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03/05/23 Briefing

The S&P 500 futures are up 7 points and are trading 0.2% above fair value. The Nasdaq 100 futures are up 32 points and are trading 0.2% above fair value. The Dow Jones Industrial Average futures are up 35 points and are trading 0.1% above fair value.

Stock futures are slightly positive ahead of the FOMC policy decision today at 2:00 p.m. ET followed by Fed Chair Powell's press conference at 2:30 a.m. ET. There is perhaps a glint of hope in the market that the Fed might pause today rather than raise rates given what happened yesterday with regional bank stocks or that any rate hike today will be the last in the cycle.

PacWest (PACW) and Western Alliance (WAL), some of yesterday's biggest losers, have been volatile this morning. They have bounced back from larger losses seen earlier in premarket trading, which has helped calm things down a bit. Price action in the regional bank space will continue to be in focus for market participants.

Market participants are also awaiting a slate of economic data today, including:

  • 8:15 ET: April ADP Employment Change (Briefing.com consensus 142,000; prior 145,000)

  • 9:45 ET: Final April IHS Markit Services PMI (prior 53.7)

  • 10:00 ET: April ISM Non-Manufacturing Index (Briefing.com consensus 51.9%; prior 51.2%)

  • 10:30 ET: Weekly crude oil inventories (prior -5.05 mln)

Earlier, the MBA Mortgage Applications Index reflected a 1.2% decline with purchase applications falling 2.0% while refinance applications increased 1.0%.

Most Treasury yields are moving lower. The 2-yr note yield is down two basis points to 3.97% and the 10-yr note yield is down three basis points to 3.40%.

Oil prices remain under pressure, slipping below $70.00/bbl, down 2.9% to $69.58/bbl.

In corporate news:

  • Advanced Micro (AMD 83.39, -6.52, -7.3%): beats by $0.04, reports revs in-line; issues tepid Q2 guidance

  • Starbucks (SBUX 108.50, -5.96, -5.2%): beats by $0.09, beats on revs; global comps +11%; US comps +12%

  • Ford Motor (F 11.68, -0.12, -1.0%): beats by $0.19, beats on revs; reaffirms FY23 guidance

  • Clorox (CLX 167.60, -0.12, -0.1%): beats by $0.29, beats on revs; guides FY23 EPS above consensus, revs above consensus

  • Eli Lilly's (LLY 425.35, +21.35, +5.5%): donanemab significantly slowed cognitive and functional decline in Phase 3 study of early Alzheimer's Disease

  • CVS Health (CVS 71.40, -1.36, -1.9%): beats by $0.11, beats on revs; lowers FY23 EPS below consensus

  • Estee Lauder (EL 216.00, -29.22, -11.9%): misses by $0.04, beats on revs; guides FY23 EPS below consensus, revs below consensus

  • Kraft Heinz (KHC 40.60, +1.12, +2.9%): beats by $0.08, beats on revs; raises FY23 EPS above consensus

Reviewing overnight developments:

  • Equity indices in the Asia-Pacific region ended Wednesday on a lower note while markets in China and Japan were closed for holidays. Japan's Nikkei: CLOSED, Hong Kong's Hang Seng: -1.2%, China's Shanghai Composite: CLOSED, India's Sensex: -0.3%, South Korea's Kospi: -0.9%, Australia's ASX All Ordinaries: -1.0%.

    • In economic data:

      • India's April Nikkei Services PMI 62.0 (expected 57.0; last 57.8)

      • Australia's March Retail Sales 0.4% m/m (expected 0.3%; last 0.2%). April Services PMI 53.7 (expected 52.6; last 48.6) and April AIG Manufacturing Index -20.2 (last 5.6)

      • New Zealand's Q1 Employment Change 0.8% qtr/qtr (expected 0.4%; last 0.2%), Q1 Unemployment Rate 3.4% (expected 3.5%; last 3.4%), and Q1 Participation Rate 72.0% (expected 71.7%; last 71.7%). Q1 Labor Cost Index 0.9% qtr/qtr (expected 1.0%; last 1.1%); 4.5% yr/yr (expected 4.6%; last 4.3%)


  • In news:

    • Markets in China will reopen tomorrow while Japan will be closed through the end of the week.

