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Writer's pictureSimon Charles Hooper

09/02/23 Briefing

Updated: Feb 13, 2023

The S&P 500 futures are up 29 points and are trading 0.8% above fair value. The Nasdaq 100 futures are up 136 points and are trading 1.1% above fair value. The Dow Jones Industrial Average futures are up 197 points and are trading 0.6% above fair value.

Futures for the major indices are moving higher this morning as investors continue to show a willingness to buy on weakness. Sentiment is also boosted by a decidedly positive response to Disney's earnings news. Investors are also reacting to relatively pleasing inflation data from Germany. Specifically, Germany's preliminary January CPI was better than feared on a year-over-year basis and showed deceleration from peak inflation.

A decent pullback in Treasury yields has been another supportive factor to the equity futures market this morning. The 2-yr note yield is down two basis points to 4.43% and the 10-yr note yield is down six basis points to 3.59%.

The U.S. Dollar Index is down 0.5% to 102.88.

Market participants will receive the following economic data today:

  • 8:30 ET: Weekly Initial Claims (Briefing.com consensus 194,000; prior 183,000) and Continuing Claims (prior 1.655 mln)

  • 10:30 ET: Weekly natural gas inventories (prior -151 bcf)

In corporate news:

  • Disney (DIS 118.78, +7.00, +6.3%): beats by $0.20, reports revs in-line, Disney+ subscribers down 1% sequentially to 161.8 mln; Reaffirms guidance for revenue and operating income growth in high-single-digit range for FY23; Targeting $5.5 bln in cost savings and announces workforce reduction of 7,000 roles; intends to reinstate dividend by year end, and announces new corporate structure

  • Mattel (MAT 18.34, -2.16, -10.5%): misses by $0.11, misses on revs; guides FY23 EPS below consensus

  • Wynn Resorts (WYNN 109.05, +5.43, +5.2%): misses by $0.07, beats on revs

  • PepsiCo (PEP 174.20, +3.04, +1.8%): beats by $0.02, beats on revs; guides FY23 EPS below consensus; raises dividend

  • Duke Energy (DUK 100.51, +1.33, +1.3%): beats by $0.04, beats on revs; reaffirms FY23 EPS guidance

  • AppLovin (APP 16.54, +3.86, +30.4%): reports Q4 (Dec) results, beats on revs; guides Q1 revs above consensus

  • Sonos (SONO 20.47, +2.61, +14.6%): beats by $0.20, beats on revs; reaffirms FY23 revs guidance

  • Affirm (AFRM 13.16, -2.86, -17.9%): misses by $0.11, misses on revs; guides Q3 revs below consensus; guides FY23 revs below consensus; also announces 19% workforce reduction; downgraded to Sector Perform from Outperform at RBC Capital Mkts

  • Robinhood Markets (HOOD 10.92, +0.45, +4.3%): misses by $0.07 on GAAP EPS, misses on revs; Q1 likely to be another quarter of net interest revenue growth

  • O'Reilly Auto (ORLY 802.00, +14.64, +1.9%): beats by $0.63, beats on revs, Q4 comps +9.0%; guides FY23 EPS below consensus, revs above consensus

  • Digital Turbine (APPS 13.28, -2.93, -18.1%): misses by $0.08, misses on revs; guides FY23 EPS below consensus, revs below consensus; downgraded to Perform from Outperform at Oppenheimer

Reviewing overnight developments:

  • Equity indices in the Asia-Pacific region were on the softer side of things Thursday with the exception of markets in China, pressured in part by growth concerns tied to worries about ongoing rate hikes by central banks around the world. Japan's Nikkei: -0.1%, Hong Kong's Hang Seng: +1.6%, China's Shanghai Composite: +1.2%, India's Sensex: +0.2%, South Korea's Kospi: -0.1%, Australia's ASX All Ordinaries: -0.6%.

    • In economic data:

      • Japan's M2 Money Supply +2.7% yr/yr (expected +3.0%; last +2.9%); Machinery Tool Orders -9.7% yr/yr (last +1.0%)


  • In news:

    • The Hang Seng drew some support from its casino stocks following earnings reports from Wynn Resorts and MGM Grand; meanwhile, the Shanghai Composite continued to be underpinned by reopening enthusiasm.

    • There were reports of record inflows into Chinese equities by foreign investors in January.

    • There was also a report in China's Securities Times that regulators are warning companies and investors against speculation in ChatGPT-type technology plays.



