top of page
Search

05/12/22 Briefing


The S&P 500 futures are down 21 points and are trading 0.5% below fair value. The Nasdaq 100 futures are down 54 points and are trading 0.4% below fair value. The Dow Jones Industrial Average futures are down 153 points and are trading 0.5% below fair value.

Equity futures are weaker this morning with expectations for some consolidation after a big run in a short amount of time playing a role. The S&P 500 is still holding above its 200-day moving average (4,045), which is a key support level.

Hong Kong's Hang Seng rose 4.5% following reports of Chinese cities easing up on some COVID restrictions.

OPEC+ said it will maintain its current production target and EU officials agreed to a $60.00/bbl price cap on Russian oil. Also, EU sanctions on seaborne Russian oil go into effect today.

Treasury yields are modestly higher and the U.S. Dollar Index is modestly lower. The 2-yr note yield is up one basis point to 4.31% and the 10-yr note yield is up one basis point to 3.52%. The U.S. Dollar Index is down 0.2% to 104.33.

Market participants will receive the November ISM Non-Manufacturing Index (Briefing.com consensus 53.5%; prior 54.4%) at 10:00 a.m. ET. Other economic data out today includes: the final IHS Markit Services PMI for November (prior 46.1) at 9:45 a.m. ET and October Factory Orders (Briefing.com consensus 0.7%; prior 0.3%) at 10:00 a.m. ET.

In corporate news:

  • MGM Resorts (MGM 38.06, +0.98, +2.6%): upgraded to Buy from Hold at Truist

  • Starbucks (SBUX 103.32, -1.73, -1.7%): downgraded to Hold from Buy at Deutsche Bank

  • United Airlines (UAL 44.29, +0.40, +0.9%): upgraded to Overweight from Equal Weight at Morgan Stanley

  • Tesla (TSLA 185.89, -8.97, -4.6%): will have 20% lower Model Y output at Shanghai plant in December, according to Reuters

  • Live Nation (LYV 73.05, -0.87, -1.2%) : Taylor Swift fans file lawsuit against Ticket Master for presale ticket issues, according to Verge

  • Delta (DAL 35.74, +0.03, +0.1%): reaches tentative agreement with pilots union, according to CNBC

Reviewing overnight developments:

  • Equity indices in the Asia-Pacific region began the week on a mostly higher note with Hong Kong's Hang Seng (+4.5%) setting the pace. Japan's Nikkei: +0.2%, Hong Kong's Hang Seng: +4.5%, China's Shanghai Composite: +1.8%, India's Sensex: -0.1%, South Korea's Kospi: -0.6%, Australia's ASX All Ordinaries: +0.3%.

  • In economic data:

  • China's November Caixin Services PMI 46.7 (expected 48.0; last 48.4)

  • Japan's November Services PMI 50.3 (expected 50.0; last 50.0)

  • India's November Nikkei Services PMI 56.4 (expected 55.4; last 55.1)

  • Singapore's October Retail Sales 0.1% m/m (last 3.2%); 10.4% yr/yr (last 11.3%)

  • Hong Kong's November Manufacturing PMI 48.7 (last 49.3)

  • Australia's November Services PMI 47.6 (expected 47.2; last 49.3) and AIG Construction Index 48.2 (last 43.3). Q3 Company Gross Operating Profits -12.4% qtr/qtr (expected 0.3%; last 7.8%). Q3 Business Inventories 1.7% qtr/qtr (last 0.5%)


  • In news:

  • Investor sentiment was boosted by reports of more loosening of coronavirus restrictions in China.

  • Foxconn reportedly expects full production to resume in late December or early January.

  • The most recent reserve requirement ratio cut from the PBoC took effect today. South Korea expects that its exports for 2022 will exceed $680 bln, representing a new record.



  • Major European indices trade in mixed fashion. STOXX Europe 600: -0.1%, Germany's DAX: -0.6%, U.K.'s FTSE 100: +0.2%, France's CAC 40: -0.6%, Italy's FTSE MIB: UNCH, Spain's IBEX 35: UNCH.

