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07/06/23 Briefing

Updated: Jun 8, 2023


The S&P 500 futures are up 6 points and are trading 0.1% above fair value. The Nasdaq 100 futures are up 26 points and are trading 0.2% above fair value. The Dow Jones Industrial Average futures are up 5 points and are trading slightly above fair value.

There's not a lot of conviction this morning. Market participants are still contending with the notion that mega caps are due for a period of consolidation. Also, China reported a smaller than expected trade surplus for May as exports fell more than expected, stoking concerns over global growth prospects.

The weekly MBA Mortgage Applications Index fell 1.4% with purchase applications declining 2.0% and refinancing applications falling 1.0%.

Other economic data today includes:

  • 8:30 a.m. ET: April Trade Balance (Briefing.comconsensus -$75.3 billion; prior -$64.2 billion)

  • 10:30 a.m. ET: EIA Crude Oil Inventories (prior +4.49 million barrels)

  • 3:00 p.m. ET: April Consumer Credit (Briefing.comconsensus $21.0 billion; prior $26.5 billion)

Treasuries are little changed from yesterday's settlement levels. The 2-yr note yield is down one basis point to 4.51% and the 10-yr note yield is unchanged at 3.69%.

In corporate news:

  • Dave & Buster's (PLAY 35.45, +1.71, +5.1%): beats by $0.19, misses on revs

  • Campbell Soup (CPB 49.30, -1.29, -2.6%): beats by $0.03, reports revs in-line; reaffirms FY23 EPS guidance, revs guidance

  • Casey's General (CASY 215.00, -9.26, -4.1%): misses by $0.15, misses on revs, inside comps of +6.5%; expects FY24 inside same-store sales to increase +3-5%; increases quarterly dividend 13% to $0.43/share

  • Netflix (NFLX 414.69, +15.40, +3.9%): JPMorgan raised price target to $470 form $380 and reiterated an Overweight rating

  • Petrobras (PBR 12.96, +0.31, +2.5%): upgraded to Overweight from Equal Weight at Morgan Stanley

  • Yext (YEXT 11.31, +1.71, +17.8%): beats by $0.04, reports revs in-line; guides JulQ EPS above consensus, revs above consensus; guides FY24 EPS above consensus, revs above consensus

  • Couchbase (BASE 18.94,- 3.29, -14.8%): beats by $0.05, beats on revs; guides Q2 revs below consensus; guides FY24 revs in-line

  • Coinbase (COIN 53.31, +1.70, +3.3%): Cathie Wood increases stake in Coinbase, according to Bloomberg

  • UnitedHealth (UNH 489.10, +1.53, +0.3%): authorized a 14% increase to its quarterly cash dividend

  • Marvell (MRVL 62.32, +3.18, +5.4%): co has secured Amazon (AMZN) artificial intelligence order, according to Taiwan site Liberty Times Net

  • United Natural Foods (UNFI 20.70, -6.87, -24.9%): misses by $0.11, reports revs in-line; guides FY23 EPS below consensus, reaffirms FY23 revs guidance

Reviewing overnight developments:

  • Equity indices in the Asia-Pacific region ended the midweek session on a mixed note. Japan's Nikkei: -1.8%, Hong Kong's Hang Seng: +0.8%, China's Shanghai Composite: +0.1%, India's Sensex: +0.6%, South Korea's Kospi: UNCH, Australia's ASX All Ordinaries: -0.1%.

    • In economic data:

      • China's May trade surplus $65.81 bln (expected surplus of $92.00 bln; last surplus of $90.21 bln). May Imports -4.5% m/m (expected -8.0%; last -7.9%) and Exports -7.5% yr/yr (expected -0.4%; last 8.5%)

      • Japan's April Leading Index 0.7% m/m (last -0.5%) and Coincident Indicator 0.2% m/m (last 0.1%)

      • Australia's Q1 GDP 0.2% qtr/qtr (expected 0.3%; last 0.6%); 2.3% yr/yr (expected 2.4%; last 2.6%). May AIG Manufacturing Index -5.1 (last -20.2) and May AIG Construction Index -6.6 (last -12.4).

    • In news:

      • China reported a smaller than expected trade surplus for May as exports fell more than expected.

      • China's biggest banks have reportedly been encouraged to cut their deposit rates.

      • Goldman Sachs expects that the Reserve Bank of Australia will announce 75-bps worth of rate hikes before reaching a terminal rate.

      • Australia's trade minister indicated that a path is being sought to solve all trade disputes with China.