    • South Korea's Finance Minister Choo acknowledged that aggressive tightening is increasing volatility in financial markets while Bank of Korea Governor Rhee said that it is too early to talk about a policy pivot.

    • Reserve Bank of New Zealand Deputy Governor Hawkesby said that the Kiwi labor market remains strong after the release of solid Q1 employment figures.

    • Bank Negara Malaysia raised its policy rate by 25 bps to 3.00% against expectations for no change.



  • Major European indices trade on a mostly higher note while Spain's IBEX (-0.2%) underperforms. STOXX Europe 600: +0.4%, Germany's DAX: +0.8%, U.K.'s FTSE 100: +0.3%, France's CAC 40: +0.7%, Italy's FTSE MIB: +1.3%, Spain's IBEX 35: -0.2%.

    • In economic data:

      • Eurozone's March Unemployment Rate 6.5% (expected 6.6%; last 6.6%)

      • France's March government budget deficit EUR54.70 bln (last deficit of EUR50.30 bln)

      • Italy's March Unemployment Rate 7.8% (expected 8.0%; last 7.9%)


  • In news:

    • Unicredit and BNP Paribas reported better than expected quarterly results while Lufthansa affirmed its outlook for the year.

    • Automaker Stellantis reported 14% growth in Q1 revenue.

    • French Finance Minister Le Maire said that the French economy remains resilient despite ongoing protest.



U.S. equity futures:

  • S&P 500 Futures: +8 @ 4,128

  • DJIA Futures: +35 @ 33,719

  • Nasdaq 100 Futures: +27 @ 13,141

Overseas:

  • Europe: DAX +0.8%, FTSE +0.3%, CAC +0.7%

  • Asia: Nikkei CLOSED, Hang Seng -1.2%, Shanghai Composite CLOSED

Commodities:

  • Crude Oil -2.09 @ 69.57

  • Nat Gas -0.020 @ 2.194

  • Gold +0.75 @ 2024.25

  • Silver -0.081 @ 25.538

  • Copper -0.0017 @ 3.8608


Earnings/Guidance:

  • Adient ( ADNT ) misses by $0.11, beats on revs; reaffirms FY23 revs in-line

  • Adtalem Global Education ( ATGE ) beats by $0.22, beats on revs; guides Q4 EPS below consensus, revs in-line

  • Advanced Micro ( AMD ) beats by $0.04, reports revs in-line; guides Q2 revs in-line

  • Allete ( ALE ) misses by $0.17, beats on revs; reaffirms FY14 EPS guidance

  • Amcor ( AMCR ) reports Q3 EPS of $0.17 vs $0.20 last year; revs +1.1% yr/yr to $3.67 bln

  • American Fincl ( AFG ) misses by $0.02, misses on revs; reiterates FY23 EPS in-line

  • Andersons ( ANDE ) beats by $0.02, misses on revs

  • Archrock ( AROC ) misses by $0.01, beats on revs

  • Arrowhead ( ARWR ) reports Q2 (Mar) results; provided business update

  • Artisan Partners Asset Mgmt ( APAM ) beats by $0.02, reports revs in-line

  • Ashland ( ASH ) misses by $0.11, misses on revs; guides FY23 revs below consensus

  • Assurant ( AIZ ) beats by $1.17, beats on revs

  • Astec Industries ( ASTE ) beats by $0.38, beats on revs

  • AtriCure ( ATRC ) beats by $0.12, beats on revs; guides FY23 EPS in-line, revs above consensus

  • Avanos Medical ( AVNS ) misses by $0.01, misses on revs; reaffirms FY23 EPS guidance

  • AvidXchange ( AVDX ) reports Q1 (Mar) results, beats on revs; raises FY23 revs mostly above consensus

