top of page
Search

23/05/23 Briefing


The S&P 500 futures are down 12 points and are trading 0.3% below fair value. The Nasdaq 100 futures are down 50 points and are trading 0.4% below fair value. The Dow Jones Industrial Average futures are down 91 points and are trading 0.2% below fair value.

Yesterday's meeting between President Biden and House Speaker McCarthy did not result in a debt ceiling deal, but both sides will continue to negotiate. Overall, market participants continue to trade with some hesitancy as the S&P 500 continues to run into resistance at the 4,200 level.

Flash Manufacturing PMI readings from Germany and the U.K. missed expectations, pointing to a deepening contraction in activity while France's reading was ahead of estimates, but it also reflected contraction.

Treasury yields are inching higher. The 2-yr note yield is up four basis points to 4.38% and the 10-yr note yield is up two basis points to 3.74%. The U.S. Dollar Index is up 0.3% to 103.54.

Market participants will receive the following economic data today:

  • 9:45 a.m. ET: May IHS Markit Manufacturing PMI - Prelim (prior 50.2) and IHS Markit Services PMI - Prelim (prior 53.6)

  • 10:00 a.m. ET: April New Home Sales (Briefing.comconsensus 660,000; prior 683,000)

In corporate news:

  • PacWest (PACW 7.95, +1.10, +16.1%): continues to rally after yesterday's big gains

  • Lowe's (LOW 200.14, -3.01, -1.4%): beats by $0.22, beats on revs; lowers FY24 EPS below consensus, revs in-line

  • Zoom Video (ZM 70.32, -1.09, -1.5%): beats by $0.17, beats on revs; guides Q2 EPS in-line, revs in-line; guides FY24 EPS above consensus, revs above consensus

  • AutoZone (AZO 2543.98, -75.82, -2.9%): beats by $2.65, reports revs in-line

  • Guardant Health (GH 28.90, -1.90, -6.2%): prices offering of 12.5 mln shares of common stock at $28.00 per share

  • Yelp (YELP 35.91, +3.39, +10.4%): TCS Capital delivers open letter to the Yelp Board of Directors; Believes that the Board should immediately begin exploring strategic alternatives

  • Dick's Sporting Goods (DKS 128.61, +2.21, +1.8%): beats by $0.19, beats on revs; reaffirms FY24 EPS guidance

  • Microsoft (MSFT 321.68, +0.50, +0.2%): Jefferies reiterated a Buy rating and named the stock a top pick

  • Chevron (CVX 153.75, +1.31, +0.9%): HSBC upgraded to Buy from Hold

  • RenaissanceRe (RNR 185.00, -4.03, -2.1%): to acquire American International Group's (AIG) treaty reinsurance business for $2.985 bln in total consideration, including $2.735 bln of cash and $250 mln of RenaissanceRe common shares

Reviewing overnight developments:

  • Equity indices in the Asia-Pacific region ended Tuesday on a mostly lower note with Japan's Nikkei (-0.4%) recording its first loss in nine days. Japan's Nikkei: -0.4%, Hong Kong's Hang Seng: -1.3%, China's Shanghai Composite: -1.5%, India's Sensex: UNCH, South Korea's Kospi: +0.4%, Australia's ASX All Ordinaries: UNCH.

  • In economic data:

  • Japan's flash May Manufacturing PMI 50.8 (expected 49.5; last 49.5) and flash Services PMI 56.3 (expected 55.2; last 55.4). April BoJ Core CPI 3.0% yr/yr (expected 2.8%; last 2.9%)

  • South Korea's May Consumer Confidence 98.0 (expected 93.4; last 95.1)

  • Australia's flash May Manufacturing PMI 48.0 (expected 47.3; last 48.0) and flash Services PMI 51.8 (expected 48.9; last 53.7)\

  • Singapore's April CPI 5.7% yr/yr (expected 5.3%; last 5.5%) and Core CPI 5.0% (expected 4.7%; last 5.0%)

  • In news:

  • Press reports from China speculated that the People's Bank of China will maintain its loan prime rates for some time.

  • China's Commerce Ministry said that U.S. firms were told that their interests would be protected.

  • Japan's Manufacturing PMI returned into expansion in the May flash reading for the first time in seven months.

  • The Reserve Bank of New Zealand will announce its latest policy decision tomorrow, but expectations remain split regarding the size of the rate hike.

  • Major European indices trade in mixed fashion with France's CAC (-0.8%) showing relative weakness due to underperformance among consumer names. STOXX Europe 600: -0.3%, Germany's DAX: -0.2%, U.K.'s FTSE 100: +0.3%, France's CAC 40: -0.8%, Italy's FTSE MIB: -0.4%, Spain's IBEX 35: -0.2%.