  • Major European indices are exhibiting a bullish bias in Thursday's trade, underpinned by the recognition that Germany's preliminary January CPI was better than feared on a year-over-year basis and showed deceleration from peak inflation, as well as a better-than-expected 2023 outlook from industrial company Siemens. STOXX Europe 600: +1.0%, Germany's DAX: +1.3%, U.K.'s FTSE 100: +0.7%, France's CAC 40: +1.3%, Italy's FTSE MIB: +1.5%, Spain's IBEX 35: +0.5%.

    • In economic data:

      • Germany's January preliminary CPI +1.0% m/m (expected +0.8%; last -0.8%) and +8.7% yr/yr (expected +8.9%; last +8.6%)


  • In news:

    • A positive bias in the U.S. equity futures market has also helped trigger some renewed buying interest.

    • Sweden's Riksbank raised its key interest rate by 50 basis points to 3.00%, as expected, and said further rate hikes are likely.

    • Separately, BOE Governor Bailey testified before Parliament's Treasury Committee that he thinks inflation will come down sharply this year, but that risks remain, according to Bloomberg.

    • EUR/USD +0.5% to 1.0761.



U.S. equity futures:

  • S&P 500 Futures: +29 @ 4,147

  • DJIA Futures: +201 @ 34,150

  • Nasdaq 100 Futures: +137 @ 12,632

Overseas:

  • Europe: DAX +1.3%, FTSE +0.7%, CAC +1.3%

  • Asia: Nikkei -0.1%, Hang Seng +1.6%, Shanghai Composite +1.2%

Commodities:

  • Crude Oil -0.30 @ 78.17

  • Nat Gas -0.027 @ 2.369

  • Gold +3.35 @ 1894.05

  • Silver +0.033 @ 22.455

  • Copper +0.0535 @ 4.089

Earnings/Guidance:

  • 23andMe ( ME 0.40% ) misses by $0.01, beats on revs; guides FY23 revs above consensus

  • AbbVie ( ABBV 0.37% ) beats by $0.02, misses on revs; guides FY23 EPS below consensus; excludes impact from acquired IPR&D and milestones

  • Advanced Energy ( AEIS 0.42% ) beats by $0.10, beats on revs; guides Q1 EPS in-line, revs in-line

  • Affirm ( AFRM 6.91% ) misses by $0.11, misses on revs; guides Q3 revs below consensus; guides FY23 revs below consensus; also announces 19% workforce reduction

  • AllianceBernstein ( AB 0.15% ) beats by $0.13, revs fell 21.7%; expects continued volatility in global financial markets in 2023

  • Annaly Capital Mgmt ( NLY 0.94% ) beats by $0.01

  • AppLovin ( APP 1.32% ) reports Q4 (Dec) results, beats on revs; guides Q1 revs above consensus

  • Apollo Global Management ( APO 0.74% ) misses by $0.01, beats on revs

  • ArcelorMittal ( MT 0.95% ) beats by $0.18, beats on revs

  • Ares Management ( ARES 0.36% ) beats by $0.13, AUM increased 15% from prior year

  • ASE Technology ( ASX 1.74% ) beats by NT$0.28

  • ASGN Incorporated ( ASGN 4.26% ) beats by $0.01, beats on revs; guides Q1 EPS below consensus, revs in-line

  • AstraZeneca ( AZN 0.11% ) beats by $0.05, reports revs in-line; guides FY23 EPS in-line, revs in-line

  • AvalonBay ( AVB 1.05% ) reports Q4 (Dec) results; declares 3.8% increase in dividend

  • Axcelis Tech ( ACLS 0.98% ) beats by $0.20, beats on revs; guides Q1 EPS below consensus, revs above consensus

  • AZEK ( AZEK 0.61% ) beats by $0.01, beats on revs; guides Q2 revs above consensus

  • Azenta ( AZTA 3.05% ) beats by $0.02, misses on revs; guides Q2 EPS below consensus, revs below consensus

  • Baxter ( BAX 0.15% ) misses by $0.06, beats on revs; guides Q1 EPS below consensus, revs in-line; guides FY23 EPS below consensus, revs above consensus

  • BorgWarner ( BWA 1.44% ) beats by $0.18, beats on revs; guides FY23 EPS in-line, revs in-line

  • British American Tobacco ( BTI 0.61% ) beats by three pence; misses on revs; provides FY23 outlook

  • Bruker ( BRKR 1.16% ) beats by $0.02, beats on revs; guides FY23 EPS in-line, revs above consensus

  • Cameco ( CCJ 1.59% ) beats by $0.04, beats on rev

  • Canopy Growth ( CGC 2.84% ) misses by CC$0.31; announces cost reduction program; restructuring to reduce production footprint and headcount; reiterates goal of achieving positive adjusted EBITDA in FY24

  • Cardiovascular Systems ( CSII 1.99% ) misses by $0.05, misses on revs; co also agrees to to be acquired

