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06/06/23 Briefing

The S&P 500 futures are down 2 points and are trading 0.1% below fair value. The Nasdaq 100 futures are down 2 points and are trading slightly below fair value. The Dow Jones Industrial Average futures are down 22 points and are trading 0.1% below fair value.

Stock futures are softer this morning. Participants are taking a wait-and-see approach after yesterday's nice start faded by the close. There is also a sense that mega cap stocks are overbought on a short term basis and are due for period of consolidation.

The Reserve Bank of Australia raised its cash rate by 25 bps to 4.10% against expectations for no change and indicated that more rates hikes may be needed.

China Securities Journal speculated that the PBOC will cut its reserve requirement ratio and other interest rates in the second half of the year.

Labor issues continue at some West Coast ports, according to CNBC.

Treasuries are little changed from yesterday's settlement levels. The 2-yr note yield is down one basis point to 4.47% and the 10-yr note yield is down one basis point to 3.67%.

Oil prices are declining, giving back all of yesterday's gains. WTI crude oil futures are down 2.4% to $70.44/bbl.

There is no U.S. economic data of note today.

In corporate news:

  • GitLab (GTLB 45.29, +9.89, +27.9%): beats by $0.08, beats on revs; guides Q2 EPS above consensus, revs above consensus; guides FY24 EPS above consensus, revs above consensus

  • J.M. Smucker (SJM 146.50, -2.46, -1.7%): beats by $0.23, beats on revs; guides FY24 EPS in-line, revs above consensus

  • FedEx (FDX 220.64, -1.10, -0.5%): Atlantic Equities initiated coverage with an Overweight rating

  • Apple (AAPL 178.81, -0.77, -0.4%): D.A. Davidson downgraded to Neutral from Buy

  • Sprinklr (CXM 14.06, +0.88, +6.7%): beats by $0.05, beats on revs; guides JulQ EPS above consensus, revs in-line; guides FY24 EPS above consensus, revs in-line

  • HealthEquity (HQY 62.32, +3.48, +5.9%): beats by $0.09, beats on revs; guides FY24 EPS and revs above consensus

  • Ciena (CIEN 49.09, +1.59, +3.4%): beats by $0.13, beats on revs

  • GE HealthCare (GEHC 78.00, -2.49, -3.1%): files for 25,000,000 shares of common stock by selling shareholder

  • Thor Industries (THO 8.51, +6.35, +8.0%): beats by $1.16, beats on revs; guides FY23 EPS above consensus, revs in-line

Reviewing overnight developments:

  • Equity indices in the Asia-Pacific region ended Tuesday on a mostly lower note while markets in South Korea were closed for Memorial Day. Japan's Nikkei: +0.9%, Hong Kong's Hang Seng: -0.1%, China's Shanghai Composite: -1.2%, India's Sensex: UNCH, South Korea's Kospi: CLOSED, Australia's ASX All Ordinaries: -0.9%.

  • In economic data:

  • Japan's April Overall Wage Income 1.0% yr/yr (expected 0.5%; last 1.3%) and Overtime Pay -0.3% yr/yr (expected 1.4%; last 1.2%). April Household Spending -1.3% m/m (expected 1.5%; last -0.8%); -4.4% yr/yr (expected 0.4%; last -1.9%)

  • Australia's Q1 Current Account surplus AUD12.30 bln (expected AUD6.50 bln; last AUD11.70 bln). April Building Permits -8.1% m/m, as expected (last -1.0%) and Private House Approvals -3.8% m/m, as expected (last -3.7%)

  • New Zealand's May ANZ Commodity Price Index 0.3% m/m (expected -0.2%; last-1.7%)


  • In news:

  • China Securities Journal speculated that the reserve requirement ratio and other interest rates will be cut in the second half of the year.

  • Property stocks in Hong Kong drew continued support from reports about impending support measures from China's government.

  • Japan's Finance Minister Suzuki said that there is a continued aim to reach a primary balance in FY25, adding that reaching the primary surplus target will not be easy.

