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25/01/23 Briefing

Writer's picture: Simon Charles HooperSimon Charles Hooper

The S&P 500 futures are down 32 points and are trading 0.8% below fair value. The Nasdaq 100 futures are down 151 points and are trading 1.2% below fair value. The Dow Jones Industrial Average futures are down 213 points and are trading 0.6% below fair value.

Equity futures indicate a lower open primarily driven by renewed valuation concerns following Microsoft's (MSFT) disappointing cloud growth expectations and fiscal third quarter guidance. An earnings miss by fellow Dow component Boeing (BA) has added to the weakness and the sense that the market might have gotten ahead of itself with the January rally.

Treasury yields are moving lower, but that has not offered support to the equity market. The 2-yr note yield is down five basis points to 4.14% and the 10-yr note yield is down five basis points to 3.42%. The U.S. Dollar Index is up 0.1% to 102.01.

Energy complex futures trade in mixed fashion. WTI crude futures are flat at $80.14/bbl and natural gas futures are down 2.9% to $2.97/mmbtu.

In corporate news:

  • Microsoft (MSFT 236.07, -5.97, -2.5%): beats by $0.01, reports revs generally in-line; Azure revenue growth +38% constant currency vs +37% CC prior guidance; guides on call for MarQ, revs guided below consensus; sees revenue growth between 17%-19% for its Intelligent Cloud business

  • AT&T (T 19.62, +0.46, +2.4%): beats by $0.03, reports revs in-line; guides FY23 EPS below consensus

  • Amazon (AMZN 93.96, -2.36, -2.5%): losing ground in the wake of Microsoft's disappointing guidance for its cloud business; workers are expected to strike in UK today, according to Bloomberg

  • Boeing (BA 209.80, -2.18, -1.0%): misses by $1.95, reports revs in-line; reaffirms FY23 cash flow guidance

  • Texas Instruments (TXN 175.52, -1.52, -0.9%): misses by $0.01, reports revs in-line; guides Q1 EPS in-line, revs in-line

  • Capital One (COF 104.87, -1.64, -1.5%): misses by $1.04, reports revs in-line

  • Tesla (TSLA 104.87, -1.64, -1.5%): confirms $3.6 bln investment in Gigafactory Nevada

  • Intuitive Surgical (ISRG 234.84, -23.14, -9.0%): misses by $0.02, reports revs in-line; Sees 2023 procedure growth of 12-16%, sees non-GAAP gross margin of 68-69%

  • F5 Networks (FFIV 140.00, -6.47, -4.4%): beats by $0.14, reports revs in-line; guides Q2 EPS below consensus, revs in-line; guides FY23 revs in-line

  • News Corp (NWS 20.84, +0.93, +4.7%) and Fox Corporation (FOXA 33.26, +0.59, +1.8%): News Corp confirms Murdoch withdraws proposal to explore a potential combination of News Corp and Fox Corp

  • ASML â–´ 1.72% (ASML 656.66, -13.35, -2.0%): beats by $0.27, beats on revs; guides Q1 revs in-line; guides FY23 revs above consensus; raises dividend

  • Kimberly-Clark (KMB 129.16, -5.47, -4.1%): beats by $0.03, reports revs in-line; guides FY23 EPS below consensus, revs in-line

Reviewing overnight developments:

  • Equity indices in the Asia-Pacific region ended the midweek session on a mixed note while markets in China and Hong Kong remained closed for Lunar New Year. Japan's Nikkei: +0.4%, Hong Kong's Hang Seng: CLOSED, China's Shanghai Composite: CLOSED, India's Sensex: -1.3%, South Korea's Kospi: +1.4%, Australia's ASX All Ordinaries: -0.3%.