  • Ceridian HCM ( CDAY 0.04% ) beats by $0.11, beats on revs; guides Q1 revs above consensus; guides FY23 revs above consensus

  • Colliers ( CIGI 1.53% ) misses by $0.02, misses on revs; guides FY23 EPS above consensus, revs above consensus

  • CoreCivic ( CXW 1.08% ) beats by $0.09, beats on revs; guides FY23 FFO below consensus

  • Credit Suisse ( CS 0.83% ) reports Q4 results; misses on revs; acquires The Klein Group

  • CyberArk ( CYBR 0.82% ) beats by $0.04, misses on revs; guides Q1 EPS below consensus, revs in-line; guides FY23 EPS above consensus, revs in-line; CEO assuming role of Executive Chair; COO appointed CEO

  • DHT ( DHT 1.11% ) beats by $0.05, beats on revs

  • Digital Turbine ( APPS 5.59% ) misses by $0.08, misses on revs; guides FY23 EPS below consensus, revs below consensus

  • Duke Energy ( DUK 1.63% ) beats by $0.04, beats on revs; reaffirms FY23 EPS guidance

  • Enersys ( ENS 0.92% ) beats by $0.04, reports revs in-line; guides Q4 EPS above consensus

  • EngageSmart ( ESMT 1.76% ) reports Q4 (Dec) results, beats on revs; guides Q1 revs in-line; guides FY23 revs in-line

  • Envista ( NVST 1.98% ) beats by $0.03, reports revs in-line, expects core sales to grow low-single digits for 2023

  • Equifax ( EFX 1.22% ) beats by $0.03, beats on revs; guides Q1 EPS below consensus, revs in-line; guides FY23 EPS below consensus, revs in-line

  • Equitable Holdings ( EQH 0.89% ) misses by $0.15, misses on revs

  • Esco Tech ( ESE 1.43% ) beats by $0.10, beats on revs; guides Q2 EPS below two analyst estimate; guides FY23 EPS in-line

  • Everest Re ( RE 0.55% ) beats by $3.12, misses on revs

  • Federal Realty ( FRT 0.79% ) beats by $0.01, reports revs in-line; guides FY23 FFO above consensus

  • First American Financial ( FAF 0.21% ) beats by $0.02, misses on revs

  • First Industrial Realty ( FR 0.58% ) beats by $0.03, beats on revs; ups dividend

  • FleetCor ( FLT 2.08% ) beats by $0.11, beats on revs; guides Q1 EPS below consensus, revs above consensus; guides FY23 EPS in-line, revs above consensus

  • Fluence ( FLNC 0.99% ) beats by $0.08; misses on revs; sees FY23 revs in-line with expectations

  • FormFactor ( FORM 1.66% ) beats by $0.02, beats on revs; guides Q1 EPS above consensus, revs above consensus

  • Forward Air ( FWRD 1.08% ) misses by $0.29, misses on revs; guides Q1 EPS below consensus, revs in-line

  • Frontier Group Holdings ( ULCC 0.22% ) beats by $0.01, misses on revs

  • Golub Capital ( GBDC 1.28% ) beats by $0.01, beats on revs

  • Goodyear Tire ( GT 3.56% ) misses by $0.05, beats on revs

  • Hillenbrand ( HI 2.59% ) misses by $0.10, misses on revs; guides Q2 EPS below two analyst estimate; guides FY23 EPS below consensus, revs below consensus

  • Hilton ( HLT 0.61% ) beats by $0.37, beats on revs; guides Q1 EPS below consensus; guides FY23 EPS in-line

  • Himax Tech ( HIMX 1.78% ) reports EPS in-line, revs in-line; guides Q1 EPS below consensus, revs in-line

  • Hudson Pacific Properties ( HPP 1.10% ) misses by $0.01, misses on revs

  • Huntington Ingalls ( HII 0.17% ) misses by $0.21, beats on revs

  • Impinj ( PI 3.02% ) beats by $0.02, reports revs in-line; guides Q1 EPS in-line, revs above consensus

  • Interpublic ( IPG 2.03% ) beats by $0.01, reports revs in-line; increases dividend by 7%; increases share buyback authorization by $350 mln

  • Intl Flavors ( IFF 0.46% ) beats by $0.01, misses on revs; guides FY23 revs below consensus

  • ITT ( ITT 0.19% ) beats by $0.05, beats on revs; guides FY23 EPS mostly below consensus, revs above consensus; raises dividend 10%

  • JFrog ( FROG 2.28% ) beats by $0.02, reports revs in-line; guides Q1 EPS above consensus, revs in-line; guides FY23 EPS in-line, revs below consensus

