service between Boston and Paris in 2024

  • Merus N.V. ( MRUS 0.00% ): Zenocutuzumab (Zeno) granted Breakthrough Therapy Designation by the U.S. Food & Drug Administration for the treatment of NRG1+ pancreatic cancer

  • MicroVision ( MVIS 0.00% ) announced completion of at-the-market equity facility

  • Oil-Dri ( ODC 0.17% ) implements 10-15% price increases on its industrial and automotive clay absorbents, effective September 1

  • POET Technologies ( POET 0.00% ) announces $30 mln "at-the-market" public offering

  • PTC Therapeutics ( PTCT 0.00% ) announces that the MIT-E trial of vatiquinone for the treatment of mitochondrial disease associated seizures failed to achieve its primary endpoint of reduction in observable motor seizures

  • Sanofi ( SNY 0.00% ) and SK bioscience reports results from Phase II Study of 21-Valent Pneumococcal Conjugate vaccine candidate

  • TechnipFMC ( FTI 2.64% ) awarded significant ($75-250 mln) integrated Engineering, Procurement, Construction, and Installation contract by OMV (Norge) AS for its Berling gas development project

  • Tesla ( TSLA 0.00% ) expected to report record deliveries in Q2, according to Reuters

  • UDR ( UDR 1.66% ) forms $510 mln join venture with LaSalle Investment Management

  • VSE Corp ( VSEC 0.00% ) awarded $565 mln U.S. Air Force contract

  • Yum! Brands ( YUM 1.55% ) promotes Sean Tresvant to Taco Bell Division CEO, effective January 1, 2024

M&A:

  • Adobe ( ADBE 0.00% ): UK CMA refers case involving Adobe (ADBE) acquisition of Figma to phase two

  • Algonquin Power ( AQN 0.85% ): Starboard Value aiming to take stake in Algonquin Power, according to the Wall Street Journal

  • Bausch + Lomb ( BLCO 0.93% ) will pay $1.75 bln for eye drug from Novartis (NVS), according to the

  • Black Diamond Therapeutics ( BDTX 0.00% ) prices offering of 15.0 mln shares of common stock at $5.00 per share

  • Circor ( CIR 0.22% ) enters into amended definitive merger agreement with KKR at $56.00 per share in cash

  • Co. Brasileira ( CBD 14.07% ) rejected non-solicited offer from Jaime Gilinski for the acquisition of the total equity interest held by GPA in Almacenes xito S.A.

  • Donaldson ( DCI 0.83% ) acquires Univercells Technologies; financial terms were not disclosed

  • ECARX Holdings ( ECX 0.00% ) increases stake in JICA intelligent

  • GoGreen Investments ( GOGN 0.00% ) receives shareholder approval of business combination with Lifezone Metals

  • Kinros Gold ( KGC 3.69% ) aiming to reject takeover offer from Endeavour Mining, according to Bloomberg

  • Meta Platforms ( META 0.00% ): UK CMA closes case regarding META acquisition of Giphy; acquisition was approved

  • Microsoft ( MSFT 0.00% ) and FTC presented final arguments in Activision (ATVI) case, according to the Wall Street Journal

  • Natl Instruments ( NATI 0.00% ) shareholders voted to adopt proposed agreement with Emerson (EMR)

  • Stratasys' ( SSYS 0.00% ) Board unanimously determined that the revised partial tender offer by Nano Dimension's (NNDM) substantially undervalues the Company

  • TransUnion ( TRU 1.52% ): Enento Group exploring options including a potential sale after rebuffing takeover proposal from TransUnion, according to Bloomberg

Syndicate:

  • America's Car-Mart ( CRMT 0.00% ) files $400 mln mixed shelf securities offering

  • Baytex Energy Trust ( BTE 3.53% ) files for 168,891,994 shares of common stock by selling shareholders

  • DarioHealth ( DRIO 0.00% ) files for 6,583,890 shares of common stock by selling shareholders

  • Intuitive Machines ( LUNR 0.00% ) files for 4,885,057 shares of common stock by selling shareholder

  • Penns Woods Bancorp, Inc. ( PWOD 0.00% ) files $85 mln mixed shelf securities offering

  • Trevi Therapeutics ( TRVI 0.00% ) files $200 mln mixed shelf securities offering

IPOs:

  • IPOs Expected to Trade:

  • Vesta Real Estate (VTMX): The real estate company that owns, manages, develops and leases industrial properties in Mexico priced its 12.5 M ADS IPO at $31.