  • In economic data:

  • Eurozone's March Current Account surplus EUR31.2 bln (expected EUR20.2 bln; last EUR24.5 bln). Flash May Manufacturing PMI 44.6 (expected 46.2; last 45.8) and flash Services PMI 55.9 (expected 55.6; last 56.2)

  • Germany's flash May Manufacturing PMI 42.9 (expected 45.0; last 44.5) and flash Services PMI 57.8 (expected 55.5; last 56.0)

  • U.K.'s flash May Manufacturing PMI 46.9 (expected 48.0; last 47.8) and flash Services PMI 55.1 (expected 55.5; last 55.9). April Public Sector Net Borrowing GBP24.74 bln (expected GBP17.50 bln; last GBP20.02 bln)

  • France's flash May Manufacturing PMI 46.1 (expected 46.0; last 45.6) and flash Services PMI 52.8 (expected 54.2; last 54.6)

  • In news:

  • Flash Manufacturing PMI readings from Germany and the U.K. missed expectations, pointing to a deepening contraction in activity while France's reading was ahead of estimates, but it also reflected contraction.

  • European Central Bank policymaker de Cos repeated that there is still some way to go in the central bank's tightening campaign.

  • Germany's Chancellor Scholz urged the formation of a "realistic and binding accord" to control debt, noting that an unlimited increase in debt is unacceptable.

  • The International Monetary Fund raised its forecast for 2023 growth in the U.K. to 0.4% from -0.3% while leaving the outlook for 2024 at 1.0%.

 

U.S. equity futures:

  • S&P 500 Futures: -8 @ 4,184

  • DJIA Futures: -72 @ 33,215

  • Nasdaq 100 Futures: -28 @ 13,821

Overseas:

  • Europe: DAX -0.2%, FTSE +0.3%, CAC -0.8%

  • Asia: Nikkei -0.4%, Hang Seng -1.3%, Shanghai Composite -1.5%

Commodities:

  • Crude Oil +0.67 @ 72.72

  • Nat Gas -0.009 @ 2.542

  • Gold -16.95 @ 1960.25

  • Silver -0.581 @ 23.28

  • Copper -0.0580 @ 3.627


 

Earnings/Guidance:

  • AT&T (T) provides shareholder update at the JP Morgan Conference; reaffirms free cash flow outlook

  • AutoZone (AZO) beats by $2.65, reports revs in-line

  • BJ's Wholesale (BJ) reports EPS in-line, misses on revs

  • Capital Southwest Corp. (CSWC) beats by $0.03, beats on revs

  • Dick's Sporting Goods (DKS) beats by $0.19, beats on revs; reaffirms FY24 EPS guidance

  • Endava (DAVA) beats by six pence, reports revs in-line; guides Q4 EPS below consensus, revs below consensus

  • Honeywell (HON) in Wolfe conference slides guides Q2 in-line, reaffirms FY outlook

  • IHS Holding Limited (IHS) reports Q1 (Mar) results, beats on revs

  • Kingsoft Cloud (KC) reports Q1 (Mar) results, misses on revs; guides Q2 revs below two analyst estimate

  • Lowe's (LOW) beats by $0.22, beats on revs; lowers FY24 EPS below consensus, revs in-line

  • Pebblebrook Hotel Trust (PEB) provides operating update; same property total revenues increased 1% yr/yr for April

  • Seadrill Ltd (SDRL) reports Q1 results; misses on revs

  • Valmont (VMI) reaffirms FY23 guidance in slide presentation

  • Vipshop (VIPS) beats by RMB0.85, beats on revs; guides Q2 revs above consensus

  • Zoom Video (ZM) beats by $0.17, beats on revs; guides Q2 EPS in-line, revs in-line; guides FY24 EPS above consensus, revs above consensus

News:

  • Both sides will continue negotiations after "productive" meeting ended without agreement on debt ceiling, according to the New York Times

  • Republicans and Democrats discussing health savings through Medicare plans as part of debt ceiling talks, CNBC

  • President Biden issues statement on debt ceiling talks

  • Yellen sends letter to Speaker, highly likely Treasury will no longer be able to satisfy all obligations by early June, and potentially as early as June 1

  • Achieve Life Sciences (ACHV) reports statistically significant smoking cessation benefit for Cytisinicline in second, confirmatory phase 3 clinical trial

  • Affimed Therapeutics (AFMD) announces IND clearance for a phase 2 clinical trial investigating AFM13 and AB-101 combination therapy

  • Alibaba (BABA) to eliminate 7% of staff in its cloud unit, according to Bloomberg

