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27/06/22 Briefing




The S&P 500 futures are up 14 points and are trading 0.4% above fair value. The Nasdaq 100 futures are up 79 points and are trading 0.7% above fair value. The Dow Jones Industrial Average futures are up 119 points and are trading 0.4% above fair value.

The market seems headed for a higher open with rebound momentum from last week's rally as the biggest driving force. 

There's a few pieces of relatively negative news that are not overpowering the rally effort. The International Monetary Fund released new projections indicating the U.S. will narrowly avoid a recession. The Bank of International Settlements warned about a global risk of stagflation. Also, San Francisco Fed President Daly noted that she sees additional tightening beyond the neutral rate.

Separately, the G7 leaders are discussing import bans for Russian gold. This news comes as Russia experienced its first major foreign debt default since 1918. 

In corporate news:

  • AutoZone (AZO 2199.99, +41.08, +1.9%): upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Goldman Sachs

  • Coinbase (COIN 59.31, -3.40, -5.4%): downgraded to Sell from Neutral at Goldman Sachs

  • Spirit (SAVE 2316, -1.36, -5.6%): says JetBlue offer not superior to one from Frontier; Frontier raises cash portion of its bid

  • Altria (MO 43.62, +0.22, +0.5%): Federal Court blocks FDA's ban on JUUL e-cigarettes

Reviewing overnight developments:

  • Equity indices in the Asia-Pacific region began the week on a higher note. Japan's Nikkei: +1.4%, Hong Kong's Hang Seng: +2.4%, China's Shanghai Composite: +0.9%, India's Sensex: +0.8%, South Korea's Kospi: +1.5%, Australia's ASX All Ordinaries: +1.9%.

  • In economic data:

  • China's May Industrial Profit 1.0% YTD (last 3.5%)

  • Japan's May Leading Index 102.9 (last 100.8) and Coincident Indicator 0.0% m/m (last 0.5%)

  • Hong Kong's May trade deficit HKD36.70 bln (last deficit of HKD36.60 bln). May Imports 1.3% m/m (last 2.1%) and Exports -1.4% m/m (last 1.1%)

  • In news:

  • Some coronavirus-related restrictions were lifted in China.

  • Officials from South Korea, Japan, and the U.S. are planning to meet on the sidelines of the NATO summit on June 29.

  • The Bank of Japan's June summary of opinions noted that the recent increase in CPI has been fueled by food and energy and that the upward pressure on yields is likely to remain. Japan's government is considering payments to households that reduce their energy use.

  • Major European indices trade on a mostly higher note while Italy's MIB (-0.3%) underperforms. STOXX Europe 600: +0.6%, Germany's DAX: +0.9%, U.K.'s FTSE 100: +0.7%, France's CAC 40: +0.2%, Italy's FTSE MIB: -0.3%, Spain's IBEX 35: +0.2%.

  • In economic data:

  • France's May jobseekers 2.933 mln (last 2.955 mln)

  • Spain's May PPI 43.6% yr/yr (last 45.0%)

  • In news:

  • G7 leaders are expected to announce a ban on imports of Russian gold and are also planning to cap the price of Russian oil.

  • French Finance Minister Le Maire said that rent increases in France will be limited to 3.5% for a year.

  • The British parliament will vote on a plan to override elements of the Northern Ireland protocol later today.

U.S. equity futures:

  • S&P 500 Futures: +18 @ 3,930

  • DJIA Futures: +106 @ 31,607

  • Nasdaq 100 Futures: +74 @ 12,180

Overseas:

  • Europe: DAX +0.9% FTSE +0.7%, CAC +0.2%

  • Asia: Nikkei +1.4%, Hang Seng +2.4%, Shanghai Composite +0.9%

Commodities:

  • Crude Oil +0.51 @ 108.13

  • Nat Gas +0.020 @ 6.261

  • Gold +6.75 @ 1837.05

  • Silver +0.333  @ 21.492

  • Copper +0.0217 @ 3.7662

U.S. Summary:

  • Earnings:

  • No earnings of note.

