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08/12/22 Briefing


The S&P 500 futures are up 11 points and are trading 0.3% above fair value. The Nasdaq 100 futures are up 33 points and are trading 0.3% above fair value. The Dow Jones Industrial Average futures are up 78 points and are trading 0.2% above fair value.

The market has finished lower in eight of the last nine sessions, so equity futures are modestly higher now with an expectation that the market is due for a bounce.

Hong Kong could relax masking and COVID testing rules, according to Bloomberg.

Treasury yields are inching higher. The 2-yr note yield is up three basis points to 4.27% and the 10-yr note yield is up four basis points to 3.46%.

The U.S. Dollar Index is flat at 105.13.

Energy complex futures are moving up this morning. WTI crude oil futures are up 2.5% to $73.85/bbl and natural gas futures are up 1.7% to $5.82/mmbtu.

The initial and continuing jobless claims report is due at 8:30 a.m. ET today, although market participants understandably remain preoccupied with the November Producer Price Index tomorrow at 8:30 a.m. ET.

In corporate news:

  • Exxon Mobil (XOM 102.27, +1.62, +1.6%): provides corporate plan update; expects to double earnings and cash flow potential by 2027, share repurchase program expanded up to $50 bln through 2024

  • Hershey Foods (HSY 240.89, +4.20, +1.8%): upgraded to Buy from Neutral at UBS

  • Salesforce (CRM 129.38, -1.10, -0.8%): Robert W. Baird downgraded to Neutral from Outperform

  • GameStop (GME 22.20, -0.06, -0.3%): misses by $0.03, misses on revs

  • New York Times (NYT 34.83, +0.32, +0.9%): 1000 employees will strike today, according to Bloomberg

  • Verint Systems (VRNT 36.47, -0.91, -2.4%): beats by $0.08, misses on revs; guides FY23 EPS in-line, revs below consensus; also announces new $200 million share buyback program

  • Greif (GEF 66.10, -4.17, -5.9%): misses by $0.11, misses on revs

  • Ciena (CIEN 50.60, +7.36, +17.0%): beats by $0.54, beats on revs

  • Tesla (TSLA 170.80, -3.24, -1.9%): Elon Musk's bankers could provide him with new margin loans supported by Tesla stock, according to Bloomberg

  • Unilever (UL 50.58, -0.24, -0.5%): mulling sale of US ice cream brands for $3 bln, according to Bloomberg

Reviewing overnight developments:

  • Equity indices in the Asia-Pacific region ended Thursday on a mixed note. Japan's Nikkei: -0.4%, Hong Kong's Hang Seng: +3.4%, China's Shanghai Composite: -0.1%, India's Sensex: +0.3%, South Korea's Kospi: -0.5%, Australia's ASX All Ordinaries: -0.7%.

  • In economic data:

  • Japan's Q3 GDP -0.2% qtr/qtr (expected -0.3%; last 1.1%); -0.8% yr/yr (expected -1.1%; last -1.2%). Q3 GDP Capital Expenditure 1.5% qtr/qtr, as expected (last 2.0%). October Current Account deficit JPY610 bln (expected surplus of JPY350 bln; last surplus of JPY670 bln). November Economy Watchers Current Index 48.1 (expected 50.7; last 49.9)

  • Australia's October trade surplus AUD12.22 bln (expected surplus of AUD12.10 bln; last surplus of AUD12.44 bln). October Imports -1.0% m/m (last 7.0%) and Exports -1.0% (last 0.3%)


  • In news:

  • Hong Kong is expected to reduce coronavirus quarantine requirements and may also ease entry restrictions for visitors.

  • China may ease more rules related to the property sector.

  • Japan will reportedly look to raise JPY1 trln in new taxes to pay for higher defense spending.



  • Major European indices trade on a modestly lower note while Spain's IBEX (-0.6%) underperforms with utility companies leading the weakness. STOXX Europe 600: -0.4%, Germany's DAX: -0.2%, U.K.'s FTSE 100: -0.1%, France's CAC 40: -0.2%, Italy's FTSE MIB: -0.3%, Spain's IBEX 35: -0.6%.

  • In economic data:

  • U.K.'s November RICS House Price Balance -25% (expected -10%; last -2%)


  • In news:

  • The European Commission is preparing its ninth set of sanctions on Russia.

  • European Central Bank staff is reportedly considering a strike after being offered pay raises below the rate of inflation.

  • Officials in the Netherlands are reportedly planning to restrict technology exports to China.