  • Kimco Realty ( KIM 0.89% ) misses by $0.01, beats on revs

  • Lincoln National ( LNC 0.25% ) misses by $0.13, beats on revs

  • Lumentum ( LITE 0.44% ) beats by $0.20, reports revs in-line; guides MarQ EPS in-line, revs below consensus

  • Masco ( MAS 0.72% ) misses by $0.03, reports revs in-line; guides FY23 EPS below consensus; declares dividend

  • Mattel ( MAT 1.20% ) misses by $0.11, misses on revs; guides FY23 EPS below consensus

  • MAXIMUS ( MMS 0.18% ) beats by $0.18, beats on revs; guides FY23 EPS above two analyst estimate, revs above two analyst estimate

  • MGM Resorts ( MGM 1.33% ) beats by $0.04, beats on revs; suspends dividend; announces new $2 bln share repurchase program

  • Moelis ( MC 1.30% ) reports EPS in-line, misses on revs

  • Molina Healthcare ( MOH 1.45% ) beats by $0.08, beats on revs; guides FY23 EPS above consensus, revs below consensus

  • Monolithic Power ( MPWR 0.99% ) beats by $0.04, reports revs in-line; guides Q1 revs in-line

  • MSG Entertainment ( MSGE 1.93% ) beats by $1.14, beats on revs

  • O'Reilly Auto ( ORLY 1.71% ) beats by $0.63, beats on revs, Q4 comps +9.0%; guides FY23 EPS below consensus, revs above consensus

  • Patterson-UTI ( PTEN 3.57% ) reports Q4 (Dec) results, beats on revs; declares dividend

  • Paycor ( PYCR 3.95% ) beats by $0.02, beats on revs; guides MarQ revs above consensus; guides FY23 revs above consensus

  • PepsiCo ( PEP 0.23% ) beats by $0.02, beats on revs; guides FY23 EPS below consensus; raises dividend

  • Philip Morris International ( PM 0.89% ) beats by $0.11, beats on revs; guides FY23 EPS above consensus

  • Piedmont Office Realty Trust ( PDM 0.38% ) beats by $0.01; guides FY23 FFO in-line

  • Pilgrim's Pride ( PPC 0.42% ) misses by $0.45, beats on revs

  • Plains All American ( PAA 0.95% ) misses by $0.02, misses on revs

  • Precision Drilling ( PDS 0.59% ) reports Q4 (Dec) results, beats on revs

  • QuinStreet ( QNST 2.54% ) beats by $0.01, beats on revs; guides Q3 revs in-line; guides FY23 revs above consensus

  • Radian Group ( RDN 1.79% ) beats by $0.28, reports revs in-line

  • Rapid7 ( RPD 0.35% ) beats by $0.17, beats on revs; guides Q1 EPS in-line, revs below consensus; guides FY23 EPS above consensus, revs below consensus

  • Rexford Industrial Realty ( REXR 0.26% ) beats by $0.01, beats on revs; guides FY23 FFO below consensus

  • Robinhood Markets ( HOOD 0.76% ) misses by $0.07 on GAAP EPS, misses on revs

  • S&P Global ( SPGI 1.42% ) beats by $0.06, beats on revs; guides FY23 EPS in-line

  • Sealed Air ( SEE 0.98% ) beats by $0.01, misses on revs; guides FY23 EPS below consensus, revs above consensus

  • Shutterstock ( SSTK 4.67% ) beats by $0.09, beats on revs; guides FY23 EPS above consensus, revs above consensus

  • Siemens AG ( SIEGY ) reports Q1 results; raises outlook

  • Sonoco Products ( SON 1.28% ) beats by $0.02, misses on revs; guides Q1 EPS below consensus; guides FY23 EPS in-line

  • Sonos ( SONO 3.88% ) beats by $0.20, beats on revs; reaffirms FY23 revs guidance

  • Steris ( STE 0.53% ) misses by $0.17, misses on revs; guides FY23 EPS below consensus, revs below consensus

  • Stewart Info ( STC 1.06% ) misses by $0.04, beats on revs

  • Tapestry ( TPR 4.47% ) beats by $0.09, reports revs in-line; guides FY23 EPS above consensus, revs in-line

  • TechTarget ( TTGT 1.26% ) beats by $0.17, beats on revs; guides Q1 revs below consensus; guides FY23 revs below consensus

  • Telus ( TU 0.38% ) misses by $0.06, reports revs in-line

  • TELUS International ( TIXT 0.71% ) beats by $0.03, reports revs in-line; guides FY23 EPS below consensus, revs above consensus

  • Tempur Sealy Int'l ( TPX 2.35% ) beats by $0.02, misses on revs; guides FY23 EPS in-line; increases quarterly dividend to $0.11 from $0.10/share