  • General News:

  • G7 discussing potential price cap on Russian oil as Russia hits Kyiv with missile attack. Russia misses foreign debt payment, moving into default, according to the New York Times

  • Western officials say Russia will soon exhaust its combat capabilities and be forced to halt offensive in eastern Ukraine, according to the Washington Post

  • US aiming to purchase advanced missile defense system for Ukraine, according to CNN

  • Global minimum tax plan being held up by Hungary and US congressional opposition, according to the Wall Street Journal

  • President Biden and G7 leaders formally launch the partnership for global infrastructure and investment

  • The United States and G7 to take further action to support ukraine and hold the Russian Federation accountable; Treasury will be issuing a determination to prohibit the import of new gold into the United States

  • China looking at new rules to govern antitrust, according to Reuters

  • IMF slashes its US economic growth forecast but predicts the US to "narrowly" avoid a recession, according to Financial Post

  • World Health Organization says that monkeypox does not constitute a public health emergency of international concern

  • President Biden signs bill that would provide incentives to states to pass red flag laws for gun purchases and provide funding for school security

  • Supreme Court could rule this week on major case that could limit the government's ability to regulate against climate change, according to the New York Times

  • Germany wants G7 nations to reverse commitment that would have ended overseas fossil fuel project investments, according to Bloomberg

  • 2,454,781 people went through TSA checkpoints at airports Friday, highest level since early 2020

  • 3M (MMM) could have billions in liabilities over earplugs, according to the Wall Street Journal

  • AbbVie (ABBV) receives CHMP positive opinion for Upadacitinib

  • AES (AES) discloses a pre-tax impairment charge in the range of $450 million to $550 million related to Bulgaria's National Recovery and Resilience plan which commits the country to cease electricity generation using coal as a fuel source by 2038

  • Airbus (EADSY) aiming to secure $5.5 bln jet order, according to Bloomberg

  • Akero Therapeutics (AKRO) presents analysis at the 2022 International Liver Congress showing that efruxifermin improved histopathology and markers of liver injury across PNPLA3 genotypes in patients with NASH Fibrosis

  • Altair Engineering (ALTR): Court lifts final injunction in favor of Altair in World Programming Case

  • Altria (MO): Federal court has blocked FDA's ban on Juul e-cigarettes, according to AP

  • Apple (AAPL) prepared to bargain with first store to unionize, according to Reuters

  • Apple (AAPL) preparing for iPhone 14 release, according to Bloomberg

  • AstraZeneca (AZN) and Merck (MRK) receive Positive Opinion from CHMP for Lynparza

  • AstraZeneca (AZN) receives Positive Opinion from CHMP for Trastuzumab Deruxtecan

  • Axsome Therapeutics (AXSM) received from FDA proposed labeling for the its AXS-05 product candidate with respect to its New Drug Application for AXS-05 for the treatment of major depressive disorder

  • BAE Systems (BAESY) awarded a $12 bln US Air Force contract for Integration Support; work is expected to be completed by Dec 2040

  • Boeing (BA): Production and regulatory issues halt deliveries of Boeing 737 Dreamliner, according to the Wall Street Journal

  • Borqs Technologies (BRQS) announces reverse stock split

  • BridgeBio Pharma (BBIO) Announces Positive Phase 1 Data and Phase 2/3 Trial Design for BBP-711, a Potentially Best-In-Class GO Inhibitor for Primary Hyperoxaluria Type 1 (PH1) and Recurrent Kidney Stone Formers

  • Bristol-Myers (BMY) ticks lower on report judge refused to dismiss lawsuit, according to Reuters

  • Bristol-Myers (BMY) receives FDA approval for Breyanzi

  • Brookline Bancorp (BRKL) suspends stock repurchase program

  • BWX Technologies (BWXT) announces that subsidiary BWXT Medical Ltd. has executed a commercial agreement with Bayer AG (BAYRY) to supply high-purity Actinium-225

  • Capricor Therapeutics (CAPR) announces statistically significant clinical benefits in skeletal muscle function in non-ambulant duchenne muscular dystrophy patients treated with CAP-1002 in HOPE-2 Open Label Extension Study

  • Chevron (CVX) aiming to sell California headquarters and move some of its workers to Texas, according to Bloomberg

  • Costco (COST) ticks lower on lawsuit for alleged inhumane treatment of chickens, according to NY Post

  • Disney (DIS), Apple (AAPL), Amazon (AMZN) are mixed on report they have submitted bids for NFL out-of-market Sunday Ticket package, according toCNBC

  • Disney (DIS): Walt Disney Shanghai is closed due to COVID-19 concerns, according to the Wall Street Journal

  • Eli Lilly (LLY) and Innovent receive approval for TYVYT in combination with chemotherapy as first-line treatment in China

  • EVgo Inc. (EVGO) and General Motors (GM) announce availability of Plug and Charge for all GM EVs with DC fast-charging capability on the EVgo network

  • Franchise Group (FRG) discloses that it has completed the sale-leaseback of all three W.S. Badcock Corporation distribution centers for gross proceeds of approximately $150 million to affiliates of Oak Street Real Estate Capital, a division of Blue Owl Capital