  • Arrowhead (ARWR) presents interim data from the ongoing Phase 2 GATEWAY clinical study of ARO-ANG3

  • Bally's (BALY) is running out of time in bid to make Trump Links in New York a casino, according to the New York Post

  • Blueprint Medicines (BPMC): FDA approves AYVAKIT (avapritinib) as the first and only treatment for indolent systemic mastocytosis

  • Brookfield Corp. (BN) announces renewal of normal course issuer bid

  • CSX (CSX) reaches tentative agreement with the Sheet Metal, Air, Rail and Transportation Workers Division CSRA to provide paid sick leave benefits

  • Cummins (CMI) acquires parts of Faurecia's Commercial Vehicle Exhaust Business in Europe and the US

  • Ellington Financial (EFC) increases the authorized number of shares of its common stock from 100,000,000 to 200,000,000 shares

  • General Dynamics (GD) awarded $736 mln U.S. Navy contract modification

  • Harmonic (HLIT) appoints Walter Jankovic as CFO, effective immediately

  • HUYA (HUYA) approves appointment of Songtao Lin as Chairman

  • Icosavax (ICVX) Announces Positive Topline Interim Phase 1 Results for Bivalent VLP Vaccine Candidate IVX-A12 Against RSV and hMPV in Older Adults

  • Integra (IART) details voluntary global recall of all products manufactured in its Boston distributed between March 1, 2018 and May 22, 2023; sees downside Q2

  • KBR (KBR) expanded its base operations support services in the Indo-Pacific region with a $24 mln task award contract by 94th Army Air and Missile Defense Command (94th AAMDC) for support of two key communications sites in Japan

  • Lufax (LU) beats by $0.16, misses on revs; observed macro-level green shoots of recovery

  • Microvast (MVST) will not receive $200 mln grant from Department of Energy, according to Reuters

  • Monte Rosa Therapeutics (GLUE) announces its second development candidate, MRT-6160, a novel, potent, and selective molecular glue degrader of VAV1

  • NIO (NIO) expects to host the all-new ES6 launch event in China on Wednesday, May 24, 2023

  • Nordson (NDSN) beats by $0.14, beats on revs; guides Q3 revs below consensus, guides Q4 revs above consensus; narrows FY23 EPS guidance; reaffirms FY23 revs guidance

  • Oracle (ORCL): TikTok will soon give Oracle full access to code and algorithm, according to Bloomberg

  • Pennant Group (PNTG) appoints Lynette Walbom as CFO, effective May 22

  • REGENXBIO (RGNX) announces that the U.S. FDA has granted Regenerative Medicine Advanced Therapy designation for RGX-121

  • Rocket Pharmaceuticals (RCKT) announces that the U.S. FDA has granted Regenerative Medicine Advanced Therapy designation to RP-L301

  • TEGNA (TGNA) announces a $300 mln accelerated share repurchase program and a 20% increase in its quarterly dividend to $0.11375/share following termination of merger agreement with Standard General

  • Tesla (TSLA) will sell China made cars in Canada, according to Reuters

  • Uranium Energy (UEC) commences S-K 1300 initial assessment economic study and environmental baseline program for its roughrider project in Saskatchewan, Canada

  • Vipshop (VIPS) appointed Mr. Mark Wang as its chief financial officer, effective May 24

  • Wave Life Sciences (WVE) announces topline results from the Phase 1b/2a FOCUS-C9 study evaluating WVE-004 as an investigational treatment for C9orf72-associated amyotrophic lateral sclerosis and frontotemporal dementia

  • Yelp (YELP): TCS Capital Management wants Yelp to explore strategic alternatives, according to the Wall Street Journal

M&A:

  • Brown & Brown (BRO) enters into an agreement to acquire Kentro Capital Limited; financial terms were not disclosed

  • Core & Main (CNM) to acquire Foster Supply and R.P. Foster, a provider of precast concrete structures; financial details not disclosed

  • Genesis Growth Tech Acquisition Corp. (GGAA) announces business combination agreement with NextTrip; to trade on NasdaqGM, deal expected to close in 2H23

  • NCR Corp (NCR) looking at sale of digital banking unit, according to Reuters

  • RenaissanceRe (RNR) to acquire American International Group's (AIG) treaty reinsurance business for $2.985 bln in total consideration, including $2.735 bln of cash and $250 mln of RenaissanceRe common shares

  • Shutterstock (SSTK) to acquire GIPHY, Inc. from Meta Platforms (META)

Syndicate:

  • Guardant Health (GH) files mixed shelf securities offering; announces proposed public offering of $250 mln of common stock