  • In economic data:

  • Eurozone's October Retail Sales -1.8% m/m (expected -1.7%; last 0.8%); -2.7% yr/yr (expected -2.6%; last -0.6%). November Services PMI 48.5 (expected 48.6; last 48.6). December Sentix Investor Confidence -21.0 (expected -27.6; last -30.9)

  • U.K.'s November Services PMI 48.8, as expected (last 48.8)

  • Germany's November Services PMI 46.1 (expected 46.4; last 46.5)

  • France's November Services PMI 49.3 (expected 49.4; last 51.7)

  • Italy's November Services PMI 49.5 (expected 48.3; last 46.4)

  • Spain's November Services PMI 51.2 (expected 50.5; last 49.7)


  • In news:

  • November Services PMI readings from major European economies remained in contractionary territory while Spain's Services PMI returned into expansion, rising to 51.2 from 49.7.

  • European Central Bank policymaker Makhlouf said that the ECB should announce at least a 50-bps rate hike at the conclusion of the December meeting.

  • ECB policymaker Centeno said that the inflation peak could be reached in Q4 while France's Finance Minister Le Maire said that reaching the inflationary peak could take "some months."

  • S&P affirmed France's AA rating but lowered the outlook to Negative from Stable. Meanwhile, Moody's affirmed France's AA rating and maintained a Stable outlook.

  • Fitch affirmed Spain's A rating with a Stable outlook.



U.S. equity futures:

  • S&P 500 Futures: -20 @ 4,051

  • DJIA Futures: -159 @ 34,271

  • Nasdaq 100 Futures: -55 @ 11,940

Overseas:

  • Europe: DAX -0.6%, FTSE +0.2%, CAC -0.6%

  • Asia: Nikkei +0.2%, Hang Seng +4.5%, Shanghai Composite +1.8%

Commodities:

  • Crude Oil +2.12 @ 82.10

  • Nat Gas -0.408 @ 5.873

  • Gold -0.35 @ 1809.25

  • Silver +0.003 @ 23.253

  • Copper +0.013 @ 3.8635

Earnings/Guidance:

  • ArcBest ( ARCB 0.12% ) reports prelim November 2022 consolidated revenues decreased approximately 2% on a per day basis compared to November 2021

  • Grindr ( GRND 8.03% ) reports Q3 results; revs rise 32% yr/yr

  • Old Dominion Freight Line ( ODFL 0.00% ) Provides Update for Fourth Quarter 2022

  • Science Applications ( SAIC 0.36% ) beats by $0.17, beats on revs; guides FY23 EPS in-line, revs above consensus

News:

  • Russia says it will not comply with EU/G7 oil price cap for Russian oil, according to the New York Times

  • EU agrees on $60/barrel level of price cap

  • OPEC+ reaffirms existing oil output policy

  • Shanghai and Hangzhou ease coronavirus restrictions, according to Bloomberg

  • EU sanctions on seaborne Russian oil go into effect today

  • House Minority Leader Kevin McCarthy (R-CA) is working out deal with White House to remove military coronavirus vaccine mandate in order to pass defense authorization bill, according to the Washington Post

  • Sam Bankman-Fried says he cannot account for money that was sent to Alameda Research, according to the Wall Street Journal

  • Allegion ( ALLE 0.40% ) has elected Kirk S. Hachigian as its next chairman, effective Jan. 1, 2023

  • Alphabet ( GOOG 0.00% ): New Zealand wants Google and Meta (META) to pay for news, according to Reuters

  • American Axle ( AXL 0.58% ) promotes Michael Lynch to COO, he previously was President of the co's Driveline Business Unit

  • Apple ( AAPL 0.00% ) making plans to start shifting production out of China and to India or Vietnam, according to the Wall Street Journal

  • Athira Pharma ( ATHA 3.14% ) presents data highlighting the potential therapeutic benefits of ATH-1105 in a preclinical mouse model of amyotrophic lateral sclerosis

  • Aurora Cannabis ( ACB 6.06% ) repurchases ~$103 million principal amount of convertible notes

  • Axsome Therapeutics ( AXSM 6.85% ) files mixed securities shelf offering

  • Biogen ( BIIB 0.98% ) receives EMA acceptance of Tofersen Marketing Authorization Application

  • CalAmp ( CAMP 1.96% ) appoints Jikun Kim as CFO, effective January 9, 2023

  • Century Casinos ( CNTY 2.24% ) Provides Updates on Projects in Caruthersville, Missouri

  • Copart ( CPRT 0.77% ) appoints Leah Stearns as CFO

  • Credit Suisse ( CS 9.39% ): Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman could invest $500 mln into Credit Suisse, according to the Wall Street Journal

  • CVS ( CVS 0.91% ) testing remote prescription filling system, according to the Wall Street Journal

