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29/08/23 Briefing


The S&P 500 futures are down 3 points and are trading 0.1% above fair value. The Nasdaq 100 futures are down 19 points and are trading 0.1% below fair value. The Dow Jones Industrial Average futures are down 32 points and are trading 0.1% below fair value.

The stock market is poised for a lower open after yesterday's gains. Overall, though, there isn't much conviction on the part of buyers or sellers.

The 2-yr note yield is down four basis points to 5.02% and the 10-yr note yield is up one basis point to 4.22%.

Today's economic calendar will be highlighted by the August Index Consumer Confidence Index and the July JOLTS - Job Openings Report, which will be released at 10:00 a.m. ET. Other data releases today include the June FHFA Housing Price Index and June S&P Case-Shiller Home Price Index at 9:00 a.m. ET.

In corporate news:

  • Best Buy (BBY 74.40, +0.33, +0.5%): beats by $0.16, reports revs in-line; guides FY24 EPS in-line, revs in-line; sees FY24 comp sales decline of 4.5-6.0%

  • J.M. Smucker (SJM 147.87, +4.98, +3.5%): beats by $0.19, misses on revs; guides FY24 EPS in-line

  • AT&T (T 14.46, +0.25, +1.8%) & Verizon (VZ 34.03, +0.48, +1.4%): upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Citigroup

  • Toyota (TM 165.70, -1.55, -0.9%): Japan production halted due to system issue, according to Reuters

  • HEICO (HEI 159.02, -8.83, -5.3%): beats by $0.01, beats on revs

  • NIO (NIO 10.33, -0.69, -6.3% misses by RMB 0.32, misses on revs; guides Q3 revs above consensus

  • Pinduoduo (PDD 91.20, +10.44, +12.9%): beats by RMB 3.17, beats on revs

Reviewing overnight developments:

  • Equity indices in the Asia-Pacific region ended Tuesday on a higher note. Japan's Nikkei: +0.2%, Hong Kong's Hang Seng: +2.0%, China's Shanghai Composite: +1.2%, India's Sensex: +0.1%, South Korea's Kospi: +0.3%, Australia's ASX All Ordinaries: +0.7%.

  • In economic data:

  • Japan's July Unemployment Rate 2.7% (expected 2.5%; last 2.5%) and jobs/applications ratio 1.29 (expected 1.30; last 1.30)

  • In news:

  • Japan's Unemployment Rate increased by 20 bps to 2.7% in July, reaching its highest level since March.

  • There was growing speculation about a reserve requirement ratio cut from the People's Bank of China.

  • Trade representatives from China and the United States agreed to speak more frequently.

  • The Japanese government believes it is at an inflection point in its fight against deflation.

  • South Korea's budget for 2024 calls for a 2.8% increase in spending, representing the smallest annual increase on record.

  • Chevron's unionized LNG workers in Australia will take part in rolling work stoppages, fueling concerns about tightening global supply of LNG.

  • New Zealand is looking to impose a digital service tax on multinational companies, starting in 2025.

  • Major European indices trade in the green with the U.K.'s FTSE (+1.5%) showing relative strength after yesterday's closure. STOXX Europe 600: +0.6%, Germany's DAX: +0.4%, U.K.'s FTSE 100: +1.5%, France's CAC 40: +0.4%, Italy's FTSE MIB: +0.7%, Spain's IBEX 35: +0.7%.

  • In economic data:

  • Germany's September GfK Consumer Climate -25.5 (expected -24.3; last -24.6)

  • France's August Consumer Confidence 85, as expected (last 85)]

  • Spain's July Retail Sales 7.3% yr/yr (expected 0.6%; last 6.5%)

  • In news:

  • The U.K. is delaying its plan for imposing full import controls for goods from the EU until January 2024.

  • Carrefour CEO Bompard said that French consumers are reducing their purchases of staple goods at a fast pace due to high prices.