  • Avient ( AVNT ) beats by $0.08, reports revs in-line; guides Q2 EPS above consensus, revs below consensus; reaffirms FY23 EPS guidance

  • Avista ( AVA ) misses by $0.43, misses on revs; reaffirms FY23 EPS guidance

  • Axalta Coating Systems ( AXTA ) beats by $0.04, beats on revs; guides Q2 EPS in-line, revs above consensus

  • Bandwidth ( BAND ) beats by $0.04, beats on revs; guides Q2 revs above consensus; reaffirms FY23 revs guidance

  • Barrick ( GOLD ) beats by $0.02, beats on revs

  • Bausch + Lomb ( BLCO ) misses by $0.04; beats on revs; sees FY23 revs above consensus

  • Belden ( BDC ) beats by $0.14, beats on revs; guides Q2 EPS in-line, revs above consensus; guides FY23 EPS above consensus, revs above consensus; co authorized additional $300 mln for repurchases

  • Berry Petroleum ( BRY ) misses by $0.07, beats on revs

  • BioCryst Pharma ( BCRX ) beats by $0.01, misses on revs

  • Bio-Techne ( TECH ) reports EPS in-line, misses on revs

  • Blackbaud ( BLKB ) beats by $0.01, reports revs in-line; raises FY23 EPS above consensus, revs above consensus

  • Braskem SA ( BAK ) reports Q1 operational updates

  • Bright Horizons ( BFAM ) beats by $0.10, beats on revs; reaffirms FY23 EPS guidance, revs guidance

  • Brinker ( EAT ) beats by $0.04, reports revs in-line

  • Brookfield Infrastructure ( BIP ) reports FFO in-line, beats on revs

  • Builders FirstSource ( BLDR ) beats by $1.40, beats on revs; guides Q2 revs below consensus

  • Bunge ( BG ) beats by $0.02, reports revs in-line; guides FY23 EPS below consensus

  • Caesars Entertainment ( CZR ) reports Q1 (Mar) results, beats on revs

  • Camping World ( CWH ) beats by $0.17, reports revs in-line

  • CCC Intelligent Solutions ( CCCS ) reports EPS in-line, revs in-line; guides Q2 revs in-line; guides FY23 revs in-line

  • CDW ( CDW ) reports EPS in-line, misses on revs

  • Cerevel Therapeutics ( CERE ) misses by $0.01; appoints Ron Renaud as president and CEO and member of the company's board of directors, effective June 12, 2023

  • Chefs' Warehouse ( CHEF ) beats by $0.01, beats on revs; guides FY23 revs above consensus

  • Chesapeake Energy ( CHK ) beats by $0.21

  • Clean Harbors ( CLH ) beats by $0.17, beats on revs

  • Clorox ( CLX ) beats by $0.29, beats on revs; guides FY23 EPS above consensus, revs above consensus

  • Comstock ( CRK ) misses by $0.01, beats on revs

  • Conduent ( CNDT ) misses by $0.04 (single est), misses on revs (single est); reaffirms FY23 revs guidance (single est)

  • Criteo ( CRTO ) beats by $0.22, beats on revs

  • CVS Health ( CVS ) beats by $0.11, beats on revs; lowers FY23 EPS below consensus

  • Deciphera Pharmaceuticals ( DCPH ) reports EPS in-line, misses on revs

  • Denny's ( DENN ) reports EPS in-line, beats on revs, comps of +8.4%; reiterates FY23 comp outlook

  • Dentsply Sirona ( XRAY ) beats by $0.05, beats on revs; guides FY23 EPS in-line, revs in-line

  • Dine Brands ( DIN ) beats by $0.27, beats on revs

  • Donnelley Financial ( DFIN ) beats by $0.09, beats on revs

  • Douglas Emmett ( DEI ) misses by $0.01, reports revs in-line; guides FY23 FFO in-line

