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29/03/23 Briefing


The S&P 500 futures are up 32 point and are trading 0.8% above fair value. The Nasdaq 100 futures are up 110 points and are trading 0.9% above fair value. The Dow Jones Industrial Average futures are up 217 points and are trading 0.7% above fair value.

The equity futures market points to a higher open after yesterday's late afternoon bounce off the session lows. Notably, many major overseas indices trade on a firmly higher note currently. 

There's some modest buying interest in the Treasuries this morning. The 2-yr note yield is down one basis point to 4.06% and the 10-yr note yield is unchanged at 3.56%. The U.S. Dollar Index is up 0.1% to 102.51.

Energy complex futures trade up ahead of the open. WTI crude oil futures are up 1.1% to $74.00/bbl and natural gas futures are up 0.1% to $2.15/mmbtu.

The weekly MBA Mortgage Applications Index rose 2.9% with purchase application jumping 5.0% while refinancing applications rose 2.0%. 

Other data out today includes:

  • 10:00 ET: February Pending Home Sales (Briefing.comconsensus -2.3%; prior 8.1%)

  • 10:30 ET: Weekly crude oil inventories (prior +1.12 mln)

In corporate news:

  • lululemon athletica (LULU 371.00, +50.69, +15.8%): beats by $0.14, beats on revs; guides Q1 EPS above consensus, revs above consensus; guides FY24 EPS above consensus, revs above consensus

  • Micron (MU 60.55, +1.27, +2.1%): misses by $1.03, reports revs in-line; guides MayQ EPS below consensus, revs in-line; customer inventories improving\

  • Foot Locker (FL 39.13, -0.90, -2.3%): downgraded to Sell from Neutral at UBS

  • Macy's (M 17.04, -0.23, -1.3%): announces CEO Jeff Gennette plans to retire in Feb. 2024; current Bloomingdale' chairman Tony Spring named president and CEO-elect

  • UBS AG (UBS 19.76, +0.49, +2.5%): names Sergio P. Ermotti as CEO, effective April 5

Reviewing overnight developments:

  • Equity indices in the Asia-Pacific region ended Wednesday on a mostly higher note. Japan's Nikkei: +1.3%, Hong Kong's Hang Seng: +2.1%, China's Shanghai Composite: -0.2%, India's Sensex: +0.6%, South Korea's Kospi: +0.4%, Australia's ASX All Ordinaries: +0.2%.

    • In economic data:

      • South Korea's March Consumer Confidence 92.0 (last 90.2)

      • Australia's February CPI 6.8% yr/yr (expected 7.1%; last 7.4%)

    • In news:

      • Japan's parliament passed a record JPY114 trln budget for FY23.

      • South Korea's government will look to boost domestic consumption, according to the country's finance minister.

      • China will reportedly try to attract more foreign investment. Alibaba (BABA) confirmed that it will split into six units.

      • There is a growing sense that the Reserve Bank of Australia will not raise its cash rate next week.

  • Major European indices trade on a firmly higher note. STOXX Europe 600: +0.9%, Germany's DAX: +0.9%, U.K.'s FTSE 100: +0.8%, France's CAC 40: +1.2%, Italy's FTSE MIB: +1.2%, Spain's IBEX 35: +1.0%.

    • In economic data:

      • Germany's April GfK Consumer Climate -29.5 (expected -29.2; last -30.6)

      • U.K.'s February BoE Consumer Credit GBP1.413 bln (expected GBP1.300 bln; last GBP1.686 bln), February Mortgage Lending GBP740 mln (expected GBP2.40 bln; last GBP2.00 bln), and February Net Lending to Individuals GBP2.20 bln (expected GBP3.70 bln; last GBP3.70 bln) o France's March Consumer Confidence 81, as expected (last 82)

      • Italy's February non-EU trade surplus EUR4.02 bln (last deficit of EUR1.36 bln)

      • Swiss March ZEW Expectations -41.3 (last -12.3)

    • In news:

      • UBS will rehire its former CEO Sergio Ermotti after Ralph Hamers stepped down.

      • Chipmaker Infineon raised its guidance for Q2 and FY23.

      • EU energy ministers have agreed to hold gas demand at a reduced level until March 2024 to secure a sufficient supply for next winter.

      • European Central Bank Chief Economist Lane said that he expects inflation to decelerate rapidly.