  • British Foreign Secretary Cleverly will travel to China tomorrow.

 

U.S. equity futures:

  • S&P 500 Futures -3 @ 4,431

  • DJIA Futures: -19 @ 34,541

  • Nasdaq 100 Futures: -12 @ 15,040

Overseas:

  • Europe: DAX +0.4%, FTSE +1.5%, CAC +0.4%

  • Asia: Nikkei +0.2%, Hang Seng +2.0%, Shanghai Composite +1.2%

Commodities:

  • Crude Oil +0.51 @ 80.61

  • Nat Gas -0.018 @ 2.647

  • Gold -1.25 @ 1945.55

  • Silver +0.001 @ 24.253

  • Copper +0.0083@ 3.8003


 

Earnings/Guidance:

  • Afya (AFYA) beats by BRL 0.13 (two ests), beats on revs; reaffirms FY23 revs guidance

  • Bank of Montreal (BMO) misses by CAD0.35, misses on revs

  • Bank of Nova Scotia (BNS) misses by CAD0.01, reports revs in-line

  • Best Buy (BBY) beats by $0.16, reports revs in-line; guides FY24 EPS in-line, revs in-line

  • Big Lots (BIG) beats by $0.87, beats on revs

  • Catalent (CTLT) misses by $0.02, beats on revs; guides FY24 revs in-line

  • Donaldson (DCI) reports EPS in-line, misses on revs; guides FY24 EPS above consensus, revs in-line

  • Golden Ocean (GOGL) beats on top and bottom lines

  • HEICO (HEI) beats by $0.01, beats on revs

  • J.M. Smucker (SJM) beats by $0.19, misses on revs; guides FY24 EPS in-line

  • Malibu Boats (MBUU) beats by $0.68, beats on revs; guides FY24 revs in-line

  • NIO (NIO) misses by RMB 0.32, misses on revs; guides Q3 revs above consensus

News:

  • China's property crisis is spreading through economy and impacting small businesses and workers, according to the New York Times

  • The Biden administration and allies are considering plans for long term aid to Ukraine, according to the Wall Street Journal

  • Hurricane Idalia expected to strengthen into major hurricane before making landfall in Florida tomorrow

  • President Biden will announce first ten drugs subject to Medicare price negotiation later today, according to Axios

  • FDIC will release plan for regional bank regulation today, according to Reuters

  • 3M (MMM) confirms it has reached an agreement to resolve the Combat Arms Earplug litigation against Aearo Technologies and 3M

  • Alphabet (GOOG) plans to sell new mapping APIs to companies building solar products in hopes to generate $100 mln in first year, according to CNBC

  • Alvotech (ALVO) and Bioventure receive approval of AVT02 (adalimumab) in Egypt

  • Americold Realty Trust (COLD) appoints Bryan Verbarendse as COO for North America

  • Apellis Pharmaceuticals (APLS) announces corporate restructuring to drive growth of SYFOVRE and EMPAVELI, positioning company for long-term success; Anticipated total cost savings of up to $300 million through 2024, which includes an approximately 25% reduction in current workforce and a reduction in external expenses

  • Blackrock (BLK) and Vanguard cut support for shareholder resolutions on environmental and social issues, according to Reuters

  • Borr Drilling (BORR) receives Letter of Award estimated at $211 mln

  • Bristol-Myers (BMY) receives FDA approval for Reblozyl

  • Buenaventura SA (BVN) submits updated Uchucchacua Mine plan

  • Camtek (CAMT) received orders for approximately 45 systems since the beginning of August 2023 which adds up to approximately 100 systems since the beginning of July 2023

  • Catalent (CTLT) nearing settlement with Elliott Investment Management for board seats, according to Reuters

  • Catalent (CTLT) announces governance enhancements and new initiatives to drive value

  • Chevron (CVX): Some Chevron workers in Australia expect to begin rolling stoppages and work bans in September, according to the Wall Street Journal