Gapping Up/Down

  • Gapping up:

  • GOGN +15.9%, AUPH +15.1%, ACCD +13.6%, BDTX +8.9%, MRUS +6.5%, BGCP +4.6%, SGH +4.2%, LUNR +3.9%, UDR +3%, CIR +2.2%, TRU +1.9%, ENVX +1.7%, VSEC +1.4%, RCEL +1.3%, FTI +1.1%, TRVI +0.9%, EFX +0.8%


  • Gapping down:

  • ROOT -17.1%, CRMT -5.3%, NKE -3.1%, DRIO -3%, PTCT -2.9%, FARO -2.3%, BRCC -0.6%, INDI -0.5%


Analyst Research (see Upgrades/Downgrades calendar for full list):

  • Upgrades

  • Black Diamond Therapeutics (BDTX) upgraded to Buy from Hold at Stifel; tgt raised to $10

  • Carnival (CCL) upgraded to Buy from Hold at Jefferies; tgt raised to $25

  • Federal Realty (FRT) upgraded to Overweight from Neutral at Piper Sandler; tgt $111

  • FirstService (FSV) upgraded to Outperform from Market Perform at BMO Capital Markets; tgt raised to $176

  • Frontline (FRO) upgraded to Buy from Hold at Deutsche Bank; tgt lowered to $17

  • FTAI Aviation Ltd. (FTAI) upgraded to Outperform from Peer Perform at Wolfe Research; tgt $38

  • Main Street Capital (MAIN) upgraded to Outperform from Market Perform at Hovde Group; tgt $45

  • NVIDIA (NVDA) upgraded to Outperform from Neutral at Daiwa Securities; tgt raised to $475

  • Scorpio Tankers (STNG) upgraded to Buy from Hold at Deutsche Bank; tgt $55


  • Downgrades:

  • BeiGene (BGNE) downgraded to Mkt Perform from Outperform at Bernstein; tgt lowered to $196

  • Core Labs (CLB) downgraded to Sell from Neutral at Citigroup; tgt lowered to $21

  • Innovative Industrial Properties (IIPR) downgraded to Neutral from Overweight at Piper Sandler; tgt $80

  • XPeng (XPEV) downgraded to Outperform from Buy at CLSA; tgt raised to $13.10


  • Others:

  • Apple (AAPL) initiated with a Buy at Citigroup; tgt $240

  • Arista Networks (ANET) initiated with a Neutral at Citigroup; tgt $160

  • CDW (CDW) initiated with a Buy at Citigroup; tgt $205

  • Cisco (CSCO) initiated with a Neutral at Citigroup; tgt $54

  • Dell (DELL) initiated with a Buy at Citigroup; tgt $60

  • Hewlett Packard Enterprise (HPE) initiated with a Neutral at Citigroup; tgt $18

  • HP Inc. (HPQ) initiated with a Neutral at Citigroup; tgt $32

  • Juniper Networks (JNPR) initiated with a Buy at Citigroup; tgt $38

  • Keysight (KEYS) initiated with a Buy at Citigroup; tgt $200

  • Kymera Therapeutics (KYMR) initiated with a Buy at Truist; tgt $50

  • NetApp (NTAP) initiated with a Neutral at Citigroup; tgt $80

  • Occidental Petro (OXY) initiated with an Overweight at Stephens; tgt $72

  • P3 Health Partners (PIII) initiated with a Market Perform at TD Cowen

  • Pacific Biosciences (PACB) initiated with a Buy at Goldman; tgt $17

  • Safehold (SAFE) initiated with an Outperform at RBC Capital Mkts; tgt $41

  • Selina Hospitality PLC (SLNA) assumed with a Buy at EF Hutton; tgt $6

  • Southwestern Energy (SWN) initiated with a Buy at Stifel; tgt $7.50

  • Tyra Biosciences (TYRA) initiated with an Outperform at Wedbush; tgt $27

  • U-Haul Holding Company (UHAL) initiated with a Peer Perform at Wolfe Research

  • U.S. Physical Therapy (USPH) initiated with a Buy at BofA Securities; tgt $138


Econ Data:

  • 08:30 ET: Personal Income for May (Briefing.com Consensus 0.4%; Prior 0.4%)

  • 08:30 ET: Personal Spending for May (Briefing.com Consensus 0.3%; Prior 0.8%)

  • 08:30 ET: PCE Prices for May (Briefing.com Consensus 0.1%; Prior 0.4%)

  • 08:30 ET: PCE Prices - Core for May (Briefing.com Consensus 0.3%; Prior 0.4%)

  • 10:00 ET: Univ. of Michigan Consumer Sentiment - Final for June (Briefing.com Consensus 63.9; Prior 63.9)

Earnings:

  • Monday (Jun 26)

  • Morning: CCL


  • Tuesday (Jun 27)

  • Morning: KFY SCHN SNX WBA

  • Afternoon: AVAV JEF


  • Wednesday (Jun 28)

  • Morning: GIS UNF

  • Afternoon: BB CNXC FUL MU WOR


  • Thursday (Jun 29)

  • Morning: AYI GBX LNN MKC MSM PAYX RAD SMPL

  • Afternoon: ACCD NKE PRGS SGH


  • Friday (Jun 30)

  • Morning: STZ


Asia & Europe detail:

Asia: Nikkei -0.1%, Hang Seng -0.1%, Shanghai Composite +0.6%

Equity indices in the Asia-Pacific region ended the week on a mostly higher note. China's Manufacturing PMI remained in contractionary territory for the third consecutive month in the reading for June. Reuters reported that the U.S. will block exports of some chip equipment from the Netherlands from being utilized in certain facilities in China. China Securities Journal speculated that more measures will be introduced to support the property market.

