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28/08/23 Briefing



The S&P 500 futures are up 10 points and are trading 0.2% above fair value. The Nasdaq 100 futures are up 51 points and are trading 0.4% above fair value. The Dow Jones Industrial Average futures are up 100 points and are trading 0.3% above fair value.

Equity futures have a positive disposition, building on Friday's gains with positive price action in the mega cap stocks and a news driven pop in 3M (MMM) helping in the effort. 

Brokerage stocks outperformed in China after officials confirmed reports that the stamp duty on stock trades will be cut in half. On a related note, Commerce Secretary Gina Raimondo will visit China this week to discuss advanced technology and semiconductor investment restrictions.

There is no U.S. economic data of note today; however, the coming week will feature important releases that include the August Consumer Confidence Index, July JOLTS - Job Openings Report, the second estimate for Q2 GDP, July Personal Income and Spending, the August ISM Manufacturing Index, and the August Employment Situation Report.

The 2-yr note yield is up three basis points to 5.08% and the 10-yr note yield is down one basis points to 4.23%.

In corporate news:

  • Horizon Therapeutics plc (HZNP 112.25, +5.58, +5.2%): FTC files motion to withdraw matter from adjudication regarding Amgen (AMGN) deal for HZNP

  • XPeng (XPEV 18.54, +1.05, +5.9%): to expand in A-class Smart EV Segment through strategic partnership with DiDi (DIDIY)

  • 3M (MMM 104.20, +5.25, +5.3%): to pay $5.5 bln to resolve military earplug lawsuits, according to Bloomberg

  • Hawaiian Electric (HE 13.03, +3.37, +34.2%): Provides Update on Lahaina Fires, Response

  • RPT Realty (RPT 11.01, +1.44, +15.1%): Kimco Realty (KIM) to acquire RPT Realty in all-stock transaction; will host a joint conference call on August 28, 2023 at 8:30 a.m. ET

  • NovoCure (NVCR 17.51, -12.26, -41.2%): Provides update on phase 3 ENGOT-ov50 / GOG-3029 / INNOVATE-3 trial evaluating tumor treating fields therapy in platinum-resistant ovarian cancer; did not meet its primary endpoint of overall survival (OS) at the final analysis

  • Hersha Hospitality Trust (HT 9.72, +3.44, +54.8%): be acquired by KSL Capital Partners; common shareholders to receive $10.00/share in cash, a 60% premium to prior closing price

  • Abcam (ABMC 23.45, +0.09, +0.4%): to be acquired by Danaher (DHR) for $24.00 per share

  • Boston Scientific (BSX 53.66, +2.90, +5.7%): reports ADVENT study of the FARAPULSE Pulsed Field Ablation System meets primary efficacy and safety endpointsBSX 

Reviewing overnight developments:

  • Equity indices in the Asia-Pacific region began the week on a higher note. Japan's Nikkei: +1.7%, Hong Kong's Hang Seng: +1.0%, China's Shanghai Composite: +1.1%, India's Sensex: +0.2%, South Korea's Kospi: +1.0%, Australia's ASX All Ordinaries: +0.5%.

  • In economic data:

  • China's July Industrial Profit -15.5% YTD (last -16.8%)

  • Japan's June Leading Index -0.2% m/m, as expected (last 1.1%) and Coincident Indicator 0.8% m/m (expected 0.9%; last 0.1%)

  • Australia's July Retail Sales 0.5% m/m (expected 0.3%; last -0.8%)

  • In news:

  • Brokerage stocks outperformed in China after officials confirmed reports that stamp duty on stock trades will be cut in half. In addition, officials are reducing margin financing requirements, restricting refinancing options for listed companies, and restricting share sales by large shareholders.

  • Shares of developer Evergrande were relisted in Hong Kong.

  • There is growing speculation that Xi Jinping is facing a growing power struggle within the Communist Party and within the People's Liberation Army.

  • Australia's retail sales rebounded in July from a contraction that was reported for June.

  • Major European indices trade in the green while the U.K.'s FTSE is closed for a Bank Holiday. STOXX Europe 600: +0.5%, Germany's DAX: +0.5%, U.K.'s FTSE 100: CLOSED, France's CAC 40: +0.7%, Italy's FTSE MIB: +0.8%, Spain's IBEX 35: +1.0%.

  • In economic data:

  • Eurozone's July M3 Money Supply -0.4% yr/yr (expected 0.0%; last 0.6%), July Private Sector Loans 1.3% yr/yr (expected 1.4%; last 1.7%), and July loans to nonfinancials 2.2% yr/yr (expected 2.5%; last 3.0%)

  • In news:

  • European Central Bank President Lagarde said at the Jackson Hole Symposium that interest rates will be set as high as necessary to slow inflation and that price expectations must be anchored. Meanwhile, policymaker Kazaks said that there is no rush to declare an end to the ECB's rate hike campaign.