  • The Reserve Bank of Australia raised its cash rate by 25 bps to 4.10% against expectations for no change.



  • Major European indices trade in the red. STOXX Europe 600: -0.1%, Germany's DAX: -0.2%, U.K.'s FTSE 100: -0.3%, France's CAC 40: -0.2%, Italy's FTSE MIB: -0.4%, Spain's IBEX 35: -0.4%.

  • In economic data:

  • Eurozone's April Retail Sales 0.0% m/m (expected 0.2%; last -0.4%); -2.6% yr/yr (expected -3.1%; last -3.3%)

  • Germany's April Factory Orders -0.4% m/m (expected -2.2%; last -10.9%)

  • U.K.'s May Construction PMI 51.6 (expected 51.0; last 51.1)

  • Spain's April Industrial Production -0.9% yr/yr (expected 1.7%; last 4.1%)


  • In news:

  • There is an ongoing expectation that the European Central Bank will announce a 25-bps rate hike at this month's meeting.

  • ECB policymaker Knot said that second-round effects and pressures in wages are being seen and that services inflation is harder to bring down.

  • Italy's Stats agency raised its domestic growth forecast for 2023 to 1.2% from 0.4% while the 2024 forecast was set at 1.1%.



U.S. equity futures:

  • S&P 500 Futures: -1 @ 4,273

  • DJIA Futures: -9 @ 33,554

  • Nasdaq 100 Futures: UNCH @ 14,556

Overseas:

  • Europe: DAX -0.2%, FTSE -0.3%, CAC -0.2%

  • Asia: Nikkei +0.9%, Hang Seng -0.1%, Shanghai Composite -1.2%

Commodities:

  • Crude Oil -1.58 @ 70.57

  • Nat Gas -0.035 @ 2.21

  • Gold +6.15 @ 1980.45

  • Silver +0.147 @ 23.782

  • Copper -0.0065 @ 3.7615


Earnings/Guidance:

  • ABM Industries ( ABM 1.59% ) beats by $0.04, reports revs in-line; reaffirms FY23 EPS guidance

  • Alkermes ( ALKS 1.27% ) announces final award in Janssen Pharmaceutica (JNJ) arbitration; raises FY23 guidance

  • BorgWarner ( BWA 0.37% ) provides long-term targets at Investor Day

  • British American Tobacco ( BTI 0.06% ) provides trading update; maintains FY23 guidance

  • Ciena ( CIEN 2.77% ) beats by $0.13, beats on revs

  • Core & Main ( CNM 1.38% ) beats by $0.03, misses on revs; guides FY23 revs in-line

  • Exelon ( EXC 0.12% ) reaffirms prior target of 6-8% operating EPS CAGR from 2021-2025

  • Fastenal ( FAST 0.58% ) reports May sales increased 10.2% yr/yr to $649.1 mln

  • Ferguson plc ( FERG 0.21% ) beats by $0.04, reports revs in-line; provides FY23 guidance

  • G-III Apparel ( GIII 0.49% ) beats by $0.23, beats on revs; guides Q2 EPS below consensus, revs above consensus; guides FY24 EPS above consensus, revs above consensus

  • GitLab ( GTLB 2.90% ) beats by $0.08, beats on revs; guides Q2 EPS above consensus, revs above consensus; guides FY24 EPS above consensus, revs above consensus

  • HealthEquity ( HQY 2.34% ) beats by $0.09, beats on revs; guides FY24 EPS and revs above consensus

  • Hello Group ( MOMO 1.92% ) beats by RMB0.58, beats on revs; guides Q2 revs above consensus

  • IDT Corp ( IDT 3.18% ) reports 3Q23 EPS of $0.46 compared to $0.22 in year-earlier period, consolidated revenue decreased 9% yr/yr to $299 mln

  • Iris Energy ( IREN 1.40% ) reports May metrics; Average operating capacity increased by 39% to 5.5 EH/s

  • J.M. Smucker ( SJM 1.70% ) beats by $0.23, beats on revs; guides FY24 EPS in-line, revs above consensus