    • In economic data:

      • Japan's December Leading Index -1.2% m/m (last 0.4%) and Coincident Indicator -0.3% m/m (last -1.2%)

      • Australia's Q4 CPI 1.9% qtr/qtr (expected 1.6%; last 1.8%); 7.8% yr/yr (expected 7.5%; last 7.3%). December MI Leading Index -0.1% m/m (last -0.1%)

      • New Zealand's Q4 CPI 1.4% qtr/qtr (expected 1.3%; last 2.2%); 7.2% yr/yr (expected 7.1%; last 7.2%)

      • Singapore's December CPI 6.5% yr/yr (expected 6.6%; last 6.7%) and Core CPI 5.1% yr/yr (expected 5.0%; last 5.1%)


  • In news:

    • Australia's CPI was up 7.8% yr/yr in Q4, representing the sharpest rate of growth since 1990.

    • ANZ lowered its forecast for the next Reserve Bank of Australia rate hike to 50 bps from 75 bps. The bank expects a terminal rate of 5.25%.

    • Former Bank of Japan policymaker Maeda said that the new BoJ governor is likely to start phasing out yield curve control policy.



  • Major European indices trade in the red. STOXX Europe 600: -0.4%, Germany's DAX: -0.4%, U.K.'s FTSE 100: -0.1%, France's CAC 40: -0.3%, Italy's FTSE MIB: -0.4%, Spain's IBEX 35: -0.2%.

    • In economic data:

      • Germany's January ifo Business Climate Index 90.2, as expected (last 88.6). January Current Assessment 94.1 (expected 95.0; last 94.4) and Business Expectations 86.4 (expected 85.0; last 83.2)

      • U.K.'s December Input PPI -1.1% m/m (expected -0.6%; last 0.6%); 16.5% yr/yr (expected 18.0%; last 19.2%). December Output PPI -0.8% m/m (expected 0.3%; last 1.0%); 14.7% yr/yr (expected 16.4%; last 17.5%)

      • France's December jobseeker total 2.817 mln (last 2.810 mln)

      • Spain's December PPI 14.7% yr/yr (last 20.7%)

      • Swiss January ZEW Expectations -40.0 (last -42.8)


  • In news:

    • Expectations are on the rise for a Bank of England rate cut before the end of the year after cooler than expected PPI figures for December.

    • Swiss National Bank Vice Chair Schlegel said underlying inflation pressures are persisting and that additional rate hikes should not be ruled out at this time.

    • EasyJet reported strong bookings for January, resulting in an improved outlook for the year.

    • ASML beat Q4 expectations and guided for a 25% yr/yr rise in 2023 revenue.



U.S. equity futures:

  • S&P 500 Futures: -33 @ 3,984

  • DJIA Futures: -213 @ 33,521

  • Nasdaq 100 Futures: -153 @ 11,694

Overseas:

  • Europe: DAX -0.4%, FTSE -0.1%, CAC -0.3%

  • Asia: Nikkei +0.4%, Hang Seng CLOSED, Shanghai Composite CLOSED

Commodities:

  • Crude Oil -0.07 @ 80.06

  • Nat Gas -0.087 @ 2.970

  • Gold -8.25 @ 1927.15

  • Silver -0.184 @ 23.565

  • Copper -0.0162 @ 4.2323

Earnings/Guidance:

  • Abbott Labs ( ABT â–¾ 1.36% ) beats by $0.10, beats on revs; guides FY23 EPS in-line

  • Agilysys ( AGYS â–´ 0.13% ) beats by $0.05, beats on revs; raises FY23 revs above consensus

  • Ashland ( ASH â–¾ 4.02% ) sees Q1 EPS and revs below consensus; sees FY23 revs in line

  • ASML ( ASML â–´ 1.72% ) beats by $0.27, beats on revs; guides Q1 revs in-line; guides FY23 revs above consensus; raises dividend

  • AT&T ( T â–´ 6.58% ) beats by $0.03, reports revs in-line; guides FY23 EPS below consensus

  • Automatic Data ( ADP â–¾ 4.66% ) beats by $0.02, reports revs in-line; reaffirms FY23 EPS guidance, revs guidance

  • Azure Power ( AZRE â–´ 2.89% ) provides prelim results amid financial reporting delay

  • Boeing ( BA â–´ 0.33% ) misses by $1.95, reports revs in-line; reaffirms FY23 cash flow guidance