  • In economic data:

  • China's June Manufacturing PMI 49.0, as expected (last 48.8) and Non-Manufacturing PMI 53.2 (expected 53.7; last 54.5)

  • Japan's June CPI 2.3% yr/yr (last 2.4%). June Tokyo CPI 3.1% yr/yr (expected 3.8%; last 3.2%) and Tokyo Core CPI 3.2% yr/yr (expected 3.3%; last 3.2%). May Industrial Production -1.6% m/m (expected -1.0%; last 0.7%), May Unemployment Rate 2.6%, as expected (last 2.6%) and May jobs/applications ratio 1.31 (expected 1.32; last 1.32). May Housing Starts 3.5% yr/yr (expected -2.2%; last -11.9%) and Construction Orders 4.2% yr/yr (expected 7.0%; last 16.2%)

  • South Korea's May Industrial Production 3.2% m/m (expected 2.1%; last -0.6%); -7.3% yr/yr (expected -7.7%; last -9.0%). May Retail Sales 0.4% m/m (expected -0.6%; last -2.6%) and May Service Sector Output -0.1% m/m (expected 0.1%; last -0.5%)

  • Australia's May Housing Credit 0.3% m/m (last 0.4%) and Private Sector Credit 0.4% m/m, as expected (last 0.4%)


---Equity Markets---

  • Japan's Nikkei: -0.1% (+1.2% for the week)

  • Hong Kong's Hang Seng: -0.1% (+0.1% for the week)

  • China's Shanghai Composite: +0.6% (+0.1% for the week)

  • India's Sensex: +1.3% (+2.8% for the week)

  • South Korea's Kospi: +0.6% (-0.2% for the week)

  • Australia's ASX All Ordinaries: +0.2% (+1.6% for the week)

---FX---

  • USD/JPY: -0.1% to 144.61

  • USD/CNH: +0.3% to 7.2814

  • USD/INR: UNCH at 82.04

Europe: DAX +1.2%, FTSE +0.7%, CAC +1.0%

Major European indices trade in positive territory. Eurozone's CPI decelerated to 5.5% yr/yr from 6.1% in the flash reading for June, but the core CPI growth rate ticked up to 5.4% from 5.3%. The U.K. avoided a Q1 contraction by a narrow margin. French Prime Minister Borne said that all options will be considered to put a stop to riots that continued into the third consecutive night.

  • In economic data:

  • Eurozone's June CPI 0.3% m/m (expected 0.0%; last 0.0%); 5.5% yr/yr (expected 5.6%; last 6.1%). May Core CPI 0.3% m/m (expected 0.7%; last 0.2%); 5.4% yr/yr (expected 5.5%; last 5.3%). May Unemployment Rate 6.5%, as expected (last 6.5%)

  • Germany's June Unemployment Change 28,000 (expected 13,000; last 9,000) and June Unemployment Rate 5.7% (expected 5.6%; last 5.6%). May Retail Sales 0.4% m/m (expected 0.0%; last 0.7%); -3.6% yr/yr (expected -4.3%; last -4.3%). May Import Price Index -1.4% m/m, as expected (last -1.7%); -9.1% yr/yr, as expected (last -7.0%)

  • U.K.'s Q1 GDP 0.1% qtr/qtr, as expected (last 0.1%); 0.2% yr/yr, as expected (last 0.6%). Q1 Business Investment 3.3% qtr/qtr (expected 0.7%; last -0.2%); 5.8% yr/yr (expected 3.2%; last 10.8%). June Nationwide HPI 0.1% m/m (expected -0.3%; last -0.1%); -3.5% yr/yr (expected -4.0%; last -3.4%)

  • France's June CPI 0.2% m/m, as expected (last -0.1%); 4.5% yr/yr (expected 4.6%; last 5.1%). May PPI -1.4% m/m (expected -2.3%; last -5.2%) and May Consumer Spending 0.5% m/m, as expected (last -0.8%)

  • Italy's May Unemployment Rate 7.6% (expected 7.9%; last 7.8%). May non-EU trade surplus EUR4.47 bln (last surplus of EUR1.22 bln)

  • Spain's April Current Account surplus EUR1.84 bln (expected surplus of EUR4.02 bln; last surplus of EUR5.58 bln)

  • Swiss June KOF Leading Indicators 90.8 (expected 89.1; last 91.4)


---Equity Markets---

  • STOXX Europe 600: +1.1% (+1.8% week-to-date)

  • Germany's DAX: +1.2% (+1.9% week-to-date)

  • U.K.'s FTSE 100: +0.7% (+0.8% week-to-date)

  • France's CAC 40: +1.0% (+3.1% week-to-date)

  • Italy's FTSE MIB: +1.1% (+3.8% week-to-date)

  • Spain's IBEX 35: +1.1% (+3.7% week-to-date)

---FX---

  • EUR/USD: -0.1% to 1.0851

  • GBP/USD: +0.4% to 1.2649

  • USD/CHF: +0.2% to 0.9006

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