  • Tenet Healthcare ( THC 0.31% ) beats by $0.73, reports revs in-line; guides Q1 revs below consensus; guides FY23 revs below consensus

  • Thomson Reuters ( TRI 0.52% ) beats by $0.07, reports revs in-line; lowers FY23 revs in-line; raises dividend

  • Toyota Motor ( TM 0.56% ) reports nine-month results; revs rise 18% yr/yr

  • Trinseo ( TSE 1.32% ) misses by $0.25, misses on revs (single estimate); expects demand to remain challenged as it begins 2023 but is confident it will see the end of destocking early in the year

  • TTM Tech ( TTMI 1.43% beats by $0.03, misses on revs; guides Q1 EPS below consensus, revs below consensus

  • Unilever PLC ( UL 0.16% ) beats on top and bottom lines; provides FY23 outlook

  • Vintage Wine Estates ( VWE 1.06% ) issues downside Q2 revenue guidance; announces that Pat Roney has elected to transition from Chief Executive Officer to Executive Chairman of the Board of Directors, retains Arthur Bert to assist in reorganization and simplification of company

  • Walt Disney ( DIS 0.13% ) beats by $0.20, reports revs in-line, Disney+ subscribers down 1% sequentially to 161.8 mln; Reaffirms guidance for revenue and operating income growth in high-single-digit range for FY23

  • Warner Music Group ( WMG 0.84% ) misses by $0.05, misses on revs

  • Watts Water Tech. ( WTS 1.75% ) beats by $0.08, beats on revs

  • WEX ( WEX 1.41% ) beats by $0.22, beats on revs; guides Q1 EPS in-line, revs above consensus; guides FY23 EPS in-line, revs above consensus

  • Willis Towers Watson ( WTW 0.37% ) beats by $0.08, reports revs in-line

  • Wynn Resorts ( WYNN 0.08% ) misses by $0.07, beats on revs

  • XPO, Inc. ( XPO 0.32% ) beats by $0.14, reports revs in-line

News:

  • Debt ceiling could be reached sooner than expected due to widening federal deficit, according to Bloomberg

  • Senator John Fetterman (D-PA) hospitalized for observation after feeling light headed, according to CNN

  • APA Corp. ( APA 3.59% ) announces the successful drilling and flow testing of the Sapakara South-2 appraisal well, the second appraisal well to test the previously announced discovery

  • Argo Blockchain Plc ( ARBK 19.85% ) announced that Peter Wall is stepping down from his positions as CEO / interim Chairman to pursue other opportunities

  • Barrick ( GOLD 0.86% ) grew attributable proven and probable gold mineral reserves by 6.7 million ounces net of depletion in 2022, while maintaining grade despite an increase in the reserve price assumption

  • Cameco ( CCJ 1.59% ) and Energoatom agree on commercial terms to supply Ukraine's full natural UF6 needs through 2035

  • Cara Therapeutics ( CARA 2.26% ) Announces Results from the KOMFORT Phase 2 Trial of Oral Difelikefalin for the Treatment of Pruritus in Notalgia Paresthetica Published in the New England Journal of Medicine

  • Century Communities ( CCS 2.63% ) increases quarterly cash dividend 15% to $0.23/share from $0.20/share

  • Cohen & Steers ( CNS 1.42% ) reports preliminary assets under management of $87.3 bln as of January 31, 2023, an increase of $6.9 bln from assets under management at December 31, 2022

  • CURO Group ( CURO 1.29% ) announces appointment of Chad Faulkner as Chairman of the Board of Directors; effective immediately

  • CyberArk ( CYBR 0.82% ): Current COO Matthew Cohen to replace Udi Mokady as CEO effective April 3, 2023

  • Diebold Nixdorf ( DBD 3.45% ) CFO Jeffrey Rutherford will be departing as Executive Vice President, Chief Financial Officer effective Feb 28

  • Entrada Therapeutics ( TRDA 1.91% ) closes agreement with Vertex (VRTX) to discover and develop endosomal escape vehicle-therapeutics for myotonic dystrophy Type 1

  • Erasca ( ERAS 4.75% ) announced certain strategic decisions regarding its clinical development efforts to extend projected cash runway from the first half of 2025 to the second half of 2025

  • Galapagos NV ( GLPG 0.41% ) announces topline results from Phase 3 DIVERSITY trial of filgotinib in Crohn's disease

  • Gilead Sciences ( GILD 0.44% ) announces the three-year follow-up results from the pivotal ZUMA-3 study of the CAR T-cell therapy Tecartus

  • Hyundai Motor ( HYMTF ) in talks with the US Dept of Labor to resolve concerns about child workers, according to Reuters

