top of page
Search

17/05/23 Briefing

The S&P 500 futures are up 15 points and are trading 0.4% above fair value. The Nasdaq 100 futures are up 29 points and are trading 0.2% above fair value. The Dow Jones Industrial Average futures are up 130 points and are trading 0.3% above fair value.

Stock futures have been sporting a positive disposition so far this morning. Some optimism about the debt ceiling talks along with Western Alliance's (WAL) encouraging deposit growth update seem to be overshadowing lingering worries about economic growth after Target (TGT) indicated that sales trends softened in the first quarter.

Treasuries are little changed from yesterday's settlement levels. The 2-yr note yield is unchanged at 4.07% and the 10-yr note yield is down three basis points to 3.51%.

The MBA Mortgage Applications Index fell 5.7% with purchase applications declining 4.8% and refinancing applications dropping 8.0%. 

Other economic data today includes:

  • 8:30 ET: April Housing Starts (Briefing.comconsensus 1.405 mln; prior 1.420 mln) and Building Permits (Briefing.comconsensus 1.438 mln; prior 1.413 mln)

  • 10:30 ET: Weekly crude oil inventories (prior +2.95 mln)

In corporate news:

  • Target (TGT 156.75, -0.16, -0.1%): beats by $0.26, misses on revs; guides Q2 EPS below consensus; reaffirms FY24 EPS guidance

  • Western Alliance Bancorp (WAL 34.86, +3.27, +10.4%): in 2Q23 Investor Update slides: deposits stabilized by March 20 and resumed growth trajectory; QTD deposit growth exceeded $2.0 bln as of May 12

  • Keysight (KEYS 158.54, +12.02, +8.2%): beats by $0.17, reports revs in-line; guides Q3 EPS above consensus, revs in-line

  • Wynn Resorts (WYNN 106.00, +2.95, +2.9%): upgraded to Overweight from Equal Weight at Barclays

  • Tesla (TSLA 169.08, +2.56, +1.5%): at yesterday's share holder meeting, CEO Elon Musk teases "two new products"

  • TJX (TJX 77.15, -1.07, -1.4%): beats by $0.05, reports revs in-line; guides Q2 EPS below consensus; lowers top end of FY24 EPS below consensus; Q1 comps +3%

  • Doximity (DOCS 30.62, -3.25, -9.6%): beats by $0.03, reports revs in-line; guides JunQ revs below consensus; guides FY24 (Mar) revs in-line

Reviewing overnight developments:

  • Equity indices in the Asia-Pacific region ended Wednesday on a mixed note, though Japan's Nikkei reached its best level since September 2021. Japan's Nikkei: +0.8%, Hong Kong's Hang Seng: -2.1%, China's Shanghai Composite: -0.2%, India's Sensex: -0.6%, South Korea's Kospi: +0.6%, Australia's ASX All Ordinaries: -0.5%

    • In economic data:

      • China's April House Prices -0.2% yr/yr (last -0.8%) and April FDI 2.2% YTD (last 4.9%)

      • Japan's flash Q1 GDP 0.4% qtr/qtr (expected 0.1%; last 0.0%); 1.6% yr/yr (expected 0.7%; last -0.1%). Q1 Private Consumption 0.6% qtr/qtr (expected 0.4%; last 0.2%). GDP Price Index 2.1% yr/yr (expected 2.0%; last 1.2%). March Industrial Production 1.1% m/m (expected 0.8%; last 4.6%) and Capacity Utilization 0.8% m/m (expected 1.5%; last 3.9%)

      • Australia's Q1 Wage Price Index 0.8% qtr/qtr (expected 0.9%; last 0.8%); 3.7% yr/yr (expected 3.6%; last 3.4%)

      • Singapore's April trade surplus $4.713 bln (expected surplus of $6.346 bln; last surplus of $6.207 bln). April non-oil exports 2.7% m/m (expected -3.0%; last 18.4%); -9.8% yr/yr (expected -9.4%; last -8.3%)

    • In news:

      • Japan's Prime Minister Kishida will meet with executives from seven major chipmakers on Thursday.

      • Australia's Prime Minister Albanese said that next week's meeting of Quad leaders will now be held in Japan instead of Australia.