  • Borr Drilling ( BORR â–´ 0.35% ) guides Q4 and FY23 revs above consensus

  • Canadian Nat'l Rail ( CNI â–¾ 4.71% ) beats by $0.02, beats on revs, expects to deliver EPS growth in the low single-digit range for 2023; approves 8% dividend increase and approves Normal course issuer bid to purchase up to 32 mln shares of common stock

  • Capital One ( COF â–´ 8.99% ) misses by $1.04, reports revs in-line

  • eHealth ( EHTH â–´ 32.29% ) guides Q4 revenue above consensus

  • Elevance Health ( ELV â–´ 3.57% ) beats by $0.04, reports revs in-line

  • Extreme Networks ( EXTR â–¾ 14.55% ) beats by $0.03, beats on revs; guides Q3 EPS in-line, revs above consensus; guides FY23 revs above consensus

  • F5 Networks ( FFIV â–¾ 0.67% ) beats by $0.14, reports revs in-line; guides Q2 EPS below consensus, revs in-line; guides FY23 revs in-line

  • First Commonwealth ( FCF â–¾ 7.12% ) misses by $0.04, total loans increased 15.7%

  • General Dynamics ( GD â–¾ 3.64% ) beats by $0.04, beats on revs

  • Group 1 Auto ( GPI â–´ 2.11% ) beats by $0.02, beats on revs

  • Hess ( HES â–´ 2.61% ) beats by $0.14, beats on revs

  • Horace Mann ( HMN â–¾ 6.66% ) estimates Q4 Property & Casualty segment after tax loss of between $25 million and $29 million mainly due to Winter Storm Elliott

  • Intuitive Surgical ( ISRG â–¾ 5.50% ) misses by $0.02, reports revs in-line; Sees 2023 procedure growth of 12-16%, sees non-GAAP gross margin of 68-69%

  • Kimberly-Clark ( KMB â–¾ 1.91% ) beats by $0.03, reports revs in-line; guides FY23 EPS below consensus, revs in-line

  • MAG Silver ( MAG â–¾ 0.95% ) Reports Fourth Quarter Production From Juanicipio

  • MarketAxess ( MKTX â–´ 10.25% ) beats by $0.01, reports revs in-line

  • Marten Transport ( MRTN â–´ 7.78% ) reports EPS in-line, beats on revs

  • Microsoft ( MSFT â–¾ 0.59% ) beats by $0.01, reports revs generally in-line; Azure revenue growth +38% constant currency vs +37% CC prior guidance; guides on call for MarQ, revs guided below consensus

  • Monro Muffler ( MNRO â–´ 11.14% ) reports EPS in-line, beats on revs

  • NASDAQ ( NDAQ â–¾ 5.85% ) misses by $0.01, reports revs in-line

  • National Bank ( NBHC â–¾ 2.27% ) beats by $0.08, beats on revs

  • Navient ( NAVI â–´ 6.27% ) beats by $0.02, delinquencies greater than 90 days were $3.3 billion compared to $2.1 billion

  • NextEra Energy ( NEE â–¾ 8.74% ) beats by $0.02, misses on revs; guides FY23 EPS in-line

  • NextEra Energy Partners ( NEP â–¾ 4.66% ) misses by $0.09, misses on revs; declares quarterly distribution

  • NextGen Healthcare ( NXGN â–´ 5.80% ) misses by $0.01, reports revs in-line; guides FY23 EPS in-line, raises revs above consensus

  • ONE Gas ( OGS â–´ 3.54% ) narrows FY22 EPS guidance; also increases dividend by 5%

  • Popular ( BPOP â–¾ 3.19% ) reports Q4 (Dec) results, misses on revs

  • Prosperity Bancshares ( PB â–´ 3.79% ) beats by $0.01

  • Renasant ( RNST â–¾ 4.62% ) beats by $0.02

  • RPC ( RES â–´ 11.76% ) beats by $0.12, beats on revs; raises dividend

  • Silgan Holdings ( SLGN â–´ 3.88% ) beats by $0.02, misses on revs; guides Q1 EPS in-line; guides FY23 EPS in-line