U.S. equity futures:

  • S&P 500 Futures: +12 @ 3,946

  • DJIA Futures: +70 @ 33,678

  • Nasdaq 100 Futures: +35 @ 11,430

Overseas:

  • Europe: DAX -0.2%, FTSE -0.1%, CAC -0.2%

  • Asia: Nikkei -0.4%, Hang Seng +3.4%, Shanghai Composite -0.1%

Commodities:

  • Crude Oil +1.74 @ 73.75

  • Nat Gas +0.102 @ 5.825

  • Gold -1.20 @ 1796.80

  • Silver +0.005 @ 22.927

  • Copper +0.0302 @ 3.8907

Earnings/Guidance:

  • BuzzFeed ( BZFD 2.80% ) reaffirms its Q4 revenue and adjusted EBITDA guidance

  • C3.ai ( AI 0.08% ) beats by $0.05, beats on revs; guides JanQ revs below consensus; reaffirms FY23 revs guidance

  • Chevron ( CVX 0.30% ) announces 2023 CapEx budgets of $14 bln for consolidated subsidiaries and $3 bln for equity affiliates, which total near the high end of prior guidance

  • Ciena ( CIEN 2.46% ) beats by $0.54, beats on revs

  • GameStop ( GME 4.83% ) misses by $0.03, misses on revs

  • General Electric ( GE 0.33% ) healthcare unit provides medium term financial targets ahead of investor day

  • GMS ( GMS 3.13% ) beats by $0.45, beats on revs

  • Gran Tierra Energy ( GTE 1.89% ) announces 2023 guidance; expects production of 32,000-34,000 BOPD, an 8% increase yr/yr

  • Greif ( GEF 0.01% ) misses by $0.11, misses on revs

  • HashiCorp ( HCP 4.91% ) beats by $0.18, beats on revs; guides Q4 EPS above consensus, revs above consensus

  • Hello Group ( MOMO 8.54% ) beats by RMB0.52, beats on revs; guides Q4 revs in-line

  • Kinder Morgan ( KMI 0.33% ) provides preliminary FY23 financial projections; guides EPS slightly below consensus

  • Korn/Ferry ( KFY 1.48% ) beats by $0.02, beats on revs; guides Q3 EPS below consensus

  • Oxford Industries ( OXM 0.31% ) beats by $0.24, beats on revs; guides Q4 EPS in-line, revs in-line

  • Sportsman's Warehouse ( SPWH 2.59% ) beats by $0.05, reports revs in-line, comps of -15%; guides Q4 EPS below consensus, revs below consensus, comps down 9-13%

  • The Duckhorn Portfolio ( NAPA 1.06% ) beats by $0.03, beats on revs; reaffirms FY23 EPS guidance, revs guidance

  • Verint Systems ( VRNT 0.13% ) beats by $0.08, misses on revs; guides FY23 EPS in-line, revs below consensus; also announces new $200 million share buyback program

News:

  • Chinese President Xi will meet with leaders of Saudi Arabia today, according to the Wall Street Journal

  • Hong Kong could relax masking and testing rules, according to Bloomberg

  • Macau eases COVID-19 testing requirements, according to Reuters

  • Federal officials are investigating if FTX's founder Sam Bankman-Fried manipulated the cryptocurrency market, according to the New York Times

  • Senate supporters of marijuana banking reform legislation will try one more time to get bill passed, but chances of passage remain low, according to Bloomberg

  • Mask mandates could return to some larger cities in US, but most of the country will not mask mandates due to public opposition, according to The Washington Post

  • Actinium Pharmaceuticals ( ATNM 2.53% ) Announces Research Collaboration with Columbia University to Study Actimab-A in AML Patients Following Transplant of Engineered Hematopoietic Stem Cells Gene Edited to be CD33 Negative

  • Akero Therapeutics ( AKRO 1.49% ) announces that efruxifermin has received a Breakthrough Therapy Designation from the US Food and Drug Administration for the treatment of nonalcoholic steatohepatitis

  • Alpha and Omega Semi ( AOSL 0.25% ) announces leadership transition; Dr. Mike Chang to transition to Executive Chairman and Stephen Chang to become CEO

  • Alphabet ( GOOG 2.22% ), Oracle (ORCL), AWS (AMZN), and Microsoft (MSFT) awarded hybrid Washington Headquarters Services contract with a ceiling of $9.0 bln; estimated completion date is June 2028

  • ArcelorMittal ( MT 0.64% ) inaugurates flagship carbon capture and utilisation project at its steel plant in Ghent, Belgium