      • Australia's Wage Price Index for Q1 increased at its fastest pace since Q3 2012.

      • ANZ expects that the Reserve Bank of New Zealand will raise its official cash rate by another 50 bps by July.

  • Major European indices trade near their flat lines while Germany's DAX (+0.5%) outperforms. STOXX Europe 600: -0.1%, Germany's DAX: +0.5%, U.K.'s FTSE 100: -0.1%, France's CAC 40: UNCH, Italy's FTSE MIB: -0.1%, Spain's IBEX 35: UNCH.

    • In economic data:

      • Eurozone's April CPI 0.6% m/m (expected 0.7%; last 0.9%); 7.0% yr/yr, as expected (last 6.9%). April Core CPI 1.0% m/m, as expected (last 1.3%); 5.6% yr/yr, as expected (last 5.7%)

      • France's Q1 Unemployment Rate 7.1%, as expected (last 7.1%)

      • Italy's March trade surplus EUR7.54 bln (expected surplus of EUR2.50 bln; last surplus of EUR2.10 bln)

    • In news:

      • Siemens reported better than expected quarterly results and raised its outlook for the year while SAP announced a new buyback.

      • European Central Bank policymaker de Cos said that the central bank is nearing the end of its tightening cycle while British Chancellor Hunt said that the U.K. is on the right path to lower inflation and rates.

 

U.S. equity futures:

  • S&P 500 Futures: +13 @ 4,123

  • DJIA Futures: +108 @ 33,121

  • Nasdaq 100 Futures: +25 @ 13,451

Overseas:

  • Europe: DAX +0.5%, FTSE -0.1%, CAC UNCH

  • Asia: Nikkei +0.8%, Hang Seng -2.1%, Shanghai Composite -0.2%

Commodities:

  • Crude Oil +0.17 @ 71.03

  • Nat Gas +0.047 @ 2.423

  • Gold -1.75 @ 1991.25

  • Silver -0.033 @ 23.86

  • Copper +0.0495 @ 3.7165


 

Earnings/Guidance:

  • Aegon N.V. (AEG) provides Q1 trading update

  • Agilysys (AGYS) beats by $0.04, beats on revs; guides FY24 revs in-line

  • Dorian LPG (LPG) sees Q4 revs above consensus

  • Doximity (DOCS) beats by $0.03, reports revs in-line; guides JunQ revs below consensus; guides FY24 (Mar) revs in-line

  • Dynatrace (DT) beats by $0.09, beats on revs; guides Q1 EPS in-line, revs above consensus; guides FY24 EPS in-line, revs above consensus

  • Keysight (KEYS) beats by $0.17, reports revs in-line; guides Q3 EPS above consensus, revs in-line

  • Kyndryl (KD) reports Q4 (Mar) results, beats on revs; guides FY24 revs slightly below consensus

  • NextGen Healthcare (NXGN) beats by $0.02, beats on revs; guides FY24 EPS in-line, revs above consensus

  • Riskified (RSKD) misses by $0.03, reports revs in-line; reaffirms FY23 revs guidance

  • Siemens AG (SIEGY) reports Q2 results; raises outlook

  • Target (TGT) beats by $0.26, misses on revs; guides Q2 EPS below consensus; reaffirms FY24 EPS guidance

  • Tencent (TCEHY) reports Q1 results & provides outlook

  • TJX (TJX) beats by $0.05, reports revs in-line; guides Q2 EPS below consensus; lowers top end of FY24 EPS below consensus; Q1 comps +3%

  • Triumph Group (TGI) beats by $0.15, beats on revs; guides FY24 revs in-line

  • WalkMe Ltd. (WKME) beats by $0.03, beats on revs; guides Q2 revs below consensus; guides FY23 revs in-line

  • Western Alliance Bancorp (WAL) in 2Q23 Investor Update slides: deposits stabilized by March 20 and resumed growth trajectory; QTD deposit growth exceeded $2.0 bln as of May 12

  • Wix.com(WIX) beats by $0.75, beats on revs; guides Q2 revs above consensus; raises FY23 revs outlook

News:

  • President Biden and House Speaker Kevin McCarthy show optimism about debt ceiling talks, but acknowledge both sides are still far apart. President Biden will shorten his international trip to continue in-person negotiations, according to the New York Times

  • House Speaker McCarthy says "still very far apart" on reaching a deal to lift the debt ceiling

  • Senate Majority Leader Schumer says having bipartisan bill in both chambers is only way we can avoid a default

  • Offices remain half empty as companies settle into hybrid work arrangements, according to the Wall Street Journal

  • Nevada lithium mine will be allowed to move forward, according to AP

  • 2seventy bio (TSVT) presents broad range of new data highlighting novel approaches across its cell therapies portfolio

  • Accuray (ARAY) CyberKnife and TomoTherapy Platforms Featured in More Than 55 Abstracts Presented at ESTRO 2023, Reinforcing Systems' Versatility, Efficiency and Effectiveness

  • Ardelyx (ARDX) announces FDA acceptance and six-month review for resubmission of its new drug application of XPHOZAH

  • AstraZeneca (AZN) reports Tagrisso plus chemotherapy demonstrated strong improvement in progression-free survival for patients with EGFR-mutated advanced lung cancer in FLAURA2 Phase III trial

  • Avidity Biosciences (RNA): FDA has eased the partial clinical hold on AOC 1001

  • Axon (AXON) signs 10-year contract for Axon Justice Premier with the San Bernardino County District Attorney's Office

  • Bunge (BG) and Nutrien announce alliance and commercial agreement to provide crop consulting services and contracts with farmers to manage harvest and post-harvest commercialization

  • Century Casinos, Inc. (CNTY) announces sale-leaseback of four properties in Alberta, Canada

  • DocuSign (DOCU) appoints Blake Grayson as CFO, succeeding Cynthia Gaylor who will remain as CFO through the release of the company's Q1 earnings

  • Editas Medicine (EDIT) announces appointment of Erick Lucera as Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer, effective May 17, 2023

  • Edwards Lifesciences (EW) reports data from Benchmark Registry demonstrate improved TAVR efficiency with preserved patient safety

  • Infinera Corporation (INFN) Announces the Repurchase of Approximately $83.9M of Convertible Senior Notes Due 2024 using Proceeds from the Reopening of Convertible Senior Notes Due 2028

  • Innoviz Technologies (INVZ) announced that a major existing leading global automotive customer aims to expand its use of the InnovizTwo LiDAR to an existing light commercial vehicle program

  • Intercept Pharmaceuticals (ICPT) receives FDA Orphan drug designation for the fixed-dose combination of OCA and Bezafibrate for the treatment of Primary Biliary Cholangitis

  • L3Harris (LHX) awarded $8.12 bln U.S. Air Force contract modification

  • Lyft (LYFT) names Erin Brewer CFO, effective July 10; succeeds Elaine Paul

  • Middlesex Water's (MSEX) President and CEO announces plans to retire for the later of December 31, 2023or, the date when a successor is duly named and on board

  • Newegg Commerce (NEGG) announced its PC Builder shopping tool reached a milestone for results after ChatGPT artificial intelligence was implemented

  • New Found Gold Corp. (NFGC) intercepts 5.16 g/t Au Over 28.65m & 4.02 g/t Au Over 14.65m at Keats West

  • Northrop Grumman (NOC) increases quarterly dividend 8% to $1.87/share from $1.73/share

  • Prime Medicine's (PRME) PASSIGE technology shows potential to generate multiplex-edited CAR-T cells for the treatment of certain cancers and immune diseases

  • ProPetro (PUMP) announces $100 mln share repurchase program

  • PTC Therapeutics (PTCT): APHENITY trial achieved primary endpoint

  • PulteGroup (PHM) names Matthew Koart as COO, effective May 18; succeeds John Chadwick who retired on April 21

  • Roche Hldg (RHHBY) reports Genentech's BTK Inhibitor Fenebrutinib Significantly Reduced Brain Lesions in People With Relapsing Forms of Multiple Sclerosis

  • Sapiens Int'l (SPNS) announces that Atain selected Sapiens CoreSuite for P&C SaaS solution to provide its specialty lines with greater automation and standardization

