top of page
Search

21/03/23 Briefing

Updated: Mar 24

The S&P 500 futures are up 36 point and are trading 0.9% above fair value. The Nasdaq 100 futures are up 95 points and are trading 0.8% above fair value. The Dow Jones Industrial Average futures are up 294 points and are trading 0.8% above fair value.

The equity futures market has a positive disposition this morning. Investors are feeling less anxious about the banking industry following a Bloomberg report indicating the Treasury Department is looking at ways to guarantee all bank deposits, if necessary, without congressional approval. Also, Treasury Secretary Yellen's prepared remarks to the American Bankers Association, according to CNBC, indicated that the government is prepared to intervene again if "smaller institutions suffer deposit runs that pose the risk of contagion.'

A rebound in the bank stocks following the aforementioned news has been integral to this morning's gains. First Republic Bank (FRC) is among the top performers from the banking sector on reports that it's pursuing strategic alternatives, including a possible sale.

There's also some contrarian buying interest helping along the equity futures market after the BofA Global Fund Manager Survey showed that pessimism is near a 20-year low.

The Treasury market is under selling pressure this morning, presumably as some of safety premium embedded there gets unwound. The 2-yr note yield is up 21 basis points to 4.13% and the 10-yr note yield is up eight basis points to 3.56%. As a reminder, the FOMC meeting starts today and a decision will be announced at 2:00 p.m. ET Wednesday.

In corporate news:

  • First Republic Bank (FRC 13.91, +1.73, +14.2%): JP Morgan (JPM) CEO Jamie Dimon is leading discussions to rescue First Republic Bank, according to WSJ

  • Meta Platforms (META 203.21, +5.40, +2.7%): upgraded to Overweight from Equal Weight at Morgan Stanley

  • Foot Locker (FL 41.54, +1.68, +4.2%): upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Citi

  • Canadian Solar (CSIQ 39.25, +3.39, +9.5%): beats by $0.15, reports revs in-line; guides Q1 revs in-line; guides FY23 revs below consensus

  • On (ONON 24.59, +3.02, +14.0%): misses by CHF0.04, beats on revs; guides FY23 revs above consensus

  • Harmonic (HLIT 14.21, +1.12, +8.6%): selected by Charter Communications (CHTR) as its strategic technology partner to deploy virtual CMTS tech for next-gen broadband services

  • First Majestic Silver (AG 6.32, -1.12, -15.1%): temporarily suspending all mining activities and reducing workforce at Jerritt Canyon, effective immediately

Reviewing overnight developments:

  • Equity indices in the Asia-Pacific region ended Tuesday on a higher note while Japan's Nikkei was closed for Vernal Equinox. Japan's Nikkei: CLOSED, Hong Kong's Hang Seng: +1.4%, China's Shanghai Composite: +0.6%, India's Sensex: +0.8%, South Korea's Kospi: +0.4%, Australia's ASX All Ordinaries: +0.8%.

  • In economic data:

  • South Korea's February PPI 0.1% m/m (last 0.4%); 4.8% yr/yr (last 5.1%)

  • New Zealand's February trade deficit NZD714 mln (expected deficit of NZD1.45 bln; last deficit of NZD2.113 bln). February Credit Card Spending 25.6% yr/yr (last 18.1%)

  • In news:

  • India's Prime Minister Modi and Japan's Prime Minister Kishida talked about increasing economic cooperation.

  • The Reserve Bank of Australia's March Minutes showed an agreement to consider a pause in raising rates in April.

  • South Korea's exports were down 17.4% yr/yr during the first 20 days of March with chip exports falling 44.7%.

  • Major European indices trade on a firmly higher note with bank stocks bouncing. STOXX Europe 600: +1.5%, Germany's DAX: +1.6%, U.K.'s FTSE 100: +1.4%, France's CAC 40: +1.5%, Italy's FTSE MIB: +2.4%, Spain's IBEX 35: +2.5%.

  • In economic data:

  • Eurozone's January Construction Output 3.91% m/m (last -2.31%) and March ZEW Economic Sentiment 10.0 (expected 16.0; last 29.7)

  • Germany's March ZEW Economic Sentiment 13.0 (expected 17.1; last 28.1) and ZEW Current Conditions -46.5 (expected -44.3; last -45.1)

  • U.K.'s February Public Sector Net Borrowing GBP15.86 bln (expected GBP10.10 bln; last -GBP9.10 bln)

  • Swiss February trade surplus CHF3.31 bln (expected surplus of CHF3.45 bln; last surplus of CHF4.848 bln)

  • In news:

  • Northern Ireland's DUP will vote against the revised Brexit deal, which was announced on February 27.