  • Cisco (CSCO) and Nutanix (NTNX) announce new partnership to accelerate hybrid multicloud deployments

  • Eagle Pharma (EGRX) announces "positive" type C meeting with FDA for EA-114, an estrogen receptor antagonist used in the treatment of metastatic breast cancer in post-menopausal women; Eagle plans to file a new drug application for EA-114 in 2024

  • Ecopetrol (EC) obtains authorization to execute loan with international banks for up to USD 1 billion

  • Entergy (ETR): Federal Energy Regulatory Commission ruling resolves System Energy Resources Inc. refund dispute; Order confirms no additional refunds owed

  • Ericsson (ERIC), Amazon (AMZN) Web Services, and Hitachi (HTHIY) America R&D enabled the private 5G infrastructure trial at Hitachi Astemo Americas' electric motor vehicle manufacturing plant

  • Faraday Future Intelligent Electric (FFIE) expects ability to finance future growth with reverse stock split and the registration statements on form S-3

  • Fisker (FSR) provided additional details on its strategy for the Canada market

  • Galapagos NV (GLPG) announces start of Phase 2 study with selective TYK2 inhibitor, GLPG3667, in patients with active systemic lupus erythematosus

  • Halozyme Therapeutics (HALO) announces approval of Roche's (RHHBY) Tecentriq Subcutaneous with ENHANZE in Great Britain

  • HUTCHMED (HCM) receives Breakthrough Therapy Designation in China for Savolitinib for gastric cancer

  • Iris Energy (IREN) announced the purchase of NVIDIA's (NVDA) latest-generation artificial intelligence H100 GPUs

  • Johnson & Johnson (JNJ): The Janssen Pharmaceutical Companies of Johnson & Johnson announces sumbission of a supplemental New Drug Application to the U.S FDA seeking full approval of BALVERSA

  • Largo Resources (LGO) has initiated a review and evaluation of strategic alternatives with the intent to unlock and fully maximize the value of Largo Clean Energy Corp

  • LianBio (LIAN) Announces Results from Phase 3 EXPLORER-CN Trial of Mavacamten Presented at the European Society of Cardiology Congress and Simultaneous Publication in JAMA Cardiology

  • Lyra Therapeutics (LYRA) Fully Enrolls Pivotal Phase 3 ENLIGHTEN I Trial of LYR-210 for the Treatment of Chronic Rhinosinusitis

  • Mercedes-Benz Group AG (MBGYY) opens its first high-power charging stations this fall, implementing its far-reaching plans to expand its global charging infrastructure

  • Merck (MRK): European Commission Approves KEYTRUDA (pembrolizumab) Plus Trastuzumab and Chemotherapy as First-Line Treatment for HER2-Positive Advanced Gastric or Gastroesophageal Junction Adenocarcinoma Expressing PD-L1

  • Meta Platforms (META): Senator Chuck Schumer will host Zuckerberg, Musk, and others at an AI forum next month, according to Axios

  • Microsoft (MSFT): ChatGPT Enterprise launches, offering unlimited higher-speed GPT-4 access and other features

  • NexGen Energy (NXE) appoints Ben Salter as CFO

  • NextEra Energy (NEE) Transmission Southwest was awarded the Crossroads - Hobbs - Roadrunner 345-kilovolt (kV) Competitive Upgrade project in New Mexico

  • Noah Holdings Limited (NOAH) Announces Proposed Share Subdivision, Change in Board Lot Size and Record Date for the EGM

  • Norfolk Southern (NSC) provides system outage update

  • Omega Therapeutics (OMGA) announced that Chris Schade has been appointed as Chairman of the Board, succeeding Noubar Afeyan

  • Onto Innovation (ONTO) finalizing over $100 mln in orders for the Dragonfly G3 inspection systems with deliveries scheduled through 1Q24

  • Petrobras (PBR) signs closing of Golfinho and Camarupim Clusters; signs agreements with Chinese banks