  • ScanSource (SCSC) announces it was subject to a ransomware attack impacting some of its systems; launches investigation

  • ServiceNow (NOW) authorizes up to $1.5 bln for share repurchases in its first-ever buyback program

  • Sony (SONY): Sky and Sony Pictures Television announce partnership extension across UK & Ireland

  • Sony (SONY) approves 25 mln share repurchase program

  • Stellantis (STLA) believes a key factory could close without Brexit deal, according to Financial Times

  • Takeda Pharma (TAK) granted Priority Review from FDA for TAK-755

  • Tesla (TSLA) CEO Elon Musk in interview says that next 12 months will be different for the company due to economic reasons, CNBC

  • Tesla (TSLA) shareholder meeting: mentioned two new products that will be "head and shoulders" above anything in the industry; estimates will make over 5.0 mln units of these two new products combined; did not unveil anything today

  • Tesla (TSLA) shareholder meeting: working towards developing an EV that is cheaper than a gasoline vehicle

  • UBS AG (UBS) filed an amended Form F-4 registration statement with the SEC, including pro forma financial information

  • Virgin Galactic (SPCE) announced that the flight window for its upcoming spaceflight will open on May 25, 2023- The Unity 25 mission specialists will begin astronaut training on May 22, 2023

  • WesBanco Inc (WSBC) announces that its CEO plans to retire, effective August 1, 2023

  • X4 Pharmaceuticals (XFOR) Announces Positive Phase 3 Results Showing Mavorixafor Reduced the Rate, Severity, and Duration of Infections vs. Placebo in Participants Diagnosed with WHIM Syndrome

M&A:

  • ANSYS (ANSS) enters into definitive agreement to acquire Diakopto; acquisition not expected to have material impact on financials in 2023

  • Manchester United (MANU): Qataris aiming to bid for Manchester United, according to Sunday Times

  • PayPal (PYPL) aiming to sell Xoom, according to The Information

  • UnitedHealth (UNH): UK CMA gives more details on phase one decision regarding UNH acquisition of EMIS Group Plc.

  • Wheaton Precious Metals (WPM) acquires gold stream from Lumina Gold's Cangrejos Project

Syndicate:

  • Akero Therapeutics (AKRO) prices offering of 5,238,500 shares of common stock at $42.00 per share

  • AZEK (AZEK) announces pricing offering of 14 mln shares of Class A common stock by an entity affiliated with Ares Management Corporation and Ontario Teachers' Pension Plan Board and concurrent share repurchase

  • Everest Re (RE) prices offering of 3.6 mln shares of common stock at $360.00 per share

  • Gates Industrial (GTES) announces secondary offering of 22,500,000 ordinary shares

  • Hess Midstream Partners (HESM) prices secondary offering of 11.1 mln Class A shares at $27.00 per Class A share

  • Intapp (INTA) files mixed shelf securities offering; also files for 47,816,280 shares of its common stock by selling shareholders

  • Maxeon Solar (MAXN) files mixed shelf securities offering; announces public offering of an aggregate of 6.8 mln ordinary shares

  • MultiPlan (MPLN) files for 21,588,652 shares of common stock by selling shareholders

  • New York Community (NYCB) announces secondary offering of 39,032,006 common stocks by the federal deposit insurance corporation

  • OneSpaWorld (OSW) prices secondary offering of 9.0 mln shares of common stock at $10.00 per share

  • Tecnoglass (TGLS) files mixed shelf securities offering; commences public offering of 2,000,000 shares to be sold by Energy Holding Corporation

  • Veeco Instruments (VECO) announces proposed private offering of $200 million of convertible senior notes

IPOs:

  • No IPOs expected to price.