 

U.S. equity futures:

  • S&P 500 Futures +10 @ 4,416

  • DJIA Futures: +95 @ 34,442

  • Nasdaq 100 Futures: +51 @ 14,993

Overseas:

  • Europe: DAX +0.5%, FTSE CLOSED, CAC +0.7%

  • Asia: Nikkei +1.7%, Hang Seng +1.0%, Shanghai Composite +1.1%

Commodities:

  • Crude Oil +0.01 @ 79.84

  • Nat Gas +0.106 @ 2.763

  • Gold +2.25 @ 1942.15

  • Silver +0.016 @ 24.25

  • Copper +0.0135@ 3.7975


 

Earnings/Guidance:

  • ArcBest (ARCB) discloses Q3 update; currently targeting total average daily shipments of approximately 20,000 shipments per day compared to the 19,500 shipments-per-day target in July 2023

  • Baozun (BZUN) beats by RMB0.56, misses on revs

News:

  • Cleveland Fed President Loretta Mester (non-voter) in interview says another Fed rate hike will probably be needed, according to Reuters

  • Commerce Secretary Gina Raimondo will visit China this week to discuss advanced technology and semiconductor investment restrictions, according to the New York Times

  • China lowers stock trading taxes, according to Bloomberg

  • Bank of England Deputy Governor Ben Broadbent says rates might need to remain high for longer period of time, according to Bloomberg

  • President Biden will request funding for next round of coronavirus vaccines. He said it will be likely recommended that everyone get the vaccine, according to The Hill

  • Idalia could develop into hurricane and move towards gulf coast of Florida

  • Hollywood studios failed to close deal to end strike, according to Bloomberg

  • Unifor Detroit Three members deliver overwhelming strike mandate

  • 3M (MMM) to pay $5.5 bln to resolve military earplug lawsuits, according to Bloomberg

  • Alnylam Pharma (ALNY) to appeal Delaware Court order construing certain claim terms in two patents

  • ANI Pharma (ANIP) announces the FDA approval and launch of estradiol gel, 0.1%

  • Arconic (ARNC) announces that Chris Ayers will become CEO and Chair of the Board, effective September 11, 2023

  • Bayer AG (BAYRY) unit BlueRock, reports Phase I study with bemdaneprocel in patients with Parkinson's disease met primary endpoint

  • Boston Scientific (BSX) reports ADVENT study of the FARAPULSE Pulsed Field Ablation System meets primary efficacy and safety endpoints

  • BridgeBio (BBIO) presents detailed positive results from Phase 3 ATTRibute-CM study of acoramidis for patients with transthyretin amyloid cardiomyopathy (ATTR-CM) at European Society of Cardiology Congress 2023

  • BrightView (BV) appoints Dale Asplund as CEO and announces $500 million strategic investment from One Rock Capital Partners

  • B. Riley Financial (RILY) leads financing for management buyout of Franchise Group (FRG)

  • Centrus Energy (LEU) and Oklo sign MOU for fuel, components, and power procurement

  • Eaton (ETN) has announced significant investments in its North American manufacturing and operations to support rapidly growing demand for its electrical solutions

  • Genelux (GNLX) appointed Lourie Zak as the Company's Chief Financial Officer

  • Hawaiian Electric (HE) Provides Update on Lahaina Fires, Response

  • Horizon Therapeutics plc (HZNP): FTC files motion to withdraw matter from adjudication regarding Amgen (AMGN) deal for HZNP

  • ImmunoGen (IMGN) announces collaboration with Takeda (TAK) to develop and commercialize ELAHERE in Japan

  • Innoviva (INVA) names Stephen Basso as CFO

  • Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) and and Black Knight (BKI) announce entry into agreement containing consent orders with FTC's Bureau of Competition

  • Knight-Swift (KNX) CEO and CFO to voluntarily reduce base salaries by approximately 20% thru year end 2023

  • Kroger (KR): Bags of frozen vegetables recalled at Kroger, according to the New York Post

  • Madison Square Garden (MSG): NYC will decide on Madison Square Garden's special permit on Monday, according to the New York Post

  • Marathon (MPC) Garyville plant shutdown after fire, according to Bloomberg

  • NaaS Technology (NAAS): new partnership forged between NewLink and NaaS Technology with CR Capital MGMT

  • Nano Dimension (NNDM) resumes its share repurchase plan immediately

  • New Found Gold Corp. (NFGC) Intercepts 198 G/t Au Over 2M, Defines 410M X 395M Mineralized Footprint at K2 Zone

  • NovoCure (NVCR) Provides update on phase 3 ENGOT-ov50 / GOG-3029 / INNOVATE-3 trial evaluating tumor treating fields therapy in platinum-resistant ovarian cancer