  • Argonaut Gold ( EWC 0.09% ) announces that Larry Radford will step down as President and CEO effective immediately for personal health reasons

  • BioNTech ( BNTX 0.62% ) updates share buyback program

  • Bioventus ( BVS 0.91% ) announces restructuring to improve profitability; expects to incur $4-5 mln of pre-tax costs and result in $9-10 mln in annualized savings; expects to complete restructuring by the end of 2023

  • BlackLine ( BL 2.31% ) is planning to reduce its global workforce by approximately 5%, or approximately 95 total positions

  • Cano Health ( CANO 2.84% ): Third Point sells stake in Cano Health, according to Bloomberg

  • CarGurus ( CARG 1.89% ) announces $250 mln repurchase program

  • Carrier Global ( CARR 0.14% ) increases quarterly dividend by 23% to $0.185/share

  • CME Group ( CME 2.16% ) announces annual variable dividend of $4.50/share

  • Coca-Cola Consolidated ( COKE 1.86% ) doubles regular quarterly dividend to $0.50/sh from $0.25/sh; co also declares a special cash dividend of $3.00/sh

  • Criteo ( CRTO 1.71% ) announces the extension of its share repurchase authorization from $280-480 mln

  • CubeSmart ( CUBE 0.65% ) increases quarterly dividend 14% to $0.49/share from $0.43/share

  • Custom Truck One Source ( CTOS 0.44% ) promotes Ryan McMonagle to CEO, effective when current CEO Fred Ross retires on March 20, 2023

  • Denison Mines ( DNN 1.85% ) announces highly successful results from long-term core leach metallurgical testing completed to further support the Feasibility Study underway for the Phoenix In-Situ Recovery ("ISR") uranium mining operation

  • Descartes ( DSGX 0.72% ) beats by $0.04, misses on revs

  • Design Therapeutics ( DSGN 6.00% ) Reports Positive Data from Single-Ascending Dose Trial of DT-216 for the Treatment of Friedreich Ataxia and Portfolio Progress

  • Exxon Mobil ( XOM 0.22% ) provides corporate plan update; expects to double earnings and cash flow potential by 2027, share repurchase program expanded up to $50 bln through 2024

  • G1 Therapeutics ( GTHX 0.63% ) reports Initial Results from Phase 2 Mechanism of Action Trial in Early-Stage Triple Negative Breast Cancer Show that a Single Dose of Trilaciclib Favorably Alters the Tumor Microenvironment

  • Genuine Parts ( GPC 0.11% ) appoints William Stengel to expanded role as President and COO, effective January 1, 2023

  • Google ( GOOG 2.22% ) aiming to combine teams working on maps and Waze, according to the Wall Street Journal

  • Google ( GOOG 2.22% ): The Biden administration will side against Google in social media lawsuit, according to Bloomberg

  • Immunocore ( IMCR 7.45% ) presents ovarian cancer expansion data for ImmTAC candidate IMC-C103C targeting MAGE-A4

  • Instil Bio ( TIL 7.96% ) announced a reprioritization of its clinical programs to focus on development of its CoStAR-TIL product candidates; Reducing U.S. headcount by approximately 60%

  • Kronos Bio ( KRON 4.19% ) Announces Selection of Recommended Phase 2 Dose for its Oral CDK9 Inhibitor, KB-0742, After Reaching Target Engagement Goal with Acceptable Safety Profile in Ongoing Phase 1/2 Clinical Trial

  • Landstar System ( LSTR 0.83% ) increases stock repurchase authorization to 3.0 mln shares of common stock; also declares one-time special cash dividend of $2.00/share

  • New York Times ( NYT 0.09% ): 1000 NY Times employees will strike today, according to Bloomberg

  • NGM Bio ( NGM 1.27% ) Presents Preliminary Data from Phase 1 Monotherapy Dose Escalation Trial of NGM707 in Patients with Advanced or Metastatic Solid Tumors at 2022 ESMO-IO Annual Meeting

  • Nordstrom ( JWN 3.64% ) appoints Michael Maher, its Senior Vice President and Chief Accounting Officer, as interim CFO, effective December 5, 2022; also commences internal and external search for permanent CFO

  • Novartis AG ( NVS 1.09% ) reports investigational iptacopan provides clinically meaningful increases in hemoglobin levels in complement-inhibitor-nave patients with PNH

  • PBF Energy ( PBF 2.08% ) announces appointment of Karen Davis as interim CFO, effective January 1, 2023