Gapping Up/Down

  • Gapping up:

    • WAL +10%, KEYS +7.5%, WIX +6.7%, AEG +5.7%, TGI+3.7%, NXGN +3.3%, LPG +3%, PDLB +2.8%, MPLN+2.6%, ICPT +2.4%, TSLA +1.6%, NYCB +1.5%, NOW+0.9%

  • Gapping down:

    • DOCS -10.9%, OSW -8.2%, SEAT -8.1%, AGYS -6.9%, EVGO -6.6%, KD -6.5%, HESM -6.2%, TGLS -5.7%, MAXN -5.5%, INTA -5.2%, VECO -4.9%, RE -3.4%, GTES -1.4%, SCSC -1.3%, AZEK -1.1%, XFOR -1.1%

 

Analyst Research (see Upgrades/Downgradescalendarfor full list):

  • Upgrades

    • Airbnb (ABNB) upgraded to Buy from Accumulate at Phillip Securities; tgt $143

    • APi Group (APG) upgraded to Outperform from Neutral at Robert W. Baird; tgt raised to $29

    • AppLovin (APP) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at BofA Securities; tgt raised to $27

    • BioNTech (BNTX) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Redburn; tgt raised to $170

    • Fluence (FLNC) upgraded to Neutral from Underperform at BofA Securities; tgt raised to $26

    • iQIYI (IQ) upgraded to Outperform from Neutral at Credit Suisse; tgt raised to $8

    • Norfolk Southern (NSC) upgraded to Outperform from In-line at Evercore ISI; tgt $242

    • Old Dominion (ODFL) upgraded to Outperform from In-line at Evercore ISI; tgt $350

    • Tencent Music (TME) upgraded to Buy from Hold at China Renaissance; tgt $10.60

    • Tencent Music (TME) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Citigroup; tgt $9.70

    • Tencent Music (TME) upgraded to Neutral from Underperform at Macquarie; tgt raised to $7.40

    • Visteon (VC) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Guggenheim; tgt $161

    • Wynn Resorts (WYNN) upgraded to Overweight from Equal Weight at Barclays; tgt raised to $135

  • Downgrades:

    • Consolidated Water (CWCO) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Janney; tgt $19

    • Knight-Swift (KNX) downgraded to Neutral from Outperform at Credit Suisse; tgt lowered to $60

    • Magellan Midstream (MMP) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Citigroup; tgt raised to $63

    • Magellan Midstream (MMP) downgraded to Sector Perform from Outperform at RBC Capital Mkts; tgt raised to $66

    • Nutrien (NTR) downgraded to Hold from Buy at Berenberg; tgt lowered to $49

    • On (ONON) downgraded to Sell from Hold at Williams Trading; tgt $26

    • Werner Enterprises (WERN) downgraded to Neutral from Outperform at Credit Suisse; tgt lowered to $48

    • WeWork (WE) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Mizuho; tgt lowered to $0.30

  • Others:

    • Blue Foundry Bancorp (BLFY) initiated with a Neutral at Piper Sandler; tgt $9.50

    • Disc Medicine (IRON) initiated with an Outperform at Raymond James; tgt $50

    • EVgo Inc. (EVGO) initiated with a Buy at Stifel; tgt $9

    • Kura Oncology (KURA) initiated with a Buy at BTIG Research; tgt $31

    • Madison Square Garden Entertainment (MSGE) initiated with a Buy at Guggenheim; tgt $37

    • NorthWestern (NWE) initiated with a Neutral at Ladenburg Thalmann; tgt $57.50

    • Old Republic (ORI) initiated with a Neutral at Piper Sandler; tgt $27

    • Vizsla Silver Corp. (VZLA) initiated with a Buy at Alliance Global Partners; tgt $3.25

Econ Data:

  • 07:00 ET: MBA Mortgage Applications Index for May 13 (Briefing.comConsensus NA; Prior 6.3%)

  • 08:30 ET: Housing Starts for Apr (Briefing.comConsensus 1405K; Prior 1420K)

  • 08:30 ET: Building Permits for Apr (Briefing.comConsensus 1438K; Prior 1413K)

  • 10:30 ET: EIA Crude Oil Inventories for May 13 (Briefing.comConsensus NA; Prior +2.95M)

Earnings:

  • Monday (May 15)

    • Morning:  AZUL CTLT MNDY SFL TSEM TPG

    • Afternoon: NVTS

  • Tuesday (May 16)

    • Morning: BIDU HD HUYA ONON PSFE SE SSYS TME

    • Afternoon:  AGYS CPRT DOCS KEYS KD NXGN

  • Wednesday (May 17)