  • European Central Bank President Lagarde said that the central bank would have signaled a need for more hikes if it wasn't for recent tension in the financial system. ECB policymaker de Cos said that the central bank was ready to react to maintain financial stability while policymaker Kazaks said it is not possible to rule out more rate hikes.

 

U.S. equity futures:

  • S&P 500 Futures: +32 @ 3,983

  • DJIA Futures: +253 @ 32,498

  • Nasdaq 100 Futures: +85 @ 12,648

Overseas:

  • Europe: DAX +1.6+%, FTSE +1.4%, CAC +1.5%

  • Asia: Nikkei CLOSED, Hang Seng +1.4%, Shanghai Composite +0.6%

Commodities:

  • Crude Oil +0.63 @ 68.45

  • Nat Gas +0.005 @ 2.228

  • Gold -12.35 @ 1970.45

  • Silver -0.31 @ 22.615

  • Copper +0.0752 @ 4.0267


 

Earnings/Guidance:

  • Canadian Solar (CSIQ) beats by $0.15, reports revs in-line; guides Q1 revs in-line; guides FY23 revs below consensus

  • HUYA (HUYA) beats by $0.02, misses on revs

  • On (ONON) misses by CHF0.04, beats on revs; guides FY23 revs above consensus

  • Tencent Music (TME) beats by RMB0.02, beats on revs

News:

  • US studying ways to guarantee all bank deposits if banking issues expand, according to Bloomberg

  • Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen will tell global bankers that intervention was necessary to protect financial system and similar actions could be warranted if smaller institutions suffer deposits runs; says FDIC insurance could be raised if a specific institution poses a systemic risk - CNBC

  • Chinese President Xi says Russia is a "good neighbor and reliable partner." US officials are doubtful of China's claims that they are a peaceful mediator, according to the New York Times

  • White House releases economic report

  • Investors have concerns about mortgage market after collapse of Silicon Valley Bank (SIVB), according to the Wall Street Journal

  • California Governor Newsom and legislative leaders strike deal on proposal to "hold big oil accountable"

  • French government survives no confidence vote, according to the New York Times

  • AFC Gamma (AFCG) appoints EVP Brandon Hetzel as CFO and Treasurer, effective immediately

  • Akoya Biosciences (AKYA) that CFO Joe Driscoll is retiring, effective March 20, 2023; Johnny Ek has been appointed as the company's new CFO, effective immediately

  • Altimmune (ALT) announces positive results from week 24 interim analysis of pemvidutide momentum phase 2 obesity trial and 12-week phase 1b type 2 diabetes safety trial

  • BeiGene (BGNE) is entering a new phase as it continues to build its U.S. presence

  • BlackBerry (BB) announces new patent sale transaction with leading patent monetization company for up to $900 million

  • BridgeBio Pharma (BBIO) Shares Preliminary Findings on Novel Bioassay Measuring Glycosylated Alpha-dystroglycan (?DG) in Patients with Limb-girdle Muscular Dystrophy Type 2I

  • Canadian Nat'l Rail (CNI) and Unifor reach tentative agreements

  • Ceridian HCM (CDAY) selected by Orica, a global mining provider with over 12,500 employees, to modernize its HR and payroll

  • First Foundation (FFWM) Provides Update on Financial Strength; co states it is in a strong liquidity position

  • First Majestic Silver (AG) temporarily suspending all mining activities and reducing workforce at Jerritt Canyon, effective immediately

  • Fortuna (FSM) reports updated Mineral Reserves and Mineral Resources

  • Fusion Pharmaceuticals (FUSN) Announces First Patient Dosed in Phase 1 Study of FPI-2059, a Targeted Alpha Therapy (TAT) for the Treatment of Solid Tumors Expressing NTSR1

  • Google (GOOG) suspended PDD Holdings (PDD) shopping application Pinduoduo over malware concerns, according to Bloomberg

  • Great Lakes Dredge & Dock (GLDD) announces receipt of several major dredging awards totaling $138.8 million

  • Grindrod Shipping (GRIN) Interim CEO and CFO Stephen Griffiths to retire, effective March 31; Edward Buttery appointed as CEO and Deborah Davel appointed CFO, effective April 1

  • Harmonic (HLIT) selected by Charter Communications (CHTR) as its strategic technology partner to deploy virtual CMTS tech for next-gen broadband services

  • HSBC (HSBC): Texas added HSBC (HSBC) to energy sanctions list over climate policy, according to Reuters