 

U.S. equity futures:

  • S&P 500 Futures: +35 @ 4,006

  • DJIA Futures: +243 @ 32,635

  • Nasdaq 100 Futures: +117 @ 12,728

Overseas:

  • Europe: DAX +0.9%, FTSE +0.8%, CAC +1.2%

  • Asia: Nikkei +1.3%, Hang Seng +2.1%, Shanghai Composite -0.2%

Commodities:

  • Crude Oil +0.86 @ 74.06

  • Nat Gas +0.002 @ 2.149

  • Gold -7.30 @ 1983.10

  • Silver -0.080 @ 23.34

  • Copper +0.0380 @ 4.1233


 

Earnings/Guidance:

  • Arcturus Therapeutics (ARCT) reports Q4 results, also provides pipeline update; cash runway now extends into the beginning of 2026

  • Cal-Maine Foods (CALM) beats by $0.92, beats on revs; declares quarterly dividend of $2.20/share

  • Conn's (CONN) misses by $0.67, beats on revs

  • Dave & Buster's (PLAY) beats by $0.10, beats on revs, pro forma comps of +19%; authorizes up to $100 mln in share repurchases

  • Jefferies (JEF) beats by $0.10, beats on revs

  • Kingsoft Cloud (KC) reports Q4 (Dec) results, beats on revs; provides Q1 guidance

  • lululemon athletica (LULU) beats by $0.14, beats on revs; guides Q1 EPS above consensus, revs above consensus; guides FY24 EPS above consensus, revs above consensus

  • Micron (MU) misses by $1.03, reports revs in-line; guides MayQ EPS below consensus, revs in-line; customer inventories improving; expects overall headcount reduction to approach 15%; additional reductions to FY23 (Aug) capex plan; expects WFE to fall further in FY24

  • nCino (NCNO) beats by $0.09, beats on revs; guides Q1 EPS in-line, revs above consensus; guides FY24 EPS above consensus, revs in-line

  • Progress Software (PRGS) beats by $0.14, beats on revs; guides Q2 EPS below consensus, revs in-line; reaffirms FY23 EPS guidance, raises FY23 revenue guidance

  • Sharecare (SHCR) misses by $0.01, beats on revs; guides Q1 revs above two analyst estimate; guides FY23 revs below consensus

News:

  • President Biden says that administration response to banking issues is "not over yet.", according to Reuters

  • Defaults are increasing in high end office buildings amid remote work and higher interest rates, according to the Wall Street Journal

  • White House releases joint statement between President Biden and South Korea President Yoon

  • Binance seeing $2.0 bln in outflows over the past several days, according to the Wall Street Journal

  • BlackSky Technology (BKSY) successfully commissions two new satellites that began revenue-generating commercial operations within 18 hours of launch mission

  • Bluebirdbio (BLUE) beats by $0.58, misses on revs

  • Blueprint Medicines (BPMC): FDA lifts partial clinical hold on Phase 1/2 VELA trial of BLU-222; working with trial sites to reinitiate patient enrollment

  • Canopy Growth (CGC) announces the introduction of Canada's first-to-market cannabis infused beverage with naturally occurring caffeine under the Deep Space brand

  • ClearPoint Neuro (CLPT) announces exclusive multi-year licensing agreement of intellectual property from UC San Francisco (UCSF) through its Innovation Ventures group for intra-cerebral cellular delivery platform

  • Corcept Therapeutics (CORT) initiates CATALYST Phase 4 trial examining the prevalence of hypercortisolism in patients with type 2 diabetes; expect to complete enrollment by the end of this year

  • Crane (CR) announces Board and Executive Team for the company following previously announced separation, which is slated for April 3; mostly unchanged except for one change on the Board and a new Chief Accounting Officer

  • Credit Suisse (CS): Whistleblowers say that Credit Suisse has been helping Americans dodge taxes, according to CNBC

  • Daimler Truck Holding AG (DTRUY) collaborates with Siemens (SIEGY) to build an integrated digital engineering platform

  • Digital World Acquisition Corp (DWAC) received a notice from NASDAQ stating that the Company's fee delinquency has been cured, and as a result the Company has regained compliance with the applicable listing standard

  • Dollar General (DG) is rolling out new store layouts that reimagine the beauty, skin and hair care shopping experience for its customers

  • DraftKings (DKNG) announces DK Horse app has launched in 12 states with additional launches expected for the Kentucky Derby on May 6, 2023

  • Enovix (ENVX) announces manufacturing partner and location for Fab-2 in Malaysia

  • Ero Copper (ERO) announces 18% increase in mineral reserves and extension of mine life to 6 years at the Xavantina Operations

  • FleetCor (FLT) appoints Tom Panther as CFO, effective May 12, 2023

  • Gamestop (GME) will foucs on physical stores, according to the Wall Street Journal

  • Google (GOOG): India court upheld Google $160 mln antitrust fine, according to Bloomberg

  • Illumina (ILMN): Carl Icahn wants ILMN to name Jay Flatley at CEO, according to the Wall Street Journal

  • Innovative Industrial Properties (IIPR) announces senior leadership appointment and promotions; David Smith joins as CFO, Catherine Hastings promoted to COO and Ben Regin promoted to CIO