  • Major European indices trade on a mostly lower note while Spain's IBEX (+0.8%) outperforms with leadership from retailer Inditex after the release of solid quarterly results. STOXX Europe 600: -0.1%, Germany's DAX: -0.1%, U.K.'s FTSE 100: +0.1%, France's CAC 40: -0.1%, Italy's FTSE MIB: -0.4%, Spain's IBEX 35: +0.8%.

    • In economic data:

      • Germany's April Industrial Production 0.3% m/m (expected 0.6%; last -2.1%); 1.8% yr/yr (last 2.1%)

      • U.K.'s May Halifax House Price Index 0.0% m/m, as expected (last -0.4%); -1.0% yr/yr (expected -0.9%; last 0.1%)

      • France's April trade deficit EUR9.7 bln (expected deficit of EUR7.7 bln; last deficit of EUR8.4 bln). April Current Account deficit EUR100 mln (expected deficit of EUR800 mln; last deficit of EUR300 mln)

      • Italy's April Retail Sales 0.2% m/m (expected 0.3%; last 0.0%); 3.2% yr/yr (expected 4.3%; last 5.8%)

      • Swiss May Unemployment Rate 2.0% (expected 1.9%; last 1.9%)

    • In news:

      • There was more talk about additional rate hikes from the European Central Bank as policymakers Schnabel and Knot said that more work has to be done.

 

U.S. equity futures:

  • S&P 500 Futures: +6 @ 4,289

  • DJIA Futures: +6 @ 33,579

  • Nasdaq 100 Futures: +25 @ 14,583

Overseas:

  • Europe: DAX -0.1%, FTSE +0.1%, CAC -0.1%

  • Asia: Nikkei -1.8%, Hang Seng +0.8%, Shanghai Composite +0.1%

Commodities:

  • Crude Oil +0.76 @ 72.50

  • Nat Gas +0.052 @ 2.314

  • Gold -4.30 @ 1977.20

  • Silver +0.018 @ 23.688

  • Copper +0.0182 @ 3.7867


 

Earnings/Guidance:

  • Calavo Growers (CVGW) misses by $0.19, misses on revs; expects earnings to improve in second half of the year

  • Campbell Soup (CPB) beats by $0.03, reports revs in-line; reaffirms FY23 EPS guidance, revs guidance

  • Casey's General (CASY) misses by $0.15, misses on revs, inside comps of +6.5%; expects FY24 inside same-store sales to increase +3-5%; increases quarterly dividend 13% to $0.43/share

  • Couchbase (BASE) beats by $0.05, beats on revs; guides Q2 revs below consensus; guides FY24 revs in-line

  • Dave & Buster's (PLAY) beats by $0.19, misses on revs

  • Eagle Pharma (EGRX) in slide presentation says it expects increase in PEMFEXY sales in 2023 versus last year

  • Gatos Silver (GATO) reports Q1 financials

  • Grid Dynamics (GDYN) reiterates its Q2 revenue outlook; expects to sign at least eight new large enterprises

  • Limoneira (LMNR) beats by $0.02, reports revs in-line

  • Lovesac (LOVE) beats by $0.13, beats on revs; guides Q2 EPS in-line, revs below consensus; reaffirms FY24 EPS guidance, revs guidance

  • Ollie's Bargain Outlet () beats by $0.01, beats on revs; guides FY24 EPS above consensus, revs above consensus; Q1 comps +4.5%

  • Planet Fitness (PLNT) in slide presentation reaffirms FY23 guidance and provides 3 year tagets

  • SomaLogic (SLGC) announces CFO transition and reaffirms FY23 revenue guidance

  • Stitch Fix (SFIX) beats by $0.12, beats on revs; guides Q4 revs below consensus

  • United Natural Foods (UNFI) misses by $0.11, reports revs in-line; guides FY23 EPS below consensus, reaffirms FY23 revs guidance

  • Wayfair (W) announced that Steve Oblak, Chief Commercial Officer, will retire; co also shared that quarter-to-date gross revenue is strengthening, and is now trending in the negative mid single digit percentage range yr/yr

  • Yext (YEXT) beats by $0.04, reports revs in-line; guides JulQ EPS above consensus, revs above consensus; guides FY24 EPS above consensus, revs above consensus

News:

  • Treasury market prepares for $1 trillion in new debt issuance, according to the Wall Street Journal

  • Mike Pence and Chris Christie officially launch Republican presidential campaigns

  • Smoke from Canadian wildfires reaches northern US states, according to the New York Times

  • OECD says global economic outlook improving, albeit to a low growth recovery

  • SEC requests federal court put in place a temporary restraining order to freeze the U.S. assets of crypto exchange Binance, according to Reuters