  • Piedmont Lithium (PLL) receives partial prepayment for inaugural shipment under NAL offtake agreement

  • Pinduoduo (PDD) beats by RMB 3.17, beats on revs

  • Rio Tinto (RIO) and First Quantum form La Granja JV

  • Roche Hldg (RHHBY) receives EC approval for Evrysdi for babies under two months old with spinal muscular atrophy

  • Sallie Mae (SLM) announces Pete Graham as next CFO; set to join on Sept. 18but officially to begin serving on Oct. 27

  • Toyota (TM) Japan production halted due to system issue, according to Reuters

  • Verisk Analytics (VRSK) announced the launch of its new ClaimSearch system in Israel

  • Wal Mart (WMT), CVS (CVS), and Walgreens (WBA) introducing new medical care options, according to Bloomberg

M&A:

  • e.l.f. Beauty (ELF) signed a definitive agreement to acquire Naturium for $355 million in a combination of cash and stock; Acquisition expected to be accretive to ELF's EPS on an adjusted basis in FY24

  • Installed Building Products (IBP) announces acquisition of Interior 2000 Products; terms of deal not disclosed

Syndicate:

  • Corporacin Amrica Airports (CAAP) files $250 mln common share offering; also files for 7,022,471 shares of common stock by selling shareholder

  • Monogram Biosciences (MGRM) files 6,500,000 shares of common stock by selling shareholder

IPOs:

  • Expected to Price:

  • No IPOs expected.

Gapping Up/Down

  • Gapping up:

  • PDD +13.2%, GSHD +10.8%, TIGR +8.3%, JXN +7.3%, LIAN +4.8%, BORR +4.3%, HCM+3.4%, GOGL +3.2%, MGRM +3.1%, CAMT+3%, BHP +1.2%, FFIE +1.2%, BMY +0.9%, GLPG +0.7%, MMM +0.7%

  • Gapping down:

  • HEI -5.7%, NIO -2.3%, CAAP -2%, ALVO-0.5%

 

Analyst Research (see Upgrades/Downgradescalendarfor full list):

  • Upgrades

  • 3M (MMM) upgraded to Peer Perform from Underperform at Wolfe Research

  • AT&T (T) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Citigroup; tgt $17

  • First Bancshares (FBMS) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at DA Davidson; tgt $34

  • Forward Air (FWRD) upgraded to Buy from Hold at Jefferies; tgt lowered to $85

  • Heineken (HEINY) upgraded to Overweight from Neutral at JP Morgan

  • NextEra Energy Partners (NEP) upgraded to Outperform from Mkt Perform at Raymond James; tgt $60

  • Oracle (ORCL) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at UBS; tgt raised to $140

  • Rockwell Automation (ROK) upgraded to Equal Weight from Underweight at Wells Fargo; tgt raised to $317

  • Verizon (VZ) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Citigroup; tgt raised to $40

  • Downgrades:

  • Celanese (CE) downgraded to Underweight from Neutral at Piper Sandler; tgt lowered to $112

  • Dr. Reddy's (RDY) downgraded to Hold from Buy at HSBC Securities

  • Emergent BioSolutions (EBS) downgraded to Hold from Buy at The Benchmark Company

  • Farfetch (FTCH) downgraded to Equal-Weight from Overweight at Morgan Stanley; tgt lowered to $5

  • HSBC Holdings (HSBC) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at UBS

  • Others:

  • BigBear.ai (BBAI) initiated with a Buy at H.C. Wainwright; tgt $4

  • Crane NXT (CXT) initiated with a Neutral at UBS; tgt $65

  • Navitas Semiconductor (NVTS) initiated with an Equal-Weight at Morgan Stanley; tgt $9.20

  • Xylem (XYL) initiated with a Neutral at Seaport Research Partners

Econ Data:

  • 09:00 ET: FHFA Housing Price Index for June (Briefing.comConsensus NA; Prior 0.7%)