  • Delta ( DAL 0.93% ) offers pilots pay increases, according to Reuters

  • Denali Therapeutics ( DNLI 4.58% ) announces DNL343 interim phase 1b Data in ALS and entry into the HEALEY ALS platform trial

  • Duke Energy ( DUK 0.79% ) responding to outages in Moore County; Vandalism on Saturday night disabled equipment at two substations About 45,000 customers are without power

  • Embraer SA ( ERJ 0.09% ): Airline Binter purchases five E195-E2 aircraft, according to Aviation24.be

  • Establishment Labs ( ESTA 5.08% ) names Paul Rodio as COO

  • Fortuna ( FSM 2.09% ) increases Sunbird Resource and identifies new regional prospects at Sgula, Cte dIvoire

  • Foxconn ( HNHPF ) expects plant impacted by coronavirus to return to full output late this year, according to Reuters

  • HilleVax ( HLVX 5.13% ) announces positive immunogenicity results for run-in cohort of NEST-IN1 phase 2b clinical trial of HIL-214 norovirus vaccine candidate

  • IDEAYA Biosciences ( IDYA 1.18% ) receives Fast Track Designation for Darovasertib combination therapy with Crizotinib

  • Ionis Pharma ( IONS 0.30% ): EMA accepts marketing authorization application for review of tofersen

  • Lilium GmbH ( LILM 5.00% ) expands into UK market with eVolare, signs binding contract including pre-delivery payment for up to 20 aircraft

  • Live Nation ( LYV 0.50% ): Taylor Swift fans file lawsuit against Ticket Master for presale ticket issues, according to Verge

  • MarketAxess ( MKTX 2.89% ) announces monthly volume statistics for November 2022

  • MaxCyte ( MXCT 1.46% ) signs strategic platform license with Curamys to enable cell & gene therapies for the treatment of rare intractable diseases

  • New Found ( NFGC 5.45% ) Reports Several High-grade Intercepts From Keats North Including 117 g/t Au Over 2.00m, 36.5 g/t Au Over 2.15m & 20.8 g/t Au Over 2.00m

  • Nkarta ( NKTX 2.63% ) announces updated clinical data on Anti-CD19 allogeneic CAR-NK cell therapy NKX019 for patients with relapsed or refractory non-hodgkin lymphoma

  • Novartis AG's ( NVS 0.19% ) Pluvicto shows statistically significant and clinically meaningful radiographic progression-free survival benefit in patients with PSMA

  • Patterson-UTI ( PTEN 0.00% ) reports drilling activity for November 2022

  • Pfizer ( PFE 0.00% ) and BioNTech (BNTX) submit application to U.S. FDA for emergency use authorization of Omicron BA.4/BA.5-adapted bivalent COVID-19 vaccine in children under 5 years

  • PNM Resources ( PNM 0.37% ) increases its annual dividend 5.8% to $1.47/share

  • PotlatchDeltic ( PCH 0.34% ) declares $0.95 special dividend and increases quarterly dividend 2.3% to $0.45 from $0.44/share

  • Rush Enterprises ( RUSHA 0.38% ) authorizes a new stock repurchase program up to an aggregate of $150 mln

  • Sigma Lithium ( SGML 2.07% ) achieves project expansion and financing milestones; secures $100 million debt financing

  • Sorrento Therapeutics ( SRNE 0.00% ) provides update on arbitration before the American Arbitration Association against NantCell and Immunotherapy NANTibod

  • Syndax Pharmaceuticals ( SNDX 0.16% ) and Incyte Announce Axatilimab Phase 1/2 Data in Patients with Chronic Graft-Versus-Host Disease Published in the Journal of Clinical Oncology

  • Syndax Pharmaceuticals ( SNDX 0.16% ) announces that the U.S. Food and Drug Administration has granted Breakthrough Therapy Designation for revumenib for the treatment of adult and pediatric patients with relapsed or refractory acute leukemia harboring a KMT2A rearrangement

  • Tesla ( TSLA 0.08% ) will have 20% lower Model Y output at Shanghai plant in December, according to Reuters

  • TherapeuticsMD ( TXMD 1.83% ) agrees to license its products to Mayne Pharma

  • TPI Composites ( TPIC 5.98% ) discloses it committed to a restructuring plan in order to rebalance the organization and optimize its global manufacturing footprint

  • Tradeweb Markets ( TW 0.83% ) reports total November 2022 trading volume of $23.2 trillion and average daily volume of $1.13 trillion; announces $300 million share repurchase program

  • Universal Display ( OLED 0.18% ) announces the signing of long-term OLED material supply and license agreements with Samsung Display Co.