  • Nevro ( NVRO 4.15% ) lowers Q2 revenue guidance; also names new Chief Commercial Officer

  • Old Dominion ( ODFL 3.32% ) provides Q2 operating metrics; revenue per day during May fell 15.7% yr/yr reflecting continued softness in the domestic economy

  • Philip Morris International ( PM 0.46% ) reaffirms FY23 EPS outlook at Deutsche Bank Global Consumer Conference

  • Potbelly ( PBPB 1.22% ) reports period 5 same store sales of +13.7% versus +15.1% in period 4; reports period 5 average unit volumes of $26,240 vs. $26,070 in period 4

  • Sprinklr ( CXM 0.36% ) beats by $0.05, beats on revs; guides JulQ EPS above consensus, revs in-line; guides FY24 EPS above consensus, revs in-line

  • STAAR Surgical ( STAA 1.59% ) reaffirms FY23 guidance in slide presentation

  • Thor Industries ( THO 0.74% ) beats by $1.16, beats on revs; guides FY23 EPS above consensus, revs in-line

  • United Micro ( UMC 0.12% ) reports May sales declined 23.14% yr/yr to NT$18.8 bln

  • Welltower ( WELL 1.63% ) raises FY23 guidance

News:

  • A critical dam and hydroelectric power plant in Ukraine have been destroyed, according to the New York Times

  • Reserve Bank of Australia decided to increase the cash rate target by 25 basis points to 4.10%

  • Half of large multinational corporations plan to cut office space, according to Financial Times

  • West Coast ports labor issues continue, according to CNBC

  • SAG-AFTRA members approve strike authorization with 97.91% "yes" vote

  • 3M ( MMM 0.85% ): Judge allows delay in 3M chemical trial, according to Reuters

  • Ascendis Pharma ( ASND 0.47% ) starts enrollment for Compassionate Use Program in Germany for TransCon PTH

  • Bit Digital ( BTBT 3.38% ) reports it produced 113.2 BTC in May

  • Brainstorm Cell Therapeutics ( BCLI 3.08% ) announces FDA Advisory Committee Meeting to review NurOwn Biologics License Application scheduled for September 27, 2023

  • Broadstone Net Lease ( BNL 0.43% ) provides business update; company invested $60.1 mln in four properties during Q2

  • Cboe Global Markets ( CBOE 2.00% ) Reports Trading Volume for May 2023

  • Cenovus Energy ( CVE 0.40% ) provides update on production impact of Alberta wildfires

  • Chemours ( CC 2.85% ) announced the resignation of CFO Sameer Ralhan effective June 19

  • Coherus ( CHRS 0.56% ) announces "positive" final overall survival results of JUPITER-02 phase 3 trial evaluating Toripalimab in Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma

  • Crescent Energy ( CRGY 1.94% ) to increase public float to 46% through conversion of class B private shares

  • Enovix ( ENVX 2.83% ) announces agreements with Elematec Corporation and Semicomtech to support pan-Asian shipping, distribution and market expansion

  • Erasca ( ERAS 8.82% ) Provides Update on Clinical Program for ERK Inhibitor ERAS-007 and Refines Pipeline

  • G-III Apparel ( GIII 0.49% ) and Xcel Brands (XELB) announce Halston master licensing partnership under new 25-year agreement

  • GlaxoSmithKline ( GSK 0.12% ) receives FDA file acceptance for Jemperli (dostarlimab) plus chemotherapy for the treatment of dMMR/MSI-H primary advanced or recurrent endometrial cancer

  • Grupo Aeroportuario del Pacifico ( PAC 0.30% ) reports April traffic increased 10.1% yr/yr

  • JP Morgan ( JPM 0.20% ) CEO Jamie Dimon will meet with Democrats to discuss economy and banking today, according to Bloomberg

  • LGI Homes ( LGIH 0.36% ) reports it closed 633 homes in May 2023

  • LiveWire Group ( LVWR 4.58% ) appoints Karim Donnez as CEO, effective Jun 12; succeeds CEO Jochen Zeitz who will remain as Chairman