  • Stifel Financial ( SF â–´ 4.46% ) misses by $0.06, misses on revs

  • Stride ( LRN â–´ 27.69% ) beats by $0.15, beats on revs; guides MarQ revs above consensus; guides FY23 revs above consensus

  • TE Connectivity ( TEL â–¾ 0.87% ) beats by $0.02, beats on revs; guides Q2 EPS below consensus, revs in-line

  • Teledyne Tech ( TDY â–´ 4.67% ) beats by $0.40, reports revs in-line; guides Q1 EPS in-line; guides FY23 EPS in-line

  • Texas Instruments ( TXN â–¾ 1.13% ) misses by $0.01, reports revs in-line; guides Q1 EPS in-line, revs in-line

  • Textron ( TXT â–´ 0.79% ) reports EPS in-line, revs in-line; guides FY23 EPS above consensus, revs above consensus

  • Trustmark ( TRMK â–¾ 13.54% ) misses by $0.12, net interest income increased 17.9%

  • UMB Financial Corporation ( UMBF â–´ 3.09% ) beats by $0.07, reports revs in-line

  • U.S. Bancorp ( USB â–´ 5.31% ) beats by $0.06, misses on revs

  • Vacasa ( VCSA â–¾ 0.60% ) approves a 17% workforce reduction plan; also confirms prior guidance for Q4

  • Veritex Holdings ( VBTX â–¾ 7.04% ) misses by $0.14, reports revs in-line; declares dividend

  • WesBanco Inc ( WSBC â–´ 0.98% ) beats by $0.01, net interest income increased 17.7%

  • Western Alliance Bancorp ( WAL â–´ 4.89% ) beats by $0.01, misses on revs

News:

  • President Biden is close to naming Federal Reserve Vice Chair Lael Brainard as head of National Economic Council; it is not known who will replace Brainard at Fed, according to Washington Post

  • China Lunar New Year holiday travel is rebounding, according to Bloomberg

  • White House announces new actions to protect renters and promote rental affordability

  • Amazon ( AMZN â–´ 0.89% ) workers are expected to strike in UK today, according to Bloomberg

  • Aurinia Pharma ( AUPH â–´ 10.23% ): USPTO allows new and refined method of use patent for Lupkynis

  • Barrick's ( GOLD â–´ 1.91% ) Tanzanian Assets Deliver Record Production and Create Long-Term Value

  • Bit Digital ( BTBT â–´ 0.72% ) and Generate Capital, PBC entered into a litigation standstill agreement regarding the disputed notice of termination of the master agreement

  • Boeing ( BA â–´ 0.33% ): NTSB publishes additional comments on Ethiopia's final report on 737 MAX 8 Accident

  • Boeing ( BA â–´ 0.33% ): European regulators are making progress on Boeing 777X cockpit design requirements, according to Reuters

  • Canoo ( GOEV â–¾ 1.57% ) announces definitive partnership agreement with GCC Olayan as exclusive distributor of its electric vehicles in Saudi Arabia

  • Deciphera Pharmaceuticals ( DCPH â–¾ 1.00% ) present additional data from the planned exploratory analysis from the INTRIGUE Phase 3 clinical study of QINLOCK using circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) from patients with gastrointestinal stromal tumor previously treated with imatinib

  • Eneti ( NETI â–´ 5.45% ) signs two new contracts in NW Europe

  • Equinox Gold's ( EQX â–´ 3.85% ) Greenstone Project: On Schedule, On Budget

  • Extreme Networks ( EXTR â–¾ 14.55% ) announces that its CFO, Rmi Thomas, has accepted a position at a privately held software company and will resign from his position at Extreme

  • Fennec Pharmaceuticals ( FENC â–´ 8.27% ) announces that the National Comprehensive Cancer Network has updated its clinical practice guidelines for Adolescent and Young Adult Oncology to include PEDMARK to help reduce the risk of ototoxicity associated with cisplatin use in pediatric patients with localized, non-metastatic solid tumors