  • Icosavax (ICVX) announces registered direct offering of 8,369,754 shares of its common stock at $8.10 per share

  • RenaissanceRe (RNR) files mixed shelf securities offering; commences public offering of 6,300,000 of its common shares

  • Ryan Specialty Group (RYAN) files for class A common stock offering by selling shareholders

  • Southwestern Energy (SWN) files mixed shelf securities offering

  • US Foods (USFD) announces secondary public offering of common stock and concurrent share repurchase

IPOs:

  • IPOs Expected to Price:

  • Atmus Filtration Technologies (NYSE: ATMU): The manufacturer of filtration products for commercial vehicles and agriculture, construction, mining and power generation vehicles is expected to price its 14.1 M share IPO between $18-$21.

Gapping Up/Down

  • Gapping up:

  • LFCR +12.3%, ICVX +10.5%, GGAA +8.1%, TRVI+4.8%, BPMC +3.1%, TERN +2.9%, MODG +2.4%, TGNA +2.4%, PEB +2.1%, CSWC +1.9%, ACHV +1.6%, VIPS +1.1%, AIG +1%, NDSN +0.8%, GD +0.7%

  • Gapping down:

  • GH -7.9%, RNR -3.7%, SDRL -2.7%, VMI -1.7%, CSX-1.4%, RYAN -1%, SWN -0.6%

 

Analyst Research (see Upgrades/Downgradescalendarfor full list):

  • Upgrades

  • CCC Intelligent Solutions (CCCS) upgraded to Outperform from In-line at Evercore ISI; tgt $13

  • Chevron (CVX) upgraded to Buy from Hold at HSBC Securities; tgt $189

  • Myriad Genetics (MYGN) upgraded to Buy from Sell at Goldman; tgt raised to $25

  • Qiagen (QGEN) upgraded to Overweight from Equal-Weight at Morgan Stanley

  • Quanterix (QTRX) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Goldman; tgt raised to $27

  • Zoom Video (ZM) upgraded to Market Perform from Underperform at MoffettNathanson; tgt $85

  • Downgrades:

  • Intercept Pharma (ICPT) downgraded to Hold from Buy at Needham

  • Maravai Life Sciences (MRVI) downgraded to Neutral from Outperform at Credit Suisse; tgt lowered to $14

  • Wheaton Precious Metals (WPM) downgraded to Sector Perform from Outperform at RBC Capital Mkts; tgt $45

  • Others:

  • Axonics Modulation (AXNX) initiated with a Buy at CL King; tgt $75

  • Chimerix (CMRX) initiated with an Outperform at Robert W. Baird; tgt $7

  • Cleveland-Cliffs (CLF) initiated with a Neutral at JP Morgan; tgt $18

  • i3 Verticals (IIIV) assumed with a Buy at BTIG Research; tgt $28

  • Knight-Swift (KNX) assumed with a Buy at Stifel; tgt $63

  • Nucor (NUE) initiated with an Underweight at JP Morgan; tgt $130

  • Precigen (PGEN) initiated with a Neutral at JP Morgan

  • ResMed (RMD) initiated with a Buy at UBS; tgt $290

  • Revvity (RVTY) resumed with a Buy at Goldman; tgt $150

  • Schneider National (SNDR) assumed with a Buy at Stifel; tgt $33

  • Silk Road Medical (SILK) initiated with a Buy at CL King; tgt $47

  • Steel Dynamics (STLD) initiated with an Underweight at JP Morgan; tgt $82

  • TopBuild (BLD) initiated with a Buy at BofA Securities; tgt $225

  • U.S. Steel (X) initiated with a Neutral at JP Morgan; tgt $24

  • Werner Enterprises (WERN) assumed with a Buy at Stifel; tgt raised to $53

Econ Data:

  • 09:45 ET: IHS Markit Manufacturing PMI - Prelim for May (Briefing.comConsensus NA; Prior 50.2)

  • 09:45 ET: IHS Markit Services PMI - Prelim for May (Briefing.comConsensus NA; Prior 53.6)

  • 10:00 ET: New Home Sales for April (Briefing.comConsensus 660K; Prior 683K)

Earnings:

  • Monday (May 22)

  • Morning:  GLBE

  • Afternoon: CSWC HEI NDSN ZM

  • Tuesday (May 23)

  • Morning: AZO BJ DKS DAVA IHS KC LOW VIPS WSM

  • Afternoon:  A INTU NEWR PANW TOL URBN VFC

  • Wednesday (May 24)

  • Morning:  ANF CRMT ADI BMO BNS DY KSS WOOF PLAB PLCE

  • Afternoon:  AEO APPS ELF ENS GES RAMP MOD NVDA SNOW SPLK STEP PATH ZUO

  • Thursday (May 25)