  • Loop Industries (LOOP) and SK Geo Centric confirmed last night the successful completion of a technical due diligence of Loop's technology at its production facility in Quebec, Canada

  • Lucid Group (LCID) confirms restructuring plan to reduce OpEx; cutting workforce by approximately 18%; expects to complete the plan by the end of 2Q23

  • Macy's (M) announces CEO Jeff Gennette plans to retire in Feb. 2024; current Bloomingdale' chairman Tony Spring named president and CEO-elect

  • Neurocrine Biosciences (NBIX) entered into an agreement with Teva (TEVA) resolving patent litigation related to INGREZZA

  • Oportun Financial (OPRT): Consumer Financial Protection Bureau competes its investigation of OPRT, concluded it would not recommend pursuing enforcement action

  • Regeneron Pharma (REGN): Libtayo in combination with chemotherapy approved by European Commission for the first-line treatment of advanced PD-L1 positive non-small cell lung cancer

  • Roche Hldg (RHHBY) and Astellas (ALPMY) sign partnership agreement to develop and commercialize integrated diabetes self-management solution with BlueStar

  • ServisFirst Bancshares (SFBS) subsidiary ServisFirst Bank expands into Texas

  • Signature Bank (SBNY): FDIC wants cryptocurrency clients at Signature Bank to close accounts by April 5, according to Bloomberg

  • Transocean (RIG) announces contract awards for two of its harsh environment semisubmersibles totaling ~$382 mln

  • Transocean (RIG) announced contract fixtures for two of its harsh environment semisubmersibles

  • Turtle Beach (HEAR) approves the adoption of a limited duration stockholder rights plan

  • UBS AG (UBS) names Sergio P. Ermotti as CEO, effective April 5

  • Winnebago (WGO) subsidiary Chris-Craft increases production capacity by 50% with new facility in FL

M&A:

  • American Water Works (AWK) acquires Claypool Water System in Northern Indiana

  • BRF SA (BRFS): Nestle (NSRGY) in discussions to purchase BRFS pet food unit for approximately 1.7 bln reais, according to Bloomberg

  • Cardinal Health (CAH) exploring a potential sale of its nuclear medicine business, according to Bloomberg

  • Elevance Health (ELV): StanCorp Financial to acquire ELV's Life & Disability business and enter into a product distribution partnership

  • Stratasys (SSYS): Nano Dimension (NNDM) increases offer to acquire Stratasys to $19.55 per share in cash

Syndicate:

  • Biomea Fusion (BMEA) commenced an underwritten public offering of $125.0 million of shares of its common stock

  • Gladstone Land (LAND) files $1.5 bln mixed shelf securities offering

IPOs:

  • Expected to Price:

    • No IPOs expected.

Gapping Up/Down

  • Gapping up:

    • ARCT +27.5%, LULU +14.9%, NABL +14.2%, CLPT+8.6%, LAND +6.7%, CALM +3.6%, NCNO +2.9%, LCID +2.6%, UBS +2.1%, MU +2.1%, BKSY +1.5%, ERO +1.4%, HEAR +1.2%, VALE +1.2%, RIG +1%, BPMC +1%, JEF +1%

  • Gapping down:

    • SLGC -14.1%, SWX -3%, PRGS -1.7%, PLAY -1.4%, WGO -0.7%

 

Analyst Research (see Upgrades/Downgradescalendarfor full list:

  • Upgrades

    • Carnival (CCL) upgraded to Positive from Neutral at Susquehanna; tgt $11

    • Invesco (IVZ) upgraded to Neutral from Underperform at Credit Suisse; tgt raised to $15

  • Downgrades:

    • Bath & Body Works (BBWI) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at UBS

    • Burlington Stores (BURL) downgraded to Sell from Neutral at UBS

    • Foot Locker (FL) downgraded to Sell from Neutral at UBS

    • Medtronic (MDT) downgraded to Sell from Buy at UBS; tgt lowered to $79

    • Penumbra (PEN) downgraded to Hold from Buy at Needham

    • Ross Stores (ROST) downgraded to Sell from Neutral at UBS

    • Urban Outfitters (URBN) downgraded to Sell from Neutral at UBS

  • Others:

    • Abbott Labs (ABT) initiated with a Buy at UBS; tgt $117

    • Baxter (BAX) initiated with a Neutral at UBS; tgt $43

    • Boston Scientific (BSX) initiated with a Buy at UBS; tgt $57

    • Butterfly Network (BFLY) initiated with a Neutral at UBS; tgt $2.25

    • Confluent (CFLT) initiated with a Buy at Mizuho; tgt $28

    • Dexcom (DXCM) initiated with a Buy at UBS; tgt $142

    • Edwards Lifesciences (EW) initiated with a Neutral at UBS; tgt $84

    • Enliven Therapeutics (ELVN) initiated with a Buy at Jefferies; tgt $27

    • GitLab (GTLB) initiated with a Neutral at Mizuho; tgt $38

    • InMode (INMD) initiated with a Buy at UBS; tgt $40

    • Inspire Medical Systems (INSP) initiated with a Buy at UBS; tgt $300

    • Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) initiated with a Neutral at UBS; tgt $278

    • Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) initiated with a Neutral at UBS; tgt $164

    • Stryker (SYK) initiated with a Neutral at UBS; tgt $287

    • Tandem Diabetes Care (TNDM) initiated with a Neutral at UBS; tgt $45

    • Zimmer Biomet (ZBH) initiated with a Sell at UBS; tgt $112

  • Econ Data:

    • 07:00 ET: MBA Mortgage Applications Index for Mar 25 (Briefing.comConsensus NA; Prior 3.0%)

    • 10:00 ET: Pending Home Sales for Feb (Briefing.comConsensus -2.3%; Prior 8.1%)

    • 10;30 ET: EAI Crude Oil Inventories for Mar 25 (Briefing.comConsensus NA; Prio +1.12M)

  • Earnings:

    • Monday (Mar 27)

      • Morning:  BNTX CCL

      • Afternoon: PVH

    • Tuesday (Mar 28)

      • Morning: CNM IHS LOVE MKC SNX WBA

      • Afternoon:  CALM PLAY JEF LULU MU NCNO PRGS

    • Wednesday (Mar 29)

      • Morning:  BLUE CTAS CONN KC PAYX SHCR UNF

      • Afternoon:  CNXC FUL RH SMTC CXM VRNT

    • Thursday (Mar 30)

      • Morning: ANGO EVGO NEOG

      • Afternoon:  BB BRZE YMAB

Asia & Europe detail:

Asia: Nikkei +1.3%, Hang Seng +2.1%, Shanghai Composite -0.2%

Equity indices in the Asia-Pacific region ended Wednesday on a mostly higher note. Japan's parliament passed a record JPY114 trln budget for FY23. South Korea's government will look to boost domestic consumption, according to the country's finance minister. China will reportedly try to attract more foreign investment. Alibaba (BABA) confirmed that it will split into six units. There is a growing sense that the Reserve Bank of Australia will not raise its cash rate next week.

  • In economic data:

    • South Korea's March Consumer Confidence 92.0 (last 90.2)

    • Australia's February CPI 6.8% yr/yr (expected 7.1%; last 7.4%)

---Equity Markets---

  • Japan's Nikkei: +1.3%

  • Hong Kong's Hang Seng: +2.1%

  • China's Shanghai Composite: -0.2%

  • India's Sensex: +0.6%

  • South Korea's Kospi: +0.4%

  • Australia's ASX All Ordinaries: +0.2%

---FX---

  • USD/JPY: +0.7% to 131.79

  • USD/CNH: +0.1% to 6.8873

  • USD/INR: +0.2% to 82.34

 

Europe: DAX +0.9%, FTSE +0.8%, CAC +1.2%

Major European indices trade on a firmly higher note. UBS will rehire its former CEO Sergio Ermotti after Ralph Hamers stepped down. Chipmaker Infineon raised its guidance for Q2 and FY23. EU energy ministers have agreed to hold gas demand at a reduced level until March 2024 to secure a sufficient supply for next winter. European Central Bank Chief Economist Lane said that he expects inflation to decelerate rapidly.

  • In economic data:

    • Germany's April GfK Consumer Climate -29.5 (expected -29.2; last -30.6)

    • U.K.'s February BoE Consumer Credit GBP1.413 bln (expected GBP1.300 bln; last GBP1.686 bln), February Mortgage Lending GBP740 mln (expected GBP2.40 bln; last GBP2.00 bln), and February Net Lending to Individuals GBP2.20 bln (expected GBP3.70 bln; last GBP3.70 bln) o France's March Consumer Confidence 81, as expected (last 82)

    • Italy's February non-EU trade surplus EUR4.02 bln (last deficit of EUR1.36 bln)

    • Swiss March ZEW Expectations -41.3 (last -12.3)

---Equity Markets---

  • STOXX Europe 600: +0.9%

  • Germany's DAX: +0.9%

  • U.K.'s FTSE 100: +0.8%

  • France's CAC 40: +1.2%

  • Italy's FTSE MIB: +1.2%

  • Spain's IBEX 35: +1.0%

---FX---

  • EUR/USD: +0.2% to 1.0857

  • GBP/USD: +0.1% to 1.2348

  • USD/CHF: -0.1% to 0.9181


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