  • FTAI Infrastructure ( FIP â–¾ 0.90% ) says its 50.1%-owned Long Ridge Energy Terminal returned to fully-operational status at the end of Q4 after an extended outage for maintenance and repair of its gas turbine

  • Innate Pharma ( IPHA â–¾ 0.55% ) announces HSR clearance regarding expansion of its collaboration with Sanofi (SNY) on NK Cell Engagers

  • Liberty Energy ( LBRT â–´ 4.05% ) increases existing share repurchase authorization to $500 mln

  • Lockheed Martin ( LMT â–´ 1.10% ) awarded a not-to exceed $320 mln modification to a previously awarded US Navy contract

  • Mammoth Energy Services ( TUS K) submitted a certified claim for approximately $379 million to the Federal Emergency Management Agency ("FEMA") pursuant to the federal Contract Disputes Act

  • Merck ( MRK â–´ 0.06% ) announces "positive" results from the Phase 3 KEYNOTE-966 trial

  • Microsoft ( MSFT â–¾ 0.59% ) tweets that it is investigating issues impacting multiple Microsoft 365 services; says "We've rolled back a network change that we believe is causing impact. We're monitoring the service as the rollback takes effect"

  • Nikola Corporation ( NKLA â–´ 2.30% ) and Fortescue Future Industries execute MOU to collaborate on and evaluate the co-development of large-scale U.S. green hydrogen production facilities

  • Petrobras ( PBR â–´ 1.27% ) provides CEO and UFN-III updates

  • Precigen ( PGEN â–¾ 24.66% ) announces positive Phase 1 dose escalation and expansion cohort data for the PRGN-2012 immunotherapy in patients with recurrent respiratory papillomatosis

  • Sempra Energy ( SRE â–¾ 0.09% ) and PKN ORLEN sign sale and purchase agreement for Port Arthur LNG

  • Stifel Financial ( SF â–´ 4.46% ) raises dividend by 20% to $0.36 per share

  • Tango Therapeutics ( TNGX â–´ 0.84% ) announces that the U.S. FDA has cleared an Investigational New Drug application for TNG462

  • TechnipFMC ( FTI â–´ 3.26% ) awarded a substantial master services agreement (MSA) for subsea services with Petrobras

  • Tesla ( TSLA â–´ 0.38% ) confirms $3.6 bln investment in Gigafactory Nevada

  • Uranium Energy ( UEC â–´ 1.54% ) received $17.85 mln from the DOE for supplying 300,000 pounds of U.S. origin uranium concentrates at $59.50/lb. to the DOE - National Nuclear Security Administration

  • Vera Bradley ( VRA 0.00% ) announces new streamlined corporate structure that includes the elimination of Brand President, Chief Creative Officer, and Chief Revenue Officer roles

M&A:

  • Broadcom ( AVGO â–´ 0.11% ): UK CMA announced the launch of its merger inquiry by notice to VMWare (VMW) / Broadcom

  • Fox Corp ( FOXA â–´ 2.51% ): Murdoch calling off proposed Fox-News Corp merger, according to CNBC

  • Int'l Paper ( IP â–¾ 1.17% ) to sell its 50% interest in Ilim SA, the holding company for its Ilim JV, to its JV partners for $484 mln equity value

  • News Corp ( NWS â–´ 4.77% ) confirms Murdoch withdraws proposal to explore a potential combination of News Corp and Fox Corp

  • News Corp ( NWSA â–´ 5.68% ) in discussions to sell 80% stake in Move to rival CoStar, according to Financial Times

Syndicate:

  • Ellington Financial ( EFC â–¾ 0.58% ) files mixed securities shelf offering

  • Kopin ( KOPN â–¾ 4.92% ) announces proposed public offering of common stock

  • Pacific Biosciences ( PACB â–´ 7.38% ) prices offering of 17.5 mln shares of its common stock at $10.00 per share

  • Pliant Therapeutics ( PLRX â–´ 5.19% ) prices offering of 8,333,334 shares of its common stock at a price to the public of $30.00 per share

  • Precigen ( PGEN â–¾ 24.66% ) prices offering of 42,857,143 shares of its common stock at $1.75 per share

IPOs:

  • Expected to Price:

    • TXO Energy Partners (NYSE: TXO): The developer and acquirer of conventional oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquid reserves in North America is expected to price its 5.0 M share IPO between $19-$21.