  • PDC Energy ( PDCE 0.79% ) declares special dividend of $0.65/share

  • Puma Biotechnology ( PBYI 3.94% ) Presents Updated Findings from the TBCRC-022 Trial at the 2022 San Antonio Breast Cancer Symposium

  • RAPT Therapeutics ( RAPT 2.95% ) presents update from its phase 1/2 clinical trial for FLX475 as monotherapy and in combination with pembrolizumab in patients with advanced cancer

  • REGENXBIO ( RGNX 0.49% ) Announces Completion of Dosing in the Phase I/II Trial of RGX-111 for the Treatment of Severe MPS I

  • Relmada Therapeutics ( RLMD 0.95% ) Announces Top-line Results from Phase 3 RELIANCE I Trial for REL-1017 as an Adjunctive Treatment for Major Depressive Disorder

  • Revolution Medicines ( RVMD 1.43% ) to Regain Global Rights to RMC-4630 following Sanofi's Termination of SHP2 Inhibitor Development and Commercialization Collaboration

  • SPX Corp ( SPXC 0.27% ) appoints Mark Carano as CFO, effective Jan 3, 2023

  • Takeda Pharma ( TAK 0.89% ): QDENGA (Dengue tetravalent vaccine) approved for use in European Union

  • Tesla ( TSLA 3.21% ): Elon Musk's bankers could provide him with new margin loans supported by Tesla stock, according to Bloomberg

  • The Duckhorn Portfolio ( NAPA 1.06% ) CFO Lori Beaudoin intends to retire in the spring of 2023

  • Vertex Pharma ( VRTX 1.85% ) and Entrada Therapeutics (TRDA) announced a global collaboration focused on discovering and developing intracellular Endosomal Escape Vehicle therapeutics for myotonic dystrophy type 1

  • Walgreens Boots Alliance ( WBA 0.15% ) launches free paxlovid delivery services with DoorDash (DASH) and Uber (UBER)

  • Wal Mart ( WMT 0.52% ) might close stores and raise prices in US localities with soft crime laws if surge in retail theft continues, according to the New York Post

  • Williams Cos ( WMB 0.96% ) executes agreements with Coterra (CTRA) and Dominion Energy (D) for delivery of full-value chain certified low emission next gen gas

M&A:

  • First Majestic Silver ( AG 4.50% ) to sell its 100% owned past producing La Parrilla Silver Mine located in the state of Durango, Mexico for total consideration of up to US$33.5 MLN

  • IBM ( IBM 0.16% ) announces agreement to acquire Octo, an IT modernization and digital transformation services provider for the U.S. government; terms of deal not disclosed

  • Unilever ( UL 0.68% ) mulling sale of US ice cream brands for $3 bln, according to Bloomberg

  • Wolverine ( WWW 1.55% ) to divest or license the Keds brand and Wolverine Leathers business, plans to reduce debt; QTD revs is in-line with expectations

Syndicate:

  • Chart Industries ( GTLS 0.63% ) commences concurrent offerings of $600 mln of common stock and $300 million of depositary shares of Series B Mandatory Convertible Preferred Stock

  • Chefs' Warehouse ( CHEF 1.66% ) intends to offer $250 mln of convertible senior notes due 2028

  • Cutera ( CUTR 0.74% ) intends to offer $100 mln of convertible senior notes due 2029

  • NextEra Energy Partners ( NEP 1.20% ) announces offering of $500 mln of convertible senior notes due 2026

  • Prometheus Biosciences ( RXDX 165.67% ) intends to offer $250 million of shares of its common stock in an underwritten public offering

  • Replimune ( REPL 22.23% ) announces proposed public offering of $125 million of shares of its common stock

IPOs:

  • Expect to Price:

  • No IPOs expected.


Gapping Up/Down

  • Gapping up:

  • MOMO +21%, RXDX +7.9%, HCP +6.2%, GMS +5%, BZFD +4.8%, OXM +4.2%, NAPA +3.6%, SFM +3.2%, GTHX +3.1%, KMI +2.8%, PBYI +2.4%, MT +2%, PBF +0.9%, GME +0.9%, ORCL +0.8%, GPC +0.8%, AMZN +0.6%, LSTR +0.6%, KRON +0.6%


  • Gapping down:

  • RLMD -39.9%, DSGN -27%, CUTR -10%, CHEF -7.4%, SPWH -6%, GEF -5.4%, GTE -4.8%, REPL -3.6%, NEP -3.4%, UNIT -3%, VRNT -2.4%, SNY -2.2%, BVS -1.8%, AI -0.8%, RVMD -0.6%