  • GlaxoSmithKline (GSK) presents new data for bepirovirsen, an investigational treatment for chronic hepatitis B

  • Goldman Sachs (GS) ticks lower on report it's seeking $2 bln from investors to buy distressed assets from Celsius, according to CoinDesk

  • Google (GOOG) received Danish antitrust complaint, according to Reuters

  • Immunocore (IMCR) announces the presentation of initial data from the Phase 1 ImmTAV trial for chronic Hepatitis B at the EASL International Liver Congress

  • Ionis (IONS) announces presentation of positive Phase 2b data for chronic hepatitis B treatment at the EASL International Liver Congress

  • Madrigal Pharmaceuticals (MDGL) Presents Late-Breaking Phase 3 NASH Data and Multiple Oral Abstracts at EASL's International Liver Congress

  • McDonald's (MCD) promotes Kevin Ozan to Senior Executive Vice President, Strategic Initiatives, Ian Borden to Chief Financial Officer and Marion Gross to Global Chief Supply Chain Officer

  • Nuvation Bio (NUVB): FDA places partial clinical hold on Phase 1 dose escalation study of NUV-422 in solid tumors, including high grade glioma, HR+/HER2- advanced breast cancer and metastatic castration resistant prostate cancer

  • Otis Worldwide (OTIS) disclosed Rahul Ghai, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer, has provided Otis Worldwide with notice that he will be resigning his position with the Company, effective August 12, 2022, to join another company

  • Petrobras (PBR) CEO hasn't received guidance from government on pricing policy, according to Reuters

  • Pfizer (PFE) and BioNTech Announce Omicron-Adapted COVID-19 Vaccine Candidates Demonstrate High Immune Response Against Omicron

  • Relay Therapeutics (RLAY) discloses anticipated registrational path for RLY-4008 in cholangiocarcinoma and growing breast cancer franchise at virtual analyst and investor event

  • Takeda (TAK) and Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals (ARWR) report Results from Phase 2 Study of Fazirsiran in Patients with Alpha-1 Antitrypsin Deficiency Published in New England Journal of Medicine

  • TCR2 Therapeutics (TCRR) appoints industry and finance veteran Eric Sullivan as CFO

  • Tesla (TSLA), Ford (F), and General Motors (GM) increase EV prices, according to the Wall Street Journal

  • TG Therapeutics (TGTX) announces presentation of exploratory analyses from the ULTIMATE I & II Phase 3 trials of ublituximab in multiple sclerosis at the 8Th Congress of the European Academy of Neurology

  • UPS (UPS) awarded a modification DOD contract of $215.1 mln

  • Vir Biotechnology (VIR) Announces New Clinical Data From its Broad Hepatitis B Program

  • M&A:

  • Chevron (CVX) ticks lower on report it plans to sell its California HQ and cover costs for some employees to relocate to Texas, according to the Wall Street Journal

  • Foot Locker (FL) divests Team Sales business to BSN SPORTS

  • JetBlue (JBLU) Comments on Frontier-Spirit Announcement

  • Primoris Services (PRIM) to acquire PLH Group for $470 mln in cash

  • Sitio Royalties Corp. (STR) announces highly accretive Permian Basin acquisitions; updates guidance

  • Spirit Airlines (SAVE) determines JetBlue's revised offer is not a Superior Proposal; Frontier will increase the per-share cash consideration payable to Spirit to $4.13 in cash

  • Spirit Airlines (SAVE): ISS Recommends that Spirit Airlines Stockholders Vote FOR the Amended Merger Agreement with Frontier (ULCC)

  • TreeHouse Foods (THS): Investindustrial in discussions to acquire THS meal-prep unit for $1.3 bln, according to Bloomberg

  • Syndicate

  • Cellectis (CLLS) files for $200 mln mixed securities shelf offering

  • Jamf Holding (JAMF) files for common stock offering by selling shareholders

  • NextDecade (NEXT) files for 3,374,741 share common stock offering by selling shareholders

  • IPOs:

  • Priced to Trade:

  • Ivanhoe Electric (NYSE: IE): The U.S.-based minerals exploration and development company is expected to price its 14.4 M share IPO between $11.75-$12.50.