  • JPMorgan Chase ( JPM 0.70% ) eliminates hundreds more mortgage jobs, according to Bloomberg

  • JP Morgan ( JPM 0.70% ) CEO Jamie Dimon says that it is too early to declare victory on inflation, according to Reuters

  • Laboratory Corp ( LH 0.52% ) announced new company to be formed by planned spin-off of its Clinical Development business will be known as Fortrea

  • Lincoln National ( LNC 0.25% ) announces that Christopher Neczypor will be appointed Executive Vice President, Chief Financial Officer, effective February 17, 2023

  • MediciNova ( MNOV 2.07% ): Health Canada grants authorization to commence multi-arm Phase 2/3 trial to evaluate MN-166 in Long COVID

  • Mesoblast ( MESO 1.70% ): FDA grants RMAT designation for rexlemestrocel-L

  • ON24, Inc. ( ONTF 1.33% ) announces new $100 million capital return program, resulting in a total of $141 million of capital to be returned to shareholders since fourth quarter 2021

  • Parsons ( PSN 0.54% ) announces that the company was awarded a position on a $675 million indefinite-delivery, indefinite-quantity multiple award task order contract by the United States Army Corps of Engineers

  • Phillips 66 ( PSX 0.45% ) increases quarterly dividend to $1.05/share from $0.97/share

  • Regeneron Pharma ( REGN 2.63% ) receives FDA approval for EYLEA

  • S&P Global SPGI 1.42% and Amazon Web Services (AMZN) announce a new multi-year strategic collaboration agreement

  • Salesforce ( CRM 0.96% ): Dan Loeb's Third point has stake in CRM; size of position isn't known, according to the Wall Street Journal

  • TM Tech ( TTMI 1.43% ) plans to close three manufacturing facilities in order to improve total plant utilization, operational performance, customer focus and profitability

  • Tractor Supply ( TSCO 0.64% ) increases quarterly cash dividend to $1.03/share from $0.92/share

  • Trane ( TT 1.29% ) increases quarterly dividend to $0.75/share from $0.67/share

  • Walt Disney ( DIS 0.13% ): Company will undergo workforce reduction of 7,000 roles; Company is targeting $5.5 bln in cost savings

  • Walt Disney ( DIS 0.13% ): Intends to ask Board to reinstate dividend by end of calendar year; initial dividend will be modest, but hope is to increase it over time

M&A:

  • Abbott Labs ( ABT 1.60% ) to acquire Cardiovascular Systems (CSII) for $20 per share

  • NuVasive ( NUVA 2.41% ) and Globus Medical (GMED) confirm the two parties will combine in all-stock merger

  • Post ( POST 0.87% ) has signed a definitive agreement in which Post will acquire select pet food brands from The J.M. Smucker Co. for $1.2 bln

  • Sumo Logic ( SUMO 0.91% ) nearing a $1.7 bln deal to be sold to Francisco Partners, according to the Wall Street Journal

Syndicate:

  • 3M ( MMM 1.41% ) files mixed securities shelf offering

  • AppHarvest ( APPH 0.48% ) has commenced a $40 mln underwritten public offering of shares of its common stock

  • Napco Security Systems ( NSSC 3.77% ) prices secondary offering 2.1 mln shares of common stock at $31.50 per share

  • Purple Innovation ( PRPL 0.27% ) prices offering of 13.4 mln shares of common stock at $4.50 per share

  • Rubicon Technologies ( RBT 0.69% ) files for 44,884,579 share common stock offering by selling shareholders

IPOs:

  • Expected to Price:

    • Enlight Renewable Energy (Nasdaq: ENLT): The developer of a renewable energy platform for solar energy, wind power and energy storage is expected to price its 14.0 mln share IPO at about $21.

    • Mineralys Therapeutics (Nasdaq: MLYS): The clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company focused on developing medicines to target diseases driven by abnormally elevated aldosterone is expected to price its 10.0 M share IPO between $14-$16.


  • Priced to Trade:

    • Hesai Group (Nasdaq: HSAI): The global leader in three-dimensional light detection and ranging (LiDAR) solutions priced its upsized 10.0 M share IPO at $19, the high end of the $17-$19 expected range.

    • Nextracker (Nasdaq: NXT): The provider of intelligent, integrated solar tracker and software solutions used in utility-scale and ground-mounted distributed generation solar projects priced its 26.6 M share IPO at $24, above the $20-$23 expected range.