  • Merck ( MRK 0.35% ) announced the FDA has approved a new indication for PREVYMIS for prevention of cytomegalovirus (CMV) disease in high-risk adult kidney transplant recipients

  • New Oriental Education & Technology ( EDU 1.18% ) extends share repurchase program

  • Precigen announces ( PGEN 5.95% ) "positive" phase 1 data for PRGN-3005 Autologous UltraCAR-T cells manufactured overnight for infusion next day to advanced stage platinum resistant ovarian cancer patients

  • Quotient ( QUOT 1.90% ) announces board refreshment plan

  • Raytheon Technologies ( RTX 0.26% ) awarded $2.02 bln U.S. Navy contract modification

  • RE/MAX Holdings ( RMAX 1.55% ) grows presence in South Pacific, sells master franchise rights in Republic of Fiji

  • Rivian Automotive ( RIVN 1.35% ) hiring Tesla (TSLA) cybertruck supply chain executive Mustapha El Akkari, according to The Information

  • Sapiens Int'l ( SPNS 0.83% ) announced that Penn National Insurance selected Sapiens ReinsurancePro solution as a part of its multiyear legacy modernization and automation initiative

  • Snap ( SNAP 0.50% ) hired a new SVP of engineering from Google, according to Reuters

  • Sundial Growers ( SNDL 2.41% ) appoints Alberto Paredero-Quiros as the company's new CFO

  • Teleflex ( TFX 0.63% ) announced that the Arrow EZ-IO Needle is the first and only Intraosseous needle to receive 510 clearance from the FDA for MR Conditional labeling

  • TeraWulf ( WULF 6.99% ) announces May 2023 production and operations updates

  • Tesla ( TSLA 4.07% ): Panasonic will boost battery output at its Gigafactory in Nevada, according to Nikkei

  • TScan Therapeutics ( TCRX 6.91% ) announces that the U.S. FDA has cleared its investigational new drug application for TSC-200-A0201, a TCR-T targeting human papillomavirus 16

  • TSMC ( TSM 2.86% ) executives expect better performance in the second half, according to Reuters

  • Ultragenyx ( RARE 0.40% ) and Mereo BioPharma Announce Positive Data from the Ongoing Phase 2/3 Orbit Study of Setrusumab (UX143) in Osteogenesis Imperfecta (OI)

  • Zentalis Pharma ( ZNTL 3.43% ) announced the monotherapy recommended Phase 2 dose for azenosertib, the Company's potentially first-in-class WEE1 inhibitor

  • Zura Bio ( ZURA 4.46% ) completes ~$80 mln financing with the focus on advancing ZB-106

M&A:

  • Bed Bath & Beyond ( BBBY 0.00% ) is in talks to sell Buybuy Baby to investment firm Go Global Retail; also fielding interest from Overstock.com (OSTK), according to the Wall Street Journal

  • Blue Ocean Acquisition Corp ( BOCN 0.09% ): TNL Mediagene to become publicly listed company on Nasdaq through merger with Blue Ocean Acquisition Corp

  • CBIZ ( CBZ 0.38% ) acquires information security consulting firm, Pivot Point Security, of Hamilton, NJ, effective June 1, 2023; financial terms were not disclosed

  • enCore Energy Corp. ( EU 1.15% ) enters definitive agreement for the sale of the Marquez-Juan Tafoya Uranium Project

  • Metals Acquisition Corp. ( MTAL 0.87% ) shareholders approve proposed business combination to acquire the CSA Mine and proposed merger with Metals Acquisition Limited

  • Ryman Hospitality ( RHP 0.46% ) to acquire JW Marriott San Antonio Hill Country Resort for $800 mln from Blackstone Real Estate Income Trust

  • Spectrum Brands ( SPB 1.27% ) receives clearance from Mexican compeition authority to sell its Hardware and Home Improvement (HHI) segment to ASSA ABLOY for $4.3 bln in cash; to close on or prior to June 30