Gapping Up/Down

  • Gapping up:

  • ZLAB +4.8%, BNTX +2.8%, VIR +2.7%, AES +2.7%, DAWN +2.6%, MO +1.1%, QQQ +0.5%

  • Gapping down:

  • BRQS -23.3%, SIGA -12.3%, SAVE -9.1%, DWAC-5.8%, ABUS -4.6%, ALTR -2.8%, ULCC -1.8%, TWI-0.9%, VXX -0.5%

 

Analyst Research (see Upgrades/Downgradescalendarfor full list):

  • Upgrades

  • AutoZone (AZO) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Goldman; tgt raised to $2296

  • Downgrades:

  • Alnylam Pharma (ALNY) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Guggenheim

  • Altair Engineering (ALTR) downgraded to Sell from Neutral at Goldman; tgt lowered to $41

  • AVANGRID (AGR) downgraded to Underweight from Sector Weight at KeyBanc Capital Markets; tgt $40

  • Bed Bath & Beyond (BBBY) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at B. Riley Securities; tgt lowered to $7

  • Others:

  • Albemarle (ALB) initiated with an Underperform at Credit Suisse; tgt $185

Upcoming Events:

  • Econ Data:

  • 08:30 ET: Durable Orders for May (Briefing.comConsensus 0.1%; Prior 0.4%)

  • 08:30 ET: Durable Orders, Ex-transportation for May (Briefing.comConsensus 0.4%; Prior 0.3%)

  • 10:00 ET: Pending Home Sales for May (Briefing.comConsensus -3.5%; Prior -3.9%)

  • Earnings:

  • Monday (Jun 27)

  • Afternoon: CNXC JEF NKE TCOM

  • Tuesday (Jun 28)

  • Morning: CGNT EPAC SNX

  • Afternoon:  AVAV PRGS

  • Wednesday (Jun 29)

  • Morning:  BBBY GIS MKC MSM PDCO PAYX SCHN UNF

  • Afternoon:  DCT MLKN SGH

  • Thursday (Jun 30)

  • Morning: AYI STZ LNN SMPL WBA

  • Afternoon:  ACCD MU

Asia & Europe detail:

Asia: Nikkei +1.4%, Hang Seng +2.4%, Shanghai Composite +0.9%

Equity indices in the Asia-Pacific region began the week on a higher note. Some coronavirus-related restrictions were lifted in China. Officials from South Korea, Japan, and the U.S. are planning to meet on the sidelines of the NATO summit on June 29.The Bank of Japan's June summary of opinions noted that the recent increase in CPI has been fueled by food and energy and that the upward pressure on yields is likely to remain. Japan's government is considering payments to households that reduce their energy use.

  • In economic data:

  • China's May Industrial Profit 1.0% YTD (last 3.5%)

  • Japan's May Leading Index 102.9 (last 100.8) and Coincident Indicator 0.0% m/m (last 0.5%)

  • Hong Kong's May trade deficit HKD36.70 bln (last deficit of HKD36.60 bln). May Imports 1.3% m/m (last 2.1%) and Exports -1.4% m/m (last 1.1%)

---Equity Markets---

  • Japan's Nikkei: +1.4%

  • Hong Kong's Hang Seng: +2.4%

  • China's Shanghai Composite: +0.9%

  • India's Sensex: +0.8%

  • South Korea's Kospi: +1.5%

  • Australia's ASX All Ordinaries: +1.9%

---FX---

  • USD/JPY: UNCH at 135.20

  • USD/CNH: +0.1% to 6.6837

  • USD/INR: +0.2% to 78.35

Europe: DAX +0.9% FTSE +0.7%, CAC +0.2%

Major European indices trade on a mostly higher note while Italy's MIB (-0.3%) underperforms. G7 leaders are expected to announce a ban on imports of Russian gold and are also planning to cap the price of Russian oil. French Finance Minister Le Maire said that rent increases in France will be limited to 3.5% for a year. The British parliament will vote on a plan to override elements of the Northern Ireland protocol later today.

  • In economic data:

  • France's May jobseekers 2.933 mln (last 2.955 mln)

  • Spain's May PPI 43.6% yr/yr (last 45.0%)

---Equity Markets---

  • STOXX Europe 600: +0.6%

  • Germany's DAX: +0.9%

  • U.K.'s FTSE 100: +0.7%

  • France's CAC 40: +0.2%

  • Italy's FTSE MIB: -0.3%

  • Spain's IBEX 35: +0.2%

---FX---

  • EUR/USD: +0.2% to 1.0577

  • GBP/USD: UNCH at 1.2267

  • USD/CHF: +0.2% to 0.9588


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The S&P 500 futures are up 3 points and are trading % above fair value. The Nasdaq 100 futures are up 9 points and are trading roughly in-line with fair value. The Dow Jones Industrial Average futures