  • 09:00 ET: S&P Case-Shiller Home Price Index for June (Briefing.comConsensus 0.9%; Prior -1.7%)

  • 10:00 ET: Consumer Confidence for August (Briefing.comConsensus 116.0; Prior 117.0)

  • 10:00 ET: JOLTS- Job Openings for July (Briefing.comConsensus NA; Prior 9.824M)

Earnings:

  • Monday (Aug 28)

  • Morning:  BZUN

  • Afternoon: HEI

  • Tuesday (Aug 29)

  • Morning: AMWD BMO BNS BBY BIG CTLT DCI SJM MBUU NIO PDD

  • Afternoon:  AMBA BOX HPE HPQ NCNO PVH ZTO

  • Wednesday (Aug 30)

  • Morning:  BF.B CONN MCFT PDCO

  • Afternoon:  CHWY COO CRWD FIVE GEF OKTA CRM VEEV VSCO

  • Unspecified: PSTG

  • Thursday (Aug 31)

  • Morning: FLWS ASO CAL CPB CM CIEN DG GCO GMS MOMO HRL BEKE OLLI SIG TITN UBS

  • Afternoon:  AVGO DELL ESTC HCP LULU MDB NTNX OXM PD S VMW

 

Asia & Europe detail:

Asia: Nikkei +0.2%, Hang Seng +2.0%, Shanghai Composite +1.2%

Equity indices in the Asia-Pacific region ended Tuesday on a higher note. Japan's Unemployment Rate increased by 20 bps to 2.7% in July, reaching its highest level since March. There was growing speculation about a reserve requirement ratio cut from the People's Bank of China. Trade representatives from China and the United States agreed to speak more frequently. The Japanese government believes it is at an inflection point in its fight against deflation. South Korea's budget for 2024 calls for a 2.8% increase in spending, representing the smallest annual increase on record. Chevron's unionized LNG workers in Australia will take part in rolling work stoppages, fueling concerns about tightening global supply of LNG. New Zealand is looking to impose a digital service tax on multinational companies, starting in 2025.

  • In economic data:

  • Japan's July Unemployment Rate 2.7% (expected 2.5%; last 2.5%) and jobs/applications ratio 1.29 (expected 1.30; last 1.30)

---Equity Markets---

  • Japan's Nikkei: +0.2%

  • Hong Kong's Hang Seng: +2.0%

  • China's Shanghai Composite: +1.2%

  • India's Sensex: +0.1%

  • South Korea's Kospi: +0.3%

  • Australia's ASX All Ordinaries: +0.7%

---FX---

  • USD/JPY: +0.1% to 146.72

  • USD/CNH: +0.2% to 7.3038

  • USD/INR: +0.2% to 82.71

 

Europe: DAX +0.4%, FTSE +1.5%, CAC +0.4%

Major European indices trade in the green with the U.K.'s FTSE (+1.5%) showing relative strength after yesterday's closure. The U.K. is delaying its plan for imposing full import controls for goods from the EU until January 2024. Carrefour CEO Bompard said that French consumers are reducing their purchases of staple goods at a fast pace due to high prices. British Foreign Secretary Cleverly will travel to China tomorrow.

  • In economic data:

  • Germany's September GfK Consumer Climate -25.5 (expected -24.3; last -24.6)

  • France's August Consumer Confidence 85, as expected (last 85)

  • Spain's July Retail Sales 7.3% yr/yr (expected 0.6%; last 6.5%)

---Equity Markets---

  • STOXX Europe 600: +0.6%

  • Germany's DAX: +0.4% 

  • U.K.'s FTSE 100: +1.5%

  • France's CAC 40: +0.4%

  • Italy's FTSE MIB: +0.7%

  • Spain's IBEX 35: +0.7%

---FX---

  • EUR/USD: -0.1% to 1.0805

  • GBP/USD: -0.1% to 1.2587

  • USD/CHF: +0.2% to 0.8850

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