    • Morning:  DT JACK RSKD TGT TJX TGI WKME WIX

    • Afternoon:  BOOT CSCO DLO SQM STNE SNPS TTWO VSAT ZTO

  • Thursday (May 18)

    • Morning: WMS BABA BBWI BRC GOOS CSIQ DOLE EXP GRAB BEKE MNRO WMT

    • Afternoon:  AMAT DXC FTCH FLO GLOB ROST

  • Friday (May 19) 

    • Morning:  DE FL RBC

 

Asia & Europe detail:

Asia: Nikkei +0.8%, Hang Seng -2.1%, Shanghai Composite -0.2%

Equity indices in the Asia-Pacific region ended Wednesday on a mixed note, though Japan's Nikkei reached its best level since September 2021. Japan's Prime Minister Kishida will meet with executives from seven major chipmakers on Thursday. Australia's Prime Minister Albanese said that next week's meeting of Quad leaders will now be held in Japan instead of Australia. Australia's Wage Price Index for Q1 increased at its fastest pace since Q3 2012. ANZ expects that the Reserve Bank of New Zealand will raise its official cash rate by another 50 bps by July.

  • In economic data:

    • China's April House Prices -0.2% yr/yr (last -0.8%) and April FDI 2.2% YTD (last 4.9%)

    • Japan's flash Q1 GDP 0.4% qtr/qtr (expected 0.1%; last 0.0%); 1.6% yr/yr (expected 0.7%; last -0.1%). Q1 Private Consumption 0.6% qtr/qtr (expected 0.4%; last 0.2%). GDP Price Index 2.1% yr/yr (expected 2.0%; last 1.2%). March Industrial Production 1.1% m/m (expected 0.8%; last 4.6%) and Capacity Utilization 0.8% m/m (expected 1.5%; last 3.9%)

    • Australia's Q1 Wage Price Index 0.8% qtr/qtr (expected 0.9%; last 0.8%); 3.7% yr/yr (expected 3.6%; last 3.4%)

    • Singapore's April trade surplus $4.713 bln (expected surplus of $6.346 bln; last surplus of $6.207 bln). April non-oil exports 2.7% m/m (expected -3.0%; last 18.4%); -9.8% yr/yr (expected -9.4%; last -8.3%)

---Equity Markets---

  • Japan's Nikkei: +0.8%

  • Hong Kong's Hang Seng: -2.1%

  • China's Shanghai Composite: -0.2%

  • India's Sensex: -0.6%

  • South Korea's Kospi: +0.6%

  • Australia's ASX All Ordinaries: -0.5%

---FX---

  • USD/JPY: +0.5% to 136.96

  • USD/CNH: +0.3% to 7.0122

  • USD/INR: +0.1% to 82.35

 

Europe: DAX +0.5%, FTSE -0.1%, CAC UNCH

Major European indices trade near their flat lines while Germany's DAX (+0.5%) outperforms. Siemens reported better than expected quarterly results and raised its outlook for the year while SAP announced a new buyback. European Central Bank policymaker de Cos said that the central bank is nearing the end of its tightening cycle while British Chancellor Hunt said that the U.K. is on the right path to lower inflation and rates.

  • In economic data:

    • Eurozone's April CPI 0.6% m/m (expected 0.7%; last 0.9%); 7.0% yr/yr, as expected (last 6.9%). April Core CPI 1.0% m/m, as expected (last 1.3%); 5.6% yr/yr, as expected (last 5.7%)

    • France's Q1 Unemployment Rate 7.1%, as expected (last 7.1%)

    • Italy's March trade surplus EUR7.54 bln (expected surplus of EUR2.50 bln; last surplus of EUR2.10 bln)

---Equity Markets---

  • STOXX Europe 600: -0.1%

  • Germany's DAX: +0.5%

  • U.K.'s FTSE 100: -0.1%

  • France's CAC 40: UNCH

  • Italy's FTSE MIB: -0.1%

  • Spain's IBEX 35: UNCH

---FX---

  • EUR/USD: -0.2% to 1.0835

  • GBP/USD: -0.2% to 1.2459

  • USD


1 view0 comments

Recent Posts

See All

Comments


bottom of page