  • Morning: AMWD BZUN BBY BURL CM CMCO DLTR GDS GCO HLNE MDT NTES RL RY TITN TD WB

  • Afternoon:  ME ADSK COST DECK DOMO GPS LGF.A MRVL RH ULTA WDAY

  • Friday (May 26) 

  • Morning:  BIG BAH BKE

 

Asia & Europe detail:

Asia: Nikkei -0.4%, Hang Seng -1.3%, Shanghai Composite -1.5%

Equity indices in the Asia-Pacific region ended Tuesday on a mostly lower note with Japan's Nikkei (-0.4%) recording its first loss in nine days. Press reports from China speculated that the People's Bank of China will maintain its loan prime rates for some time. China's Commerce Ministry said that U.S. firms were told that their interests would be protected. Japan's Manufacturing PMI returned into expansion in the May flash reading for the first time in seven months. The Reserve Bank of New Zealand will announce its latest policy decision tomorrow, but expectations remain split regarding the size of the rate hike.

  • In economic data:

  • Japan's flash May Manufacturing PMI 50.8 (expected 49.5; last 49.5) and flash Services PMI 56.3 (expected 55.2; last 55.4). April BoJ Core CPI 3.0% yr/yr (expected 2.8%; last 2.9%)

  • South Korea's May Consumer Confidence 98.0 (expected 93.4; last 95.1)

  • Australia's flash May Manufacturing PMI 48.0 (expected 47.3; last 48.0) and flash Services PMI 51.8 (expected 48.9; last 53.7)

  • Singapore's April CPI 5.7% yr/yr (expected 5.3%; last 5.5%) and Core CPI 5.0% (expected 4.7%; last 5.0%)

---Equity Markets---

  • Japan's Nikkei: -0.4%

  • Hong Kong's Hang Seng: -1.3%

  • China's Shanghai Composite: -1.5%

  • India's Sensex: UNCH

  • South Korea's Kospi: +0.4%

  • Australia's ASX All Ordinaries: UNCH

---FX---

  • USD/JPY: -0.1% to 138.51

  • USD/CNH: +0.3% to 7.0671

  • USD/INR: UNCH at 82.78

 

Europe: DAX -0.2%, FTSE +0.3%, CAC -0.8%

Major European indices trade in mixed fashion with France's CAC (-0.8%) showing relative weakness due to underperformance among consumer names. Flash Manufacturing PMI readings from Germany and the U.K. missed expectations, pointing to a deepening contraction in activity while France's reading was ahead of estimates, but it also reflected contraction. European Central Bank policymaker de Cos repeated that there is still some way to go in the central bank's tightening campaign. Germany's Chancellor Scholz urged the formation of a "realistic and binding accord" to control debt, noting that an unlimited increase in debt is unacceptable. The International Monetary Fund raised its forecast for 2023 growth in the U.K. to 0.4% from -0.3% while leaving the outlook for 2024 at 1.0%.

  • In economic data:

  • Eurozone's March Current Account surplus EUR31.2 bln (expected EUR20.2 bln; last EUR24.5 bln). Flash May Manufacturing PMI 44.6 (expected 46.2; last 45.8) and flash Services PMI 55.9 (expected 55.6; last 56.2)

  • Germany's flash May Manufacturing PMI 42.9 (expected 45.0; last 44.5) and flash Services PMI 57.8 (expected 55.5; last 56.0)

  • U.K.'s flash May Manufacturing PMI 46.9 (expected 48.0; last 47.8) and flash Services PMI 55.1 (expected 55.5; last 55.9). April Public Sector Net Borrowing GBP24.74 bln (expected GBP17.50 bln; last GBP20.02 bln)

  • France's flash May Manufacturing PMI 46.1 (expected 46.0; last 45.6) and flash Services PMI 52.8 (expected 54.2; last 54.6)

---Equity Markets---

  • STOXX Europe 600: -0.3%

  • Germany's DAX: -0.2%

  • U.K.'s FTSE 100: +0.3% 

  • France's CAC 40: -0.8%

  • Italy's FTSE MIB: -0.4%

  • Spain's IBEX 35: -0.2%

---FX---

  • EUR/USD: -0.3% to 1.0778

  • GBP/USD: -0.4% to 1.2379

  • USD/CHF: +0.4% to 0.9010

0 views0 comments

Recent Posts

See All

The S&P 500 futures are up 10 points and are trading 0.2% above fair value. The Nasdaq 100 futures are up 57 points and are trading 0.4% above fair value. The Dow Jones Industrial Average futures are

Post: Blog2_Post
bottom of page