Analyst Research (see Upgrades/Downgrades calendar for full list):

  • Upgrades

  • Apartment Income REIT Corp. (AIRC) upgraded to Buy from Sell at Goldman; tgt raised to $43


  • Downgrades:

  • AppLovin (APP) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at BTIG Research

  • AvalonBay (AVB) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Goldman; tgt lowered to $187


  • Others:

  • Altice USA (ATUS) resumed with an Underperform at BofA Securities; tgt $3.50

  • Bank of America (BAC) initiated with a Neutral at Piper Sandler; tgt $36

  • Boeing (BA) assumed with a Buy at Citigroup; tgt raised to $222


Upcoming Events:

  • Econ Data:

  • 08:30 ET: Initial Claims for Dec 3 (Briefing.com Consensus 220K; Prior 225K)

  • 08:30 ET: Continuing Claims for Nov 26 (Briefing.com Consensus NA; Prior 1608K)

  • 10:30 ET: EIA Natural Gas Inventories for Dec 3 (Briefing.com Consensus NA; Prior -81 bcf)


  • Earnings:

  • Monday (Dec 5)

  • Morning: SAIC

  • Afternoon: GTLB SUMO


  • Tuesday (Dec 6)

  • Morning: AZO CONN BASE SIG

  • Afternoon: AVAV CASY PLAY GWRE MDB S SWBI CXM SFIX TOL ZUO


  • Wednesday (Dec 7)

  • Morning: ASO BF.B CPB LOVE OLLI THO UNFI

  • Afternoon: AI DSGX GME GEF HCP OXM SPWH VRNT


  • Thursday (Dec 8)

  • Morning: CIEN GMS MOMO KFY MANU

  • Afternoon: AVGO CHWY COO COST DOCU DOMO LULU PHR RH CURV MTN


  • Friday (Dec 9)

  • Morning: LI



Asia & Europe detail:

Asia: Nikkei -0.4%, Hang Seng +3.4%, Shanghai Composite -0.1%

Equity indices in the Asia-Pacific region ended Thursday on a mixed note. Hong Kong is expected to reduce coronavirus quarantine requirements and may also ease entry restrictions for visitors. China may ease more rules related to the property sector. Japan will reportedly look to raise JPY1 trln in new taxes to pay for higher defense spending.

  • In economic data:

  • Japan's Q3 GDP -0.2% qtr/qtr (expected -0.3%; last 1.1%); -0.8% yr/yr (expected -1.1%; last -1.2%). Q3 GDP Capital Expenditure 1.5% qtr/qtr, as expected (last 2.0%). October Current Account deficit JPY610 bln (expected surplus of JPY350 bln; last surplus of JPY670 bln). November Economy Watchers Current Index 48.1 (expected 50.7; last 49.9)

  • Australia's October trade surplus AUD12.22 bln (expected surplus of AUD12.10 bln; last surplus of AUD12.44 bln). October Imports -1.0% m/m (last 7.0%) and Exports -1.0% (last 0.3%)


---Equity Markets---

  • Japan's Nikkei: -0.4%

  • Hong Kong's Hang Seng: +3.4%

  • China's Shanghai Composite: -0.1%

  • India's Sensex: +0.3%

  • South Korea's Kospi: -0.5%

  • Australia's ASX All Ordinaries: -0.7%

---FX---

  • USD/JPY: +0.1% to 136.77

  • USD/CNH: +0.2% to 6.9737

  • USD/INR: +0.2% to 82.37

Europe: DAX -0.2%, FTSE -0.1%, CAC -0.2%

Major European indices trade on a modestly lower note while Spain's IBEX (-0.6%) underperforms with utility companies leading the weakness. The European Commission is preparing its ninth set of sanctions on Russia. European Central Bank staff is reportedly considering a strike after being offered pay raises below the rate of inflation. Officials in the Netherlands are reportedly planning to restrict technology exports to China.

  • In economic data:

  • U.K.'s November RICS House Price Balance -25% (expected -10%; last -2%)


---Equity Markets---

  • STOXX Europe 600: -0.4%

  • Germany's DAX: -0.2%

  • U.K.'s FTSE 100: -0.1%

  • France's CAC 40: -0.2%

  • Italy's FTSE MIB: -0.3%

  • Spain's IBEX 35: -0.6%

---FX---

  • EUR/USD: +0.1% to 1.0516

  • GBP/USD: -0.2% to 1.2174

  • USD/CHF: +0.1% to 0.9409

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