  • Vale S.A. ( VALE 0.48% ) issues update on contribution claim

  • Verve Therapeutics ( VERV 0.00% ) received a clinical hold letter from the FDA that outlined the information required to resolve the clinical hold, including additional preclinical data

  • Vodafone PLC ( VOD 0.27% ) CEO steps down; appoints Margherita Della Valle as interim CEO

  • WeWork ( WE 2.47% ): Vikas Parekh of SoftBank Investment Advisers appointed to Board of Directors

M&A:

  • Credit Suisse ( CS 9.39% ): Bob Diamond considering bid to support Credit Suisse unit, according to Sunday Times UK

  • Dine Brands ( DIN 1.80% ) to acquire Fuzzy's Taco Shop from Experiential Brands, a wholly owned subsidiary of NRD Holding Company, for $80 mln in cash

  • Horizon Pharma ( HZNP 0.00% ): Janssen Global Services (JNJ) announces it has no intention to bid for HZNP

  • Microsoft ( MSFT 0.00% ) ready to battle antitrust agencies to acquire Activision (ATVI), according to Bloomberg

  • XPO Logistics ( XPO 0.00% ) no longer expects to divest its European business in the near term

Syndicate:

  • Compass Therapeutics ( CMPX 0.00% ) files for 25,000,000 share common stock offering by selling shareholders

  • Marriott Vacations ( VAC 1.14% ) to offer $500 mln convertible senior notes due 2027 in a private offering

IPOs:

  • Expect to Price:

  • No IPOs expected.


Gapping Up/Down

  • Gapping up:

  • SGML +7.1%, ALGM +5.7%, TXMD +5.2%, XPO +4.9%, CUBE +4.2%, WE +3.8%, NUVA +3.1%, CS +3%, SMTC +2.8%, PCH +1.2%, NVS +1.1%, VALE +0.8%, AES +0.7%


  • Gapping down:

  • CMPX -3.8%, LAAA -1.7%, SPY -0.3%, IWM -0.3%, QQQ -0.3%, DIA -0.3%



Analyst Research (see Upgrades/Downgrades calendar for full list):

  • Upgrades

  • Comcast (CMCSA) upgraded to Equal Weight from Underweight at Wells Fargo; tgt raised to $38


  • Downgrades:

  • Allegiant Travel (ALGT) downgraded to Equal-Weight from Overweight at Morgan Stanley; tgt lowered to $115


  • Others:

  • Ameris Bancorp (ABCB) resumed with an Overweight at Piper Sandler; tgt $62

  • Atlantic Union Bankshares (AUB) resumed with an Overweight at Piper Sandler; tgt $42

  • Carter Bank & Trust (CARE) resumed with a Neutral at Piper Sandler; tgt $19

  • Community Financial (TCFC) resumed with an Overweight at Piper Sandler; tgt $53

  • Eagle Bancorp (EGBN) resumed with a Neutral at Piper Sandler; tgt $50

  • First Comm Banc (FCBC) resumed with an Underweight at Piper Sandler; tgt $37

  • FVCBankcorp (FVCB) resumed with an Overweight at Piper Sandler; tgt $22

  • Sandy Spring Banc (SASR) resumed with a Neutral at Piper Sandler; tgt $39

  • Shore Bancshares (SHBI) resumed with an Overweight at Piper Sandler; tgt $22

  • Southern First Bancshares (SFST) initiated with a Neutral at Piper Sandler; tgt $51

  • United Bankshares (UBSI) resumed with a Neutral at Piper Sandler; tgt $45


Upcoming Events:

  • Econ Data:

  • 09:45 ET: IHS Markit Services PMI - Final for Nov (Briefing.com Consensus NA; Prior 46.1)

  • 10:00 ET: Factory Orders for Oct (Briefing.com Consensus 0.7%; Prior 0.3%)

  • 10:00 ET: ISM Non-Manufacturing Index for Nov (Briefing.com Consensus 53.5%; Prior 54.4%)


  • Earnings:

  • Monday (Dec 5)

  • Morning: SAIC

  • Afternoon: GTLB SUMO


  • Tuesday (Dec 6)