Syndicate:

  • Astronics ( ATRO 0.54% ) files $150 mln mixed shelf securities offering

  • Atour Lifestyle Hldgs. Ltd. ( ATAT 2.20% ) prices secondary offering of 4.8 mln ADS by entities affiliated with Legend Capital; additional details not disclosed

  • Blue Bird ( BLBD 3.69% )announces launch of secondary public offering of 5 mln shares by affiliates of Coliseum Capital Management LLC and American Securities LLC

  • Cadre Holdings ( CDRE 0.35% ) prices secondary offering of 1.5 mln shares of common stock at $19.00 per share

  • Celestica ( CLS 1.32% ) prices secondary offering 12.0 mln subordinate voting shares at $12.40 per SVS

  • Corebridge Financial ( CRBG 1.36% ) files for 65,000,000 shares of common stock by selling shareholder

  • GE HealthCare ( GEHC 0.86% ) files for 25,000,000 shares of common stock by selling shareholder

  • Mobileye Global ( MBLY 0.07% ) files for 35,000,000 shares of common stock by selling shareholder Intel (INTC)

  • Reneo Pharmaceuticals ( RPHM 1.02% ) files for 625,000 shares of common stock by selling shareholders

  • Rollins ( ROL 0.75% ) files $1.5 bln mixed shelf securities offering; also files for 249,014,176 shares of common stock by selling shareholders

  • Ryman Hospitality ( RHP 0.46% ) files common stock offering

  • Skyward Specialty Insurance Group ( SKWD 1.06% ) files for 3,850,000 shares of common stock by selling shareholders

  • Twist Bioscience ( TWST 1.05% ) files mixed shelf securities offering

IPOs:

  • Expected to Price: No IPOs expected.

Gapping Up/Down

  • Gapping up:

  • ZURA +27.7%, GTLB +25.8%, CHRS +6.2%, BTBT +6.1%, HQY +6.1%, MOMO +5.7%, LVWR +5.5%, RARE +4.7%, BCLI +3.7%, CXM +3.5%, IDT +1.9%, UMC +1.8%, RMAX +1.5%, QUOT +1.3%, OCUL +1.1%, BTI +0.9%, SPB +0.8%, ATRO +0.7%


  • Gapping down:

  • CDRE -12.7%, NVRO -7%, BLBD -6.8%, MBLY -5.8%, CRBG -4.2%, CLS -4.1%, ATAT -3.3%, CRGY -2.4%, PGEN -2.2%, WULF -2.1%, SKWD -2%, GEHC -1.7%, RHP -1.2%, ODFL -1%, TSLA -0.8%, EXC -0.7%


Analyst Research (see Upgrades/Downgrades calendar for full list):

  • Upgrades

  • Community Bank (CBU) upgraded to Outperform from Mkt Perform at Raymond James; tgt $55

  • McCormick (MKC) upgraded to Buy from Underperform at BofA Securities; tgt raised to $100

  • Molson Coors Brewing (TAP) upgraded to Neutral from Underperform at BofA Securities; tgt raised to $68

  • Oscar Health (OSCR) upgraded to Neutral from Underperform at BofA Securities; tgt raised to $8.75

  • The Cigna Group (CI) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at BofA Securities; tgt $320

  • Vale S.A. (VALE) upgraded to Outperform from Sector Perform at RBC Capital Mkts; tgt raised to $15


  • Downgrades:

  • AMC Networks (AMCX) downgraded to Underweight from Equal-Weight at Morgan Stanley; tgt lowered to $12

  • Apple (AAPL) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at DA Davidson; tgt lowered to $185

  • NBT Bancorp (NBTB) downgraded to Outperform from Strong Buy at Raymond James; tgt lowered to $38


  • Others:

  • Agenus (AGEN) initiated with an Outperform at Robert W. Baird; tgt raised to $80

  • Turning Point Brands (TPB) initiated with a Buy at The Benchmark Company; tgt $28


Econ Data:

  • No economic data of note.