  • EU in discussions with countries on renewables agreement, according to Bloomberg

  • Turkish Lira reaches new lows as banks pull back on defending it, according to Bloomberg

  • AbbVie (ABBV) announces reimbursement for VRAYLAR for the treatment of schizophrenia under the non-insured health benefits program

  • Allegheny Tech (ATI) announces that Kimberly Fields will become President and COO, effective July 1, 2023

  • AlTi Global (ALTI) announced the resignation of Christine Zhao as Chief Financial Officer of the Company

  • ArcelorMittal (MT) to supply General Motors (GM) with XCarb recycled and renewably produced steel; shipments expects to begin during 2Q23

  • Bitfarms (BITF) purchased 550 PH/s of new high efficiency BTC miners for $7.7 million, using a combination of cash and vendor credits

  • Braskem SA (BAK) reinforces that it is not conducting any negotiations from its shareholders Novonor and Petrobras (PBR)

  • Casey's General (CASY) elects CEO Darren M. Rebelez to the additional role of Board Chair, effective June 2; succeeds H. Lynn Horak who is retiring on September 6

  • Coinbase (COIN): Cathie Wood increases stake in Coinbase, according to Bloomberg

  • Consolidated Water (CWCO) subsidiary signs $204 mln agreement with the Honolulu Board of Water Supply to build and maintain a seawater reverse osmosis desalination plant

  • Cool Company (CLCO) and HD Hyundai Global Service signed contracts to retrofit five LNG carriers with sub-coolers for LNG boil-off reliquefaction

  • CXApp Inc. (CXAI) CFO Michael Angel resigned, effective June 5; appoints CEO Khurram P. Sheikh as Interim CFO

  • Dave & Buster's (PLAY) to open 20 stores in India and Australia

  • Enanta Pharmaceuticals (ENTA) updated corporate presentation with additional analyses of the Phase 2 SPRINT trial evaluating EDP-235 in standard risk patients with COVID-19

  • Enviri Corporation (HSC) reached an amicable agreement with Stericycle (SRCL) to resolve all significant disputes

  • Fennec Pharmaceuticals (FENC) receives EC Marketing Authorization for Pedmarqsi

  • FibroGen (FGEN) topline data from the Phase 3 LELANTOS-1 placebo-controlled trial of pamrevlumab for the treatment of non-ambulatory patients with Duchenne Muscular Dystrophy did not meet the primary endpoint

  • General Electric (GE): US near deal with India to produce GE fighter jets, according to the Wall Street Journal

  • GlaxoSmithKline (GSK) receives EC authorization for RSV vaccine Arexvy

  • Grid Dynamics (GDYN) announces "major expansion" of partnership with Google Cloud to develop generative AI capabilities

  • Grupo Aeroportuario Del Sureste (ASR) reports total passenger traffic for May 2023; reaches a total of 5.7 million passengers, 3.2% above the levels reported in May 2022

  • ICF International (ICFI) awarded contract by U.S. Department of Justice Office for Victims of Crime with value of $22 mln and term of five years

  • Intercept Pharma (ICPT) announces initial results from a planned interim analysis of its ongoing Phase 2 study 747-213

  • Legend Biotech (LEGN) announces submission of supplemental application to the U.S. FDA for expanded use of CARVYKTI (ciltacabtagene autoleucel); JNJ's Janssen is a partner

  • LianBio (LIAN) announces topline results from phase 2a proof of concept trial evaluating infigratinib in patients with gastric cancer & receipt of breakthrough therapy designation in China

  • Lloyds (LYG) to launch GBP 600 mln auction for Telegraph, according to Sky News

  • Lovesac (LOVE) announces Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer Donna Dellomo is retiring as CFO with Planned Transition to Senior Strategic Advisor

  • Marathon Digital Holdings (MARA) appoints Salman Khan to the position of chief financial officer

  • Marvell (MRVL) has secured Amazon (AMZN) artificial intelligence order, according to Taiwan site Liberty Times Net

  • Meta (META): Instagram might develop artificial intelligence chatbot, according to ZD Net

  • New York Mortgage Trust (NYMT) declared $0.30/share quarterly common dividend vs. $0.40/share prior

  • Post (POST) approves new $400 mln share repurchase program

  • Sensata Tech (ST) to exit Spear Power System's marine energy storage business; to incur pre-tax charges of $40-50 mln in Q2; closing the business will result in approximately $10-12 mln in annualized cost savings

  • Shutterstock (SSTK) has approved a stock repurchase program, pursuant to which the Company is authorized to purchase up to $100 mln of its common stock