  • Rio Tinto (RIO) and First Quantum complete La Granja joint venture transaction

  • Scotts Miracle-Gro (SMG) promotes Nate Baxter to COO; Mike Lukemire to remain President until retirement in FY24

  • Tecnoglass (TGLS) to more than double addressable market with strategic entry into vinyl windows

  • The Cigna Group (CI) announces 2024 Marketplace plans; Cigna Healthcare will offer affordable, comprehensive health care plans in the ACA Marketplace across 14 states in 2024

  • United Rentals (URI) confirms that COO Dale Asplund will be leaving the company on September 29to take the role of president and chief executive officer at another public company outside of the equipment rental industry

  • Verastem (VSTM) enters discovery and development collaboration with GenFleet Therapeutics to advance new programs targeting RAS pathway-driven cancers

  • Xinyuan Real Estate (XIN) announces progress achievement in debt restructuring

  • XPeng (VPEV) to expand in A-class Smart EV Segment through strategic partnership with DiDi (DIDIY)

M&A:

  • Abcam (ABCM) to be acquired by Danaher (DHR) for $24.00 per share

  • Centene (CNC) to divest Circle Health Group for $1.2 bln

  • China Petroleum (SNP) not interested in acquisition of Shell (SHEL) Singapore refinery, according to Reuters

  • Equinor (EQNR) acquires stake in Bayou Bend CCS Project

  • Expro Group (XPRO) to enhance subsea well access offering with acquisition of PRT Offshore

  • Hersha Hospitality Trust (HT) be acquired by KSL Capital Partners; common shareholders to receive $10.00/share in cash, a 60% premium to prior closing price

  • Jabil (JBL) enters into preliminary agreement relating to divest Mobility business

  • RPT Realty (RPT): Kimco Realty (KIM) to acquire RPT Realty in all-stock transaction

  • Skyline Champion (SKY) announced a definitive agreement to acquire Regional Enterprises

Syndicate:

  • Advance Auto files (AAP) mixed securities shelf offering

  • Atlas Lithium Corp. (ATLX) files for $75 mln mixed securities shelf offering

  • Immatics N.V. (IMTX) files for 2,419,818 shares of common stock by selling shareholder

IPOs:

  • Expected to Price:

  • No IPOs expected.

Gapping Up/Down

  • Gapping up:

  • HE +37.2%, BBIO +10.6%, ESPR +8%, MMM+5.8%, HZNP +5%, XPEV +4.4%, XIN +3.5%, JBL +3.2%, BZUN +2.7%, NVAX +1.9%, ACGL+1.7%, ALL +1.2%, BSX +1%, BNTX +0.9%, RIO +0.8%, VTLE +0.8%, FSR +0.7%

  • Gapping down:

  • ARCB -2%, ALNY -1.9%, NNDM -1.1%, ATLX-0.6%, AAP -0.5%

 

Analyst Research (see Upgrades/Downgradescalendarfor full list):

  • Upgrades

  • Akebia Therapeutics (AKBA) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at H.C. Wainwright; tgt $3.75

  • AppFolio (APPF) upgraded to Outperform from Mkt Perform at William Blair

  • Church & Dwight (CHD) upgraded to Buy from Hold at Truist; tgt raised to $105

  • Forward Air (FWRD) upgraded to Peer Perform from Underperform at Wolfe Research

  • MACOM Tech (MTSI) upgraded to Buy from Hold at The Benchmark Company; tgt $92

  • Mister Car Wash (MCW) upgraded to Overweight from Neutral at Piper Sandler; tgt raised to $12

  • UGI Corp (UGI) upgraded to Overweight from Equal Weight at Wells Fargo; tgt lowered to $27

  • Zimmer Biomet (ZBH) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at BTIG Research; tgt $139

  • Downgrades:

  • Atmos Energy (ATO) downgraded to Equal Weight from Overweight at Wells Fargo; tgt lowered to $128

  • Century Therapeutics (IPSC) downgraded to Neutral from Overweight at JP Morgan; tgt lowered to $5

  • CrowdStrike (CRWD) downgraded to Equal-Weight from Overweight at Morgan Stanley; tgt lowered to $167

  • Denbury (DEN) downgraded to Hold from Buy at Jefferies; tgt $91

  • Energizer (ENR) downgraded to Hold from Buy at Truist; tgt lowered to $35

  • Essex Property (ESS) downgraded to Hold from Buy at Truist; tgt raised to $266

  • L3Harris (LHX) downgraded to Mkt Perform from Outperform at Bernstein; tgt lowered to $210

  • Lyell Immunopharma (LYEL) downgraded to Neutral from Overweight at JP Morgan; tgt lowered to $5

  • Upwork (UPWK) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at BTIG Research

  • Others:

  • Cricut (CRCT) initiated with a Neutral at Citigroup; tgt $10.50

  • Duolingo (DUOL) resumed with a Mkt Perform at Raymond James

  • Emerson (EMR) resumed with an Equal Weight at Barclays; tgt $105

  • Liberty Live (LLYVA) initiated with a Buy at Seaport Research Partners; tgt $56

  • Nerdy (NRDY) resumed with an Outperform at Raymond James; tgt $5.50

  • NextGen Healthcare (NXGN) initiated with an Overweight at Cantor Fitzgerald; tgt $21

  • Pagaya (PGY) initiated with a Mkt Outperform at JMP Securities; tgt $2.75

  • Reneo Pharmaceuticals (RPHM) initiated with a Buy at H.C. Wainwright; tgt $30

  • Surf Air Mobility (SRFM) initiated with a Buy at Canaccord Genuity; tgt $3

  • Tetra Tech (TTEK) initiated with an Outperform at RBC Capital Mkts; tgt $181

  • Vesta Real Estate (VTMX) initiated with a Neutral at Goldman; tgt $36

  • Workiva (WK) initiated with an Outperform at Wolfe Research; tgt $120

Econ Data:

  • No economic data of note.

Earnings:

  • Monday (Aug 28)

  • Morning:  BZUN

  • Afternoon: HEI

  • Tuesday (Aug 29)

  • Morning: AMWD BMO BNS BBY BIG CTLT DCI SJM MBUU NIO PDD

  • Afternoon:  AMBA BOX HPE HPQ NCNO PVH ZTO

  • Wednesday (Aug 30)

  • Morning:  BF.B CONN MCFT PDCO

  • Afternoon:  CHWY COO CRWD FIVE GEF OKTA CRM VEEV VSCO

  • Unspecified: PSTG

  • Thursday (Aug 31)

  • Morning: FLWS ASO CAL CPB CM CIEN DG GCO GMS MOMO HRL BEKE OLLI SIG TITN UBS

  • Afternoon:  AVGO DELL ESTC HCP LULU MDB NTNX OXM PD S VMW

 

Asia & Europe detail:

Asia: Nikkei +1.7%, Hang Seng +1.0%, Shanghai Composite +1.1%

Equity indices in the Asia-Pacific region began the week on a higher note. Brokerage stocks outperformed in China after officials confirmed reports that stamp duty on stock trades will be cut in half. In addition, officials are reducing margin financing requirements, restricting refinancing options for listed companies, and restricting share sales by large shareholders. Shares of developer Evergrande were relisted in Hong Kong. There is growing speculation that Xi Jinping is facing a growing power struggle within the Communist Party and within the People's Liberation Army. Australia's retail sales rebounded in July from a contraction that was reported for June.

  • In economic data:

  • China's July Industrial Profit -15.5% YTD (last -16.8%)

  • Japan's June Leading Index -0.2% m/m, as expected (last 1.1%) and Coincident Indicator 0.8% m/m (expected 0.9%; last 0.1%)

  • Australia's July Retail Sales 0.5% m/m (expected 0.3%; last -0.8%)

---Equity Markets---

  • Japan's Nikkei: +1.7%

  • Hong Kong's Hang Seng: +1.0%

  • China's Shanghai Composite: +1.1%

  • India's Sensex: +0.2%

  • South Korea's Kospi: +1.0%

  • Australia's ASX All Ordinaries: +0.5%

---FX---

  • USD/JPY: +0.1% to 146.54

  • USD/CNH: +0.2% to 7.3042

  • USD/INR: UNCH at 82.59

 

Europe: DAX +0.5%, FTSE CLOSED, CAC +0.7%

Major European indices trade in the green while the U.K.'s FTSE is closed for a Bank Holiday. European Central Bank President Lagarde said at the Jackson Hole Symposium that interest rates will be set as high as necessary to slow inflation and that price expectations must be anchored. Meanwhile, policymaker Kazaks said that there is no rush to declare an end to the ECB's rate hike campaign.

  • In economic data:

  • Eurozone's July M3 Money Supply -0.4% yr/yr (expected 0.0%; last 0.6%), July Private Sector Loans 1.3% yr/yr (expected 1.4%; last 1.7%), and July loans to nonfinancials 2.2% yr/yr (expected 2.5%; last 3.0%)

---Equity Markets---

  • STOXX Europe 600: +0.5%

  • Germany's DAX: +0.5%

  • U.K.'s FTSE 100: CLOSED

  • France's CAC 40: +0.7%

  • Italy's FTSE MIB: +0.8%

  • Spain's IBEX 35: +1.0%

---FX---

  • EUR/USD: +0.2% to 1.0810

  • GBP/USD: +0.1% to 1.2585

  • USD/CHF: UNCH at 0.8836

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