Earnings:

  • Monday (Jun 5)

  • Morning: SAIC

  • Afternoon: GTLB CXM


  • Tuesday (Jun 6)

  • Morning: ABM ASO CIEN CNM CBRL GIII MOMO SJM THO

  • Afternoon: CVGW CASY BASE PLAY SFIX YEXT


  • Wednesday (Jun 7)

  • Morning: BF.B CPB LOVE OLLI UNFI

  • Afternoon: GME GEF HCP OXM SMTC SMAR CURV TCOM VRNT


  • Thursday (Jun 8)

  • Morning: DBI FCEL REVG SIG TTC

  • Afternoon: BRZE DOCU AVO MTN


  • Friday (Jun 9)

  • Morning: NIO


Asia & Europe detail:

Asia: Nikkei +0.9%, Hang Seng -0.1%, Shanghai Composite -1.2%

Equity indices in the Asia-Pacific region ended Tuesday on a mostly lower note while markets in South Korea were closed for Memorial Day. China Securities Journal speculated that the reserve requirement ratio and other interest rates will be cut in the second half of the year. Property stocks in Hong Kong drew continued support from reports about impending support measures from China's government. Japan's Finance Minister Suzuki said that there is a continued aim to reach a primary balance in FY25, adding that reaching the primary surplus target will not be easy. The Reserve Bank of Australia raised its cash rate by 25 bps to 4.10% against expectations for no change.

  • In economic data:

  • Japan's April Overall Wage Income 1.0% yr/yr (expected 0.5%; last 1.3%) and Overtime Pay -0.3% yr/yr (expected 1.4%; last 1.2%). April Household Spending -1.3% m/m (expected 1.5%; last -0.8%); -4.4% yr/yr (expected 0.4%; last -1.9%)

  • Australia's Q1 Current Account surplus AUD12.30 bln (expected AUD6.50 bln; last AUD11.70 bln). April Building Permits -8.1% m/m, as expected (last -1.0%) and Private House Approvals -3.8% m/m, as expected (last -3.7%)

  • New Zealand's May ANZ Commodity Price Index 0.3% m/m (expected -0.2%; last-1.7%)


---Equity Markets---

  • Japan's Nikkei: +0.9%

  • Hong Kong's Hang Seng: -0.1%

  • China's Shanghai Composite: -1.2%

  • India's Sensex: UNCH

  • South Korea's Kospi: CLOSED

  • Australia's ASX All Ordinaries: -0.9%

---FX---

  • USD/JPY: -0.1% to 139.36

  • USD/CNH: +0.2% to 7.1326

  • USD/INR: +0.1% to 82.56

Europe: DAX -0.2%, FTSE -0.3%, CAC -0.2%

Major European indices trade in the red. There is an ongoing expectation that the European Central Bank will announce a 25-bps rate hike at this month's meeting. ECB policymaker Knot said that second-round effects and pressures in wages are being seen and that services inflation is harder to bring down. Italy's Stats agency raised its domestic growth forecast for 2023 to 1.2% from 0.4% while the 2024 forecast was set at 1.1%.

  • In economic data:

  • Eurozone's April Retail Sales 0.0% m/m (expected 0.2%; last -0.4%); -2.6% yr/yr (expected -3.1%; last -3.3%)

  • Germany's April Factory Orders -0.4% m/m (expected -2.2%; last -10.9%)

  • U.K.'s May Construction PMI 51.6 (expected 51.0; last 51.1)

  • Spain's April Industrial Production -0.9% yr/yr (expected 1.7%; last 4.1%)


---Equity Markets---

  • STOXX Europe 600: -0.1%

  • Germany's DAX: -0.2%

  • U.K.'s FTSE 100: -0.3%

  • France's CAC 40: -0.2%

  • Italy's FTSE MIB: -0.4%

  • Spain's IBEX 35: -0.4%

---FX---

  • EUR/USD: -0.2% to 1.0693

  • GBP/USD: -0.1% to 1.2417

  • USD/CHF: +0.3% to 0.9075


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