Gapping Up/Down

  • Gapping up:

    • CSII +47.6%, APP +29.7%, SONO +14.8%, QNST +10.3%, PYCR +9%, FORM +8.5%, ME +7.9%, DHT +6.7%, DIS +6.4%, AZN +6.4%, MGM +6.2%, FLNC +5.9%, WYNN +5.6%, HOOD +5.2%, ACLS +4.4%, MESO +4.1%, AZEK +3.9%, MPWR +3.7%, MMS +3.2%, CDAY +3.2%, PPC +3%, ASX +3%, CXW +2.8%, HPP +2.8%, HLT +2.8%, PI +2.6%, SPGI +2.5%, SUMO +2.4%, XPO +2.4%, POST +2%, ESE +2%, RE +2%, PDM +2%, ENS +1.9%, MT +1.9%, SLF +1.8%, CRM +1.7%, ORLY +1.7%, ARES +1.7%, ONTF +1.4%, PEP +1.4%, PDS +1.2%, RRC +1.1%, NLY +1.1%, HIMX +1.1%, UL +1%, JPM +0.9%, AMZN +0.9%, MMM +0.8%


  • Gapping down:

    • VWE -38%, APPS -18.8%, PRPL -16.4%, AFRM -16.2%, RPD -10.9%, APPH -10.6%, GLPG -9.4%, MAT -9.3%, STE -9%, TTMI -8.9%, CS -8.7%, FROG -8.5%, NSSC -6.5%, HI -5.1%, EQH -5%, IFF -4.8%, AZTA -4.7%, BTI -4%, RBT -3.5%, LNC -3.3%, NVST -2.3%, TWO -2.1%, EFX -2%, SON -2%, REXR -1.7%, CCS -1.4%, PAA -1.3%, ASGN -1.1%, GT -1%, VKTX -0.9%



Analyst Research (see Upgrades/Downgrades calendar for full list):

  • Upgrades

    • Hims & Hers Health (HIMS) upgraded to Buy from Hold at Jefferies; tgt raised to $11


  • Downgrades:

    • Accolade (ACCD) downgraded to Hold from Buy at Jefferies; tgt $14

    • Adient (ADNT) downgraded to Peer Perform from Outperform at Wolfe Research

    • Affirm (AFRM) downgraded to Sector Perform from Outperform at RBC Capital Mkts; tgt lowered to $17

    • Azenta (AZTA) downgraded to Equal-Weight from Overweight at Stephens; tgt lowered to $60

    • Bank of America (BAC) downgraded to Underperform from Mkt Perform at Keefe Bruyette; tgt lowered to $33

    • Digital Turbine (APPS) downgraded to Perform from Outperform at Oppenheimer

    • PennantPark Investment (PNNT) downgraded to Mkt Perform from Outperform at Keefe Bruyette; tgt lowered to $5.50

    • Sensata Tech (ST) downgraded to Peer Perform from Outperform at Wolfe Research

    • TE Connectivity (TEL) downgraded to Peer Perform from Outperform at Wolfe Research

    • Univar Solutions (UNVR) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at UBS; tgt $37

    • Vale S.A. (VALE) downgraded to Neutral from Overweight at JP Morgan; tgt lowered to $17.50

    • Vintage Wine Estates (VWE) downgraded to Underperform from Market Perform at Telsey Advisory Group; tgt lowered to $1.50


  • Others:

    • Coupang (CPNG) initiated with an Overweight at Barclays; tgt $20

    • Vertex (VERX) initiated with an Outperform at Raymond James; tgt $19


Upcoming Events:

  • Econ Data:

    • 08:30 ET: Initial Claims for Feb. 4 (Briefing.com Consensus 194K; Prior 183K)

    • 08:30 ET: Continuing Claims for Jan. 28 (Briefing.com Consensus NA; Prior 1655K)

    • 10:30 ET: EIA Natural Gas Inventories for Feb 4 (Briefing.com Consensus NA; Prior -151 bcf)


  • Earnings:

    • Monday (Feb 6)

      • Morning: AMG CNA CMI ENR IDXX NBIX ON TKR TSN

      • Afternoon: ATVI ACM AOSL BRBR CHGG CINF DIOD FN KMT KFRC LEG NOV PINS POWI RMBS SPG SSD SKY SWKS SAVE TTWO UDR VRNS ZI


  • Tuesday (Feb 7)

    • Morning: ADNT AGCO ARMK ARCC BP BV CG CARR CTLT CNC CTS DCPH DD FISV IT GPK HAE HAIN HLNE HTZ INCY J KKR LIN MAC MBUU MSGS NVT OMF PINC RCL SCSC SPR TDG VVV XYL

    • Afternoon: AMCR AIZ ATO BKH CSL CMG CNO CCK DEI EGP EHC ENPH ESS EEFT EXEL FMC FTNT FRSH HRB PEAK HIW HMN ICHR ILMN INSP JKHY RAMP LUMN MODN NCR NEWR OMC PAYC PRU QGEN RRR RXO SIMO SSNC TENB VFC VRTX VSAT VOYA WERN WU YUMC ZWS