Gapping Up/Down

  • Gapping up:

    • GOEV +26%, EHTH +17.3%, LRN +15.6%, DCPH +6.1%, NWS +4.5%, FOX +3.9%, LBRT +3.7%, TUSK +3.1%, NWSA +1.8%, KOPN +1.6%, NKLA +1.5%, SLGN +1.4%, NAVI +1.3%, NETI +1.2%, IPHA +1.1%, FOXA +1%, NXGN +1%, VRA +0.9%, FCF +0.9%, VBTX +0.6%, LMT +0.5%


  • Gapping down:

    • PGEN -17.4%, ISRG -8.5%, HMN -7.6%, PACB -6.7%, AREN -6.4%, BORR -6%, MRTN -5.2%, PLRX -5%, FFIV -4.4%, VCSA -3.6%, COF -3.5%, EFC -3%, CNI -2.6%, MSFT -2.6%, TRMK -2.5%, ASML -1.8%, BTBT -1.4%, TXN -1.3%, TEL -1.3%, IP -1.2%, WAL -1%, ELV -0.7%



Analyst Research (see Upgrades/Downgrades calendar for full list):

  • Upgrades

    • News Corp. (NWSA) upgraded to Buy from Hold at Loop Capital; tgt raised to $25

    • SBA Comm (SBAC) upgraded to Peer Perform from Underperform at Wolfe Research


  • Downgrades:

    • Airbnb (ABNB) downgraded to Underperform from Hold at Gordon Haskett

    • Block (SQ) downgraded to Perform from Outperform at Oppenheimer

    • Bloomin' Brands (BLMN) downgraded to Market Perform from Outperform at BMO Capital Markets; tgt lowered to $26

    • Booking Holdings (BKNG) downgraded to Hold from Buy at Gordon Haskett

    • Booking Holdings (BKNG) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at BofA Securities; tgt raised to $2700


  • Others:

    • Bloomin' Brands (BLMN) resumed with a Neutral at BofA Securities; tgt $27


Upcoming Events:

  • Econ Data:

    • 07:00 ET: MBA Mortgage Applications Index for Jan 21 (Briefing.com Consensus NA; Prior 27.9%)

    • 10:30 ET: EIA Crude Oil Inventories for Jan 21 (Briefing.com Consensus NA; Prior 8.41M)


  • Earnings:

    • Monday (Jan 23)

      • Morning: BKR BOH SYF

      • Afternoon: BRO CR FNB HOPE IBTX LOGI UMPQ ZION


  • Tuesday (Jan 24)

    • Morning: MMM AUB COLB CBU DHI DHR GATX GE HAL IVZ JNJ LMT ONB PCAR RTX SFNC TRV UNP VZ

    • Afternoon: AGYS CNI COF FFIV FCF ISRG MRTN MSFT NBHC NAVI NXGN RNST SLGN LRN TXN TRMK UMBF VBTX WSBC WAL


  • Wednesday (Jan 25)

    • Morning: ABT APH ASML T ADP BA BOKF ELV EXTR FCX GD GPI HES KMB LKFN MKTX MNRO NDAQ NEE NEP NSC BPOP PGR PB RES TEL TDY TXT USB

    • Afternoon: AMP AZPN AXTA AXS BOOT CACI CALX CATY CLS CNS CCI CSX CVBF ETD FLEX HXL IBM KNX LRCX LVS LC LEVI LBRT PKG CASH PLXS XM RJF RLI STX SEIC NOW SLG STLD TER TSLA URI WOLF


  • Thursday (Jan 26)

    • Morning: ALK AAL AIT ADM BHLB BX BFH CRS CNX CMCSA CFR DOW EXP EWBC JBLU HZO MMC MA MKC MUR NTCT NOK NOC NUE OSIS PPBI ROK SASR SAP SHW LUV STM TROW TSCO VLO VLY VIRT WBS XEL XRX