  • Intellia Therapeutics (NTLA) announces FDA regenerative medicine advanced therapy designation granted to NTLA-2002 for the treatment of hereditary angioedema

  • JP Morgan (JPM) CEO Jamie Dimon is leading discussions to rescue First Republic Bank (FRC), according to the Wall Street Journal

  • MagnaChip Semi (MX) announced that the company began full-scale mass production of its new 40V MXT Metal-Oxide-Semiconductor Field-Effect Transistor optimized for the Electric Water Pumps and Electric Oil Pumps in electric vehicles

  • Nano Dimension (NNDM) shareholders vote in support of all of Murchinson Ltd's previously announced proposals; CEO and Chairman Yoav Stern voted out

  • New Found Gold Corp. (NFGC) extends high-grade at keats west to 305m down dip with 10.1 g/t au over 22.5m & hits 80m wide gold domain

  • Sanofi (SNY) and Regeneron Pharmaceuticals (REGN) receives EC approval for Dupixent

  • Selecta Biosciences (SELB) reports Phase 3 DISSOLVE Program of SEL-212 in chronic refractory gout meets primary endpoint

  • Select Energy Services (WTTR) announces new $50 mln share repurchase program

  • Sempra Energy (SRE) launches Port Arthur LNG project

  • Silvergate Capital (SI) receives non-compliance notice from NYSE regarding 10-K filing

  • SLR Capital Partners (SLRC) issues letter to shareholders regarding Silicon Valley Bank and Signature Bank issues; believes these issues will not have a significant impact to its operations

  • Tesla (TSLA): Moody's assigns Baa3 issuer rating to Tesla; outlook stable

  • TSMC (TSM) has seen a ramp up in orders from Nvidia (NVDA), according to

  • TTEC Holdings (TTEC) CFO Dustin Semach to leave, effective April 14; Francois Bourret appointed interim CFO

  • UBS AG (UBS): Moody's affirms the ratings of UBS Group AG (A3 Senior Unsecured) and changes outlook to negative

  • Vontier (VNT) announces new segment reporting structure to align with its strategy

M&A:

  • Accenture (ACN) to acquire industrial AI company Flutura

  • Ducommun (DCO) to acquire BLR Aerospace

  • JATT Acquisition Corp (JATT): Zura Bio Limited announces closing of business combination with JATT Acquisition Corp

  • Thermo Fisher Scientific (TMO) interested in acquisition of biopharma solutions unit of Baxter (BAX), according to Reuters

Syndicate:

  • Karuna Therapeutics (KRTX) commences public offering of $400 mln of its common stock

  • Paramount Global (PARA) files mixed shelf securities offering

IPOs:

  • Expected to Price:

  • No IPOs expected.

Gapping Up/Down

  • Gapping up:

  • SELB +18%, HLIT +8.5%, ONON +6.4%, GRIN +4.2%, CSIQ +3.1%, CX +2.9%, SLRC +2.4%, CDAY +1.8%, FUSN +1.3%, AFCG +1.2%, TSLA +1.2%, CNI +1.2%, SRE +1.1%, SNY +1.1%, GLDD +0.8%, SO +0.7%

  • Gapping down:

  • AG -17.5%, SI -3%, FMC -2.3%, CTRE -1.5%, KRTX-1.4%, FSM -1.4%, TME -1.4%

 

Analyst Research (see Upgrades/Downgradescalendarfor full list:

  • Upgrades

  • Assurant (AIZ) upgraded to Outperform from Mkt Perform at Keefe Bruyette; tgt $52

  • Emerson (EMR) upgraded to Overweight from Equal-Weight at Morgan Stanley; tgt raised to $96

  • FleetCor (FLT) upgraded to Outperform from Mkt Perform at Raymond James; tgt $254

  • Harley-Davidson (HOG) upgraded to Overweight from Equal-Weight at Morgan Stanley; tgt $50

  • Imperial Oil (IMO) upgraded to Sector Outperform from Sector Perform at Scotiabank

  • Meta Platforms (META) upgraded to Overweight from Equal-Weight at Morgan Stanley; tgt raised to $250

  • Wix.com(WIX) upgraded to Overweight from Neutral at Piper Sandler; tgt raised to $120

  • Downgrades:

  • Agree Realty (ADC) downgraded to Mkt Perform from Mkt Outperform at JMP Securities

  • GoDaddy (GDDY) downgraded to Neutral from Overweight at Piper Sandler; tgt lowered to $88

  • Others:

  • Allogene (ALLO) initiated with a Mkt Perform at Bernstein; tgt $6

  • Alnylam Pharma (ALNY) initiated with an Outperform at Bernstein; tgt $243

  • Arrowhead (ARWR) initiated with a Mkt Perform at Bernstein; tgt $27

  • Beam Therapeutics (BEAM) initiated with a Mkt Perform at Bernstein; tgt $37

  • BioMarin Pharmaceutical (BMRN) initiated with an Underperform at Bernstein; tgt $81

  • CRISPR Therapeutics (CRSP) initiated with a Mkt Perform at Bernstein; tgt $44

  • Intellia Therapeutics (NTLA) initiated with an Outperform at Bernstein; tgt $54

  • Ionis Pharma (IONS) initiated with an Underperform at Bernstein; tgt $31

  • Vertex Pharma (VRTX) initiated with an Outperform at Bernstein; tgt $344

  • Econ Data:

  • 10:00 ET: Existing Home Sales for Feb (Briefing.comConsensus 4.16M; Prior 4.00 M)

  • Earnings:

  • Monday (Mar 20)

  • Morning:  FL PDD

  • Tuesday (Mar 21)

  • Morning: CSIQ HUYA ONON TME

  • Afternoon:  AIR ARRY GME NKE

  • Wednesday (Mar 22)

  • Morning:  BZUN OLLI WOOF WGO

  • Afternoon:  CHWY KBH MLKN PHR SCS WOR

  • Thursday (Mar 23)

  • Morning: ACN CMC DRI FDS GIS

  • Afternoon:  HRTX OXM CURV

Asia & Europe detail:

Asia: Nikkei CLOSED, Hang Seng +1.4%, Shanghai Composite +0.6%

Equity indices in the Asia-Pacific region ended Tuesday on a higher note while Japan's Nikkei was closed for Vernal Equinox. India's Prime Minister Modi and Japan's Prime Minister Kishida talked about increasing economic cooperation. The Reserve Bank of Australia's March Minutes showed an agreement to consider a pause in raising rates in April. South Korea's exports were down 17.4% yr/yr during the first 20 days of March with chip exports falling 44.7%.

  • In economic data:

  • South Korea's February PPI 0.1% m/m (last 0.4%); 4.8% yr/yr (last 5.1%)

  • New Zealand's February trade deficit NZD714 mln (expected deficit of NZD1.45 bln; last deficit of NZD2.113 bln). February Credit Card Spending 25.6% yr/yr (last 18.1%)

---Equity Markets--- 

  • Japan's Nikkei: CLOSED

  • Hong Kong's Hang Seng: +1.4%

  • China's Shanghai Composite: +0.6%

  • India's Sensex: +0.8% 

  • South Korea's Kospi: +0.4%

  • Australia's ASX All Ordinaries: +0.8%

---FX---

  • USD/JPY: +0.7% to 132.28

  • USD/CNH: UNCH at 6.8743

  • USD/INR: +0.1% to 82.61

 

Europe: DAX +1.6+%, FTSE +1.4%, CAC +1.5%

Major European indices trade on a firmly higher note with bank stocks bouncing. Northern Ireland's DUP will vote against the revised Brexit deal, which was announced on February 27. European Central Bank President Lagarde said that the central bank would have signaled a need for more hikes if it wasn't for recent tension in the financial system. ECB policymaker de Cos said that the central bank was ready to react to maintain financial stability while policymaker Kazaks said it is not possible to rule out more rate hikes.

  • In economic data:

  • Eurozone's January Construction Output 3.91% m/m (last -2.31%) and March ZEW Economic Sentiment 10.0 (expected 16.0; last 29.7)

  • Germany's March ZEW Economic Sentiment 13.0 (expected 17.1; last 28.1) and ZEW Current Conditions -46.5 (expected -44.3; last -45.1)

  • U.K.'s February Public Sector Net Borrowing GBP15.86 bln (expected GBP10.10 bln; last -GBP9.10 bln)

  • Swiss February trade surplus CHF3.31 bln (expected surplus of CHF3.45 bln; last surplus of CHF4.848 bln)

---Equity Markets---

  • STOXX Europe 600: +1.5%

  • Germany's DAX: +1.6%

  • U.K.'s FTSE 100: +1.4%

  • France's CAC 40: +1.5%

  • Italy's FTSE MIB: +2.4%

  • Spain's IBEX 35: +2.5%

---FX--- 

  • EUR/USD: +0.4% to 1.0767

  • GBP/USD: -0.2% to 1.2247

  • USD/CHF: -0.4% to 0.9255


0 views0 comments

Recent Posts

See All
bottom of page