  • Stellantis (STLA) launches second tranche of its share buyback program

  • TC Energy (TCP) to eliminate some jobs, according toReuters

  • Teleflex (TFX) receives FDA clearance for the Wattson Temporary Pacing Guidewire - the first commercially available bipolar temporary pacing guidewire

  • UnitedHealth (UNH) authorized a 14% increase to its quarterly cash dividend

  • Volaris Aviation (VLRS) reports May traffic increased 17.1% yr/yr

  • WisdomTree (WT): Leading Independent Proxy Advisory Firms ISS and Glass Lewis Support WisdomTree's New Director Nominee Shamla Naidoo and Recommend Against ETFS Capital Chairman Graham Tuckwell

M&A:

  • Chindata Group (CD) announces receipt of preliminary non-binding 'going private' proposal

  • Liberty Global (LBTYA) announces publication of prospectus and response memorandum related to its bid for shares in Telenet it doesn't already own

  • Stratasys (SSYS) mailed a letter to shareholders in connection with Nano Dimension Ltd.'s (NNDM) unsolicited partial tender offer to acquire ordinary shares of Stratasys for $18.00 per share

  • TreeHouse Foods (THS) to acquire Farmer Brothers' (FARM) Northlake, Texas coffee facility for approximately $100 mln

  • TSMC (TSM) mulling purchase of stake in German fab, according to Digitimes

  • Univar Solutions (UNVR) shareholders approve pending acquisition by funds managed by Apollo (APO)

  • Vodafone (VOD) could merge with CK Hutchison (CKHUY) as soon as Friday, according to Reuters

Syndicate:

  • Amcor (AMCR) files mixed shelf securities offering

  • Cogent Biosciences (COGT) prices offering of 12.5 mln shares of common stock at $12.00 per share

  • Day One Biopharmaceuticals (DAWN) prices offering of 11,538,462 shares of common stock at $13.00 per share

  • Mondee Holdings (MOND) prices secondary offering of 5.25 mln shares of common stock at $10.00 per share

  • NewAmsterdam Pharma (NAMS) prices offering of 13,857,415 shares of common stock at $11.50 per share

  • Ryman Hospitality (RHP) prices offering of 3.85 mln shares of common stock at $93.25 per share

  • Sterling Check Corp. (STER) announces launch of public offering of 8.0 mln shares of common stock by certain stockholders affiliated with Goldman Sachs (GS); also enters into share repurchase agreement with a selling stockholder in which it intends to repurchase 1.0 mln shares

  • Vaxart (VXRT) commences public offering of its common stock; to grant underwriter option to purchase 15% of shares

IPOs:

  • Expected to Price: No IPOs expected.

Gapping Up/Down

  • Gapping up:

    • YEXT +16.8%, SFIX +7.3%, CWCO +7.2%, GDYN+5.7%, PLAY +4.4%, VIR +1.6%, ABUS +1.2%, VLRS+0.8%

  • Gapping down:

    • VXRT -18.5%, BASE -17.4%, MOND -15.7%, NAMS-14.4%, CVGW -10.7%, IONS -5.5%, CASY -4.5%, COGT -3.7%, STER -2.9%, DAWN -2.8%, WT -2.4%, ATI -2.2%, GATO -2%, ST -1.1%

 

Analyst Research (see Upgrades/Downgradescalendarfor full list):

  • Upgrades

    • Amazon (AMZN) upgraded to Outperform from Neutral at Edgewater Research

    • Consolidated Water (CWCO) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Janney; tgt $24

    • Glaukos (GKOS) upgraded to Overweight from Neutral at Piper Sandler; tgt raised to $80

    • NovoCure (NVCR) upgraded to Neutral from Underperform at Wedbush; tgt lowered to $46

    • Yext (YEXT) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at ROTH MKM; tgt raised to $12.80

  • Downgrades:

    • Duolingo (DUOL) downgraded to Mkt Perform from Mkt Outperform at JMP Securities

  • Others:

    • Aurora Innovation (AUR) initiated with a Buy at Canaccord Genuity; tgt $5

    • Bank of Hawaii (BOH) initiated with a Sell at Odeon; tgt $31

    • Ionis Pharma (IONS) assumed with an Overweight at Piper Sandler; tgt $58

    • Mobileye Global (MBLY) initiated with a Buy at Canaccord Genuity; tgt $50

    • Sierra Bancorp (BSRR) assumed with a Neutral at Piper Sandler; tgt $16.50

    • Super Micro Computer (SMCI) initiated with a Buy at Rosenblatt; tgt $300

Econ Data:

  • 07:00 ET: MBA Mortgage Applications Index for June 3 (Briefing.comConsensus NA; Prior -3.7%)

  • 08:30 ET: Trade Balance for Apr (Briefing.comConsensus -$75.3B; Prior -$64.2B)

  • 10:30 ET: EIA Crude Oil Inventories for June 3 (Briefing.comConsensus NA; Prior; +4.49M)

  • 15:00 ET: Consumer Credit for Apr (Briefing.comConsensus $21.0B; Prior $26.5B)

Earnings:

  • Monday (Jun 5)

    • Morning:  SAIC

    • Afternoon: GTLB CXM

  • Tuesday (Jun 6)

    • Morning: ABM ASO CIEN CNM CBRL GIII MOMO SJM THO

    • Afternoon:  CVGW CASY BASE PLAY SFIX YEXT

  • Wednesday (Jun 7)

    • Morning:  BF.B CPB LOVE OLLI UNFI

    • Afternoon:  GME GEF HCP OXM SMTC SMAR CURV TCOM VRNT

  • Thursday (Jun 8)

    • Morning: DBI FCEL REVG SIG TTC

    • Afternoon:  BRZE DOCU AVO MTN

  • Friday (Jun 9) 

    • Morning:  NIO

Asia & Europe detail:

Asia: Nikkei -1.8%, Hang Seng +0.8%, Shanghai Composite +0.1%

Equity indices in the Asia-Pacific region ended the midweek session on a mixed note. China reported a smaller than expected trade surplus for May as exports fell more than expected. China's biggest banks have reportedly been encouraged to cut their deposit rates. Goldman Sachs expects that the Reserve Bank of Australia will announce 75-bps worth of rate hikes before reaching a terminal rate. Australia's trade minister indicated that a path is being sought to solve all trade disputes with China.

  • In economic data:

    • China's May trade surplus $65.81 bln (expected surplus of $92.00 bln; last surplus of $90.21 bln). May Imports -4.5% m/m (expected -8.0%; last -7.9%) and Exports -7.5% yr/yr (expected -0.4%; last 8.5%)

    • Japan's April Leading Index 0.7% m/m (last -0.5%) and Coincident Indicator 0.2% m/m (last 0.1%)

    • Australia's Q1 GDP 0.2% qtr/qtr (expected 0.3%; last 0.6%); 2.3% yr/yr (expected 2.4%; last 2.6%). May AIG Manufacturing Index -5.1 (last -20.2) and May AIG Construction Index -6.6 (last -12.4).

---Equity Markets---

  • Japan's Nikkei: -1.8%

  • Hong Kong's Hang Seng: +0.8%

  • China's Shanghai Composite: +0.1%

  • India's Sensex: +0.6%

  • South Korea's Kospi: UNCH

  • Australia's ASX All Ordinaries: -0.1%

---FX---

  • USD/JPY: -0.2% to 139.37

  • USD/CNH: -0.1% to 7.1218

  • USD/INR: UNCH at 82.48

 

Europe: DAX -0.1%, FTSE +0.1%, CAC -0.1%

Major European indices trade on a mostly lower note while Spain's IBEX (+0.8%) outperforms with leadership from retailer Inditex after the release of solid quarterly results. There was more talk about additional rate hikes from the European Central Bank as policymakers Schnabel and Knot said that more work has to be done.

  • In economic data:

    • Germany's April Industrial Production 0.3% m/m (expected 0.6%; last -2.1%); 1.8% yr/yr (last 2.1%)

    • U.K.'s May Halifax House Price Index 0.0% m/m, as expected (last -0.4%); -1.0% yr/yr (expected -0.9%; last 0.1%)

    • France's April trade deficit EUR9.7 bln (expected deficit of EUR7.7 bln; last deficit of EUR8.4 bln). April Current Account deficit EUR100 mln (expected deficit of EUR800 mln; last deficit of EUR300 mln)

    • Italy's April Retail Sales 0.2% m/m (expected 0.3%; last 0.0%); 3.2% yr/yr (expected 4.3%; last 5.8%)

    • Swiss May Unemployment Rate 2.0% (expected 1.9%; last 1.9%)

---Equity Markets---

  • STOXX Europe 600: -0.1%

  • Germany's DAX: -0.1%

  • U.K.'s FTSE 100: +0.1%

  • France's CAC 40: -0.1%

  • Italy's FTSE MIB: -0.4%

  • Spain's IBEX 35: +0.8%

---FX---

  • EUR/USD: +0.2% to 1.0718

  • GBP/USD: +0.3% to 1.2460

  • USD/CHF: -0.2% to 0.9053


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