  • Morning: AZO CONN BASE SIG

  • Afternoon: AVAV CASY PLAY GWRE MDB S SWBI CXM SFIX TOL ZUO


  • Wednesday (Dec 7)

  • Morning: ASO BF.B CPB LOVE OLLI THO UNFI

  • Afternoon: AI DSGX GME GEF HCP OXM SPWH VRNT


  • Thursday (Dec 8)

  • Morning: CIEN GMS MOMO KFY MANU

  • Afternoon: AVGO CHWY COO COST DOCU DOMO LULU PHR RH CURV MTN


  • Friday (Dec 9)

  • Morning: LI



Asia & Europe detail:

Asia: Nikkei +0.2%, Hang Seng +4.5%, Shanghai Composite +1.8%

Equity indices in the Asia-Pacific region began the week on a mostly higher note with Hong Kong's Hang Seng (+4.5%) setting the pace. Investor sentiment was boosted by reports of more loosening of coronavirus restrictions in China. Foxconn reportedly expects full production to resume in late December or early January. The most recent reserve requirement ratio cut from the PBoC took effect today. South Korea expects that its exports for 2022 will exceed $680 bln, representing a new record.

  • In economic data:

  • China's November Caixin Services PMI 46.7 (expected 48.0; last 48.4)

  • Japan's November Services PMI 50.3 (expected 50.0; last 50.0)

  • India's November Nikkei Services PMI 56.4 (expected 55.4; last 55.1)

  • Singapore's October Retail Sales 0.1% m/m (last 3.2%); 10.4% yr/yr (last 11.3%)

  • Hong Kong's November Manufacturing PMI 48.7 (last 49.3)

  • Australia's November Services PMI 47.6 (expected 47.2; last 49.3) and AIG Construction Index 48.2 (last 43.3). Q3 Company Gross Operating Profits -12.4% qtr/qtr (expected 0.3%; last 7.8%). Q3 Business Inventories 1.7% qtr/qtr (last 0.5%)


---Equity Markets---

  • Japan's Nikkei: +0.2%

  • Hong Kong's Hang Seng: +4.5%

  • China's Shanghai Composite: +1.8%

  • India's Sensex: -0.1%

  • South Korea's Kospi: -0.6%

  • Australia's ASX All Ordinaries: +0.3%

---FX---

  • USD/JPY: +0.8% to 135.28

  • USD/CNH: -1.1% to 6.9410

  • USD/INR: +0.5% to 81.83

Europe: DAX -0.6%, FTSE +0.2%, CAC -0.6%

Major European indices trade in mixed fashion. November Services PMI readings from major European economies remained in contractionary territory while Spain's Services PMI returned into expansion, rising to 51.2 from 49.7. European Central Bank policymaker Makhlouf said that the ECB should announce at least a 50-bps rate hike at the conclusion of the December meeting. ECB policymaker Centeno said that the inflation peak could be reached in Q4 while France's Finance Minister Le Maire said that reaching the inflationary peak could take "some months." S&P affirmed France's AA rating but lowered the outlook to Negative from Stable. Meanwhile, Moody's affirmed France's AA rating and maintained a Stable outlook. Fitch affirmed Spain's A rating with a Stable outlook.

  • In economic data:

  • Eurozone's October Retail Sales -1.8% m/m (expected -1.7%; last 0.8%); -2.7% yr/yr (expected -2.6%; last -0.6%). November Services PMI 48.5 (expected 48.6; last 48.6). December Sentix Investor Confidence -21.0 (expected -27.6; last -30.9)

  • U.K.'s November Services PMI 48.8, as expected (last 48.8)

  • Germany's November Services PMI 46.1 (expected 46.4; last 46.5)

  • France's November Services PMI 49.3 (expected 49.4; last 51.7)

  • Italy's November Services PMI 49.5 (expected 48.3; last 46.4)

  • Spain's November Services PMI 51.2 (expected 50.5; last 49.7)


---Equity Markets---

  • STOXX Europe 600: -0.1%

  • Germany's DAX: -0.6%

  • U.K.'s FTSE 100: +0.2%

  • France's CAC 40: -0.6%

  • Italy's FTSE MIB: UNCH

  • Spain's IBEX 35: UNCH

---FX---

  • EUR/USD: +0.3% to 1.0563

  • GBP/USD: UNCH at 1.2284

  • USD/CHF: -0.1% to 0.9353

0 views0 comments

Recent Posts

See All
bottom of page