  • Wednesday (Feb 8)

    • Morning: BDC BXMT BG CPRI CDW CRNC CME COHR COTY CRTO CVS D ETN EPC EMR FOXA GPRE INGR NYT PAG PFGC PERI RDWR REYN RITM SITC TRMB UBER VSH YUM

    • Afternoon: ME AEIS AFRM AB NLY APP ASGN AVB ACLS AZEK CDAY CXW DHT APPS ENS NVST EFX EQH EQC ESE RE FRT FR FLT FLNC FORM FWRD ULCC GT HI HPP PI IFF FROG LNC MAT MMS MGM MC MOH MPWR ORLY PTEN PYCR PDM PPC PAA QNST RDN RPD REXR HOOD SON SONO STE STC SLF THC TTMI TWO DIS WTS XPO


  • Thursday (Feb 9)

    • Morning: ABBV APO MT ARES AZN BAX BWA BRKR CCJ CGC CSII CIGI CYBR DBD DUK ESMT FAF GTES HLT HIMX HII NSIT NSP IPG ITT K KIM LITE MAS MDU MSGE NNN PATK PEP PM PDS RL SPGI SEE SSTK SWI TPR TTGT TU TPX TRI WMG WEX WTW

    • Afternoon: AYX BE BHF CBT CC NET ROAD OFC CRSR COUR CUZ DXCM DOCS EQR EXPE FLO G KN LGF.A LYFT MTD MHK MSI NWSA ONTO PYPL PECO PRO QLYS RBC REG SPSC STEP TEX MODG VTR VRSN YELL YELP


  • Friday (Feb 10)

    • Morning: ENB ESNT FTS GPN IQV MGA COOP NWL PRLB SXT SPB SLVM WPC



Asia & Europe detail:

Asia: Nikkei -0.1%, Hang Seng +1.6%, Shanghai Composite +1.2%

Equity indices in the Asia-Pacific region were on the softer side of things Thursday with the exception of markets in China, pressured in part by growth concerns tied to worries about ongoing rate hikes by central banks around the world. The Hang Seng drew some support from its casino stocks following earnings reports from Wynn Resorts and MGM Grand; meanwhile, the Shanghai Composite continued to be underpinned by reopening enthusiasm. On that score, there were reports of record inflows into Chinese equities by foreign investors in January. There was also a report in China's Securities Times that regulators are warning companies and investors against speculation in ChatGPT-type technology plays.

  • In economic data:

    • Japan's M2 Money Supply +2.7% yr/yr (expected +3.0%; last +2.9%); Machinery Tool Orders -9.7% yr/yr (last +1.0%)


---Equity Markets---

  • Japan's Nikkei: -0.1%

  • Hong Kong's Hang Seng: +1.6%

  • China's Shanghai Composite: +1.2%

  • India's Sensex: +0.2%

  • South Korea's Kospi: -0.1%

  • Australia's ASX All Ordinaries: -0.6%

---FX---

  • USD/JPY: -0.3% to 131.02

  • USD/CNH: -0.2% to 6.7849

  • USD/INR: -0.1% to 82.552

Europe: DAX +1.3%, FTSE +0.7%, CAC +1.3%

Major European indices are exhibiting a bullish bias in Thursday's trade, underpinned by the recognition that Germany's preliminary January CPI was better than feared on a year-over-year basis and showed deceleration from peak inflation, as well as a better-than-expected 2023 outlook from industrial company Siemens. A positive bias in the U.S. equity futures market has also helped trigger some renewed buying interest. Sweden's Riksbank raised its key interest rate by 50 basis points to 3.00%, as expected, and said further rate hikes are likely. Separately, BOE Governor Bailey testified before Parliament's Treasury Committee that he thinks inflation will come down sharply this year, but that risks remain, according to Bloomberg. EUR/USD +0.5% to 1.0761.

  • In economic data:

    • Germany's January preliminary CPI +1.0% m/m (expected +0.8%; last -0.8%) and +8.7% yr/yr (expected +8.9%; last +8.6%)


---Equity Markets---

  • STOXX Europe 600: +1.0%

  • Germany's DAX: +1.3%

  • U.K.'s FTSE 100: +0.7%

  • France's CAC 40: +1.3%

  • Italy's FTSE MIB: +1.5%

  • Spain's IBEX 35: +0.5%

---FX---

  • EUR/USD: +0.5% to 1.0761

  • GBP/USD: +0.7% to 1.2150

  • USD/CHF: -0.2% to 0.9187


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