    • Afternoon: ABCB AJG ASB AX EMN FICO FHI FFBC FIBK GBCI HTH INTC KLAC LHX OLN PACW RMD RHI SSB V WRB WY WSFS


  • Friday (Jan 27)

    • Morning: AXP ALV BMI BAH CHTR CVX CL FBP FHB GNTX HCA PFS ROP SBSI STEL



Asia & Europe detail:

Asia: Nikkei +0.4%, Hang Seng CLOSED, Shanghai Composite CLOSED

Equity indices in the Asia-Pacific region ended the midweek session on a mixed note while markets in China and Hong Kong remained closed for Lunar New Year. Australia's CPI was up 7.8% yr/yr in Q4, representing the sharpest rate of growth since 1990. ANZ lowered its forecast for the next Reserve Bank of Australia rate hike to 50 bps from 75 bps. The bank expects a terminal rate of 5.25%. Former Bank of Japan policymaker Maeda said that the new BoJ governor is likely to start phasing out yield curve control policy.

  • In economic data:

    • Japan's December Leading Index -1.2% m/m (last 0.4%) and Coincident Indicator -0.3% m/m (last -1.2%)

    • Australia's Q4 CPI 1.9% qtr/qtr (expected 1.6%; last 1.8%); 7.8% yr/yr (expected 7.5%; last 7.3%). December MI Leading Index -0.1% m/m (last -0.1%)

    • New Zealand's Q4 CPI 1.4% qtr/qtr (expected 1.3%; last 2.2%); 7.2% yr/yr (expected 7.1%; last 7.2%)

    • Singapore's December CPI 6.5% yr/yr (expected 6.6%; last 6.7%) and Core CPI 5.1% yr/yr (expected 5.0%; last 5.1%)


---Equity Markets---

  • Japan's Nikkei: +0.4%

  • Hong Kong's Hang Seng: CLOSED

  • China's Shanghai Composite: CLOSED

  • India's Sensex: -1.3%

  • South Korea's Kospi: +1.4%

  • Australia's ASX All Ordinaries: -0.3%

---FX---

  • USD/JPY: -0.3% to 129.73

  • USD/CNH: UNCH at 6.7801

  • USD/INR: UNCH at 81.56

Europe: DAX -0.4%, FTSE -0.1%, CAC -0.3%

Major European indices trade in the red. Expectations are on the rise for a Bank of England rate cut before the end of the year after cooler than expected PPI figures for December. Swiss National Bank Vice Chair Schlegel said underlying inflation pressures are persisting and that additional rate hikes should not be ruled out at this time. EasyJet reported strong bookings for January, resulting in an improved outlook for the year. ASML beat Q4 expectations and guided for a 25% yr/yr rise in 2023 revenue.

  • In economic data:

    • Germany's January ifo Business Climate Index 90.2, as expected (last 88.6). January Current Assessment 94.1 (expected 95.0; last 94.4) and Business Expectations 86.4 (expected 85.0; last 83.2)

    • U.K.'s December Input PPI -1.1% m/m (expected -0.6%; last 0.6%); 16.5% yr/yr (expected 18.0%; last 19.2%). December Output PPI -0.8% m/m (expected 0.3%; last 1.0%); 14.7% yr/yr (expected 16.4%; last 17.5%)

    • France's December jobseeker total 2.817 mln (last 2.810 mln)

    • Spain's December PPI 14.7% yr/yr (last 20.7%)

    • Swiss January ZEW Expectations -40.0 (last -42.8)


---Equity Markets---

  • STOXX Europe 600: -0.4%

  • Germany's DAX: -0.4%

  • U.K.'s FTSE 100: -0.1%

  • France's CAC 40: -0.3%

  • Italy's FTSE MIB: -0.4%

  • Spain's IBEX 35: -0.2%

---FX---

  • EUR/USD: -0.2% to 1.0867

  • GBP/USD: -0.2% to 1.2312

  • USD/CHF: -0.1% to 0.9217


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