  • Driven Brands ( DRVN ) beats by $0.02, reports revs in-line; reaffirms FY23 EPS guidance, revs guidance

  • Edison ( EIX ) beats by $0.11, reports revs in-line; reaffirms FY23 EPS guidance

  • Emerson ( EMR ) beats by $0.10, beats on revs; guides FY23 EPS above consensus

  • Energy Transfer ( ET ) beats by $0.01, misses on revs

  • EnLink Midstream ( ENLC ) reports Q1 results, delivers EPS in-line with consensus

  • Estee Lauder ( EL ) misses by $0.04, beats on revs; guides FY23 EPS below consensus, revs below consensus

  • Euronet ( EEFT ) beats by $0.02, beats on revs; guides Q2 EPS below consensus

  • Exelon ( EXC ) beats by $0.04, reports revs in-line; reaffirms FY23 EPS guidance

  • eXp World Holdings ( EXPI ) beats by $0.06, misses on revs

  • Extra Space Storage ( EXR ) misses by $0.05, beats on revs; guides FY23 FFO in-line

  • Ford Motor ( F ) beats by $0.19, beats on revs; reaffirms FY23 guidance

  • Fortis ( FTS ) beats by $0.30

  • Franco-Nevada ( FNV ) misses by $0.03, misses on revs

  • Fresh Del Monte ( FDP ) misses by $0.05, misses on revs

  • Freshworks ( FRSH ) beats by $0.05, beats on revs; guides Q2 EPS above consensus, revs in-line; guides FY23 EPS above consensus, revs in-line

  • Garmin ( GRMN ) beats by $0.01, beats on revs; reaffirms FY23 EPS guidance, revs guidance

  • Generac ( GNRC ) beats by $0.13, beats on revs; updates FY23 outlook

  • Gibraltar Industries ( ROCK ) beats by $0.15, misses on revs; reaffirms FY23 EPS guidance, revs guidance

  • Gogo ( GOGO ) beats by $0.01, misses on revs; reaffirms FY23 revs guidance

  • Grand Canyon Education ( LOPE ) beats by $0.04, reports revs in-line; guides Q2 EPS in-line, revs in-line; guides Q3 (Sep) EPS in-line, revs in-line; guides FY23 EPS in-line, revs in-line

  • Haleon plc ( HLN ) reports Q1 trading statement; revs above consensus

  • Hanesbrands ( HBI ) beats by $0.01, beats on revs; guides Q2 EPS below consensus, revs in-line; reaffirms FY23 EPS guidance, revs guidance

  • Hanover Insurance ( THG ) misses by $0.27, net premiums written increased 8.3%

  • Harsco ( HSC ) beats by $0.18, beats on revs; guides Q2 EPS in-line; guides FY23 EPS above consensus

  • Herbalife Nutrition ( HLF ) misses by $0.16, beats on revs

  • Horace Mann ( HMN ) beats by $0.09, misses on revs; reaffirms FY23 EPS guidance

  • Horizon Pharma ( HZNP ) misses by $0.37, misses on revs

  • Huron Consulting ( HURN ) beats by $0.21, beats on revs; reaffirms FY23 EPS, revs guidance

  • Ingredion ( INGR ) beats by $0.79, misses on revs; raises FY23 EPS above consensus

  • Inspire Medical Systems ( INSP ) beats by $0.17, beats on revs; raises FY23 revs outlook

  • Ionis Pharma () misses by $0.11, beats on revs; reaffirms FY23 revs guidance

  • Jack Henry ( JKHY ) beats by $0.02, beats on revs

  • Janus Henderson Group ( JHG ) beats by $0.08, reports revs in-line

  • Kadant ( KAI ) beats by $0.24, beats on revs; guides Q2 EPS in-line, revs above consensus; raises FY23 guidance

  • KAR Auction Services ( KAR ) beats by $0.03, beats on revs; reaffirms FY23 EPS guidance

  • Kraft Heinz ( KHC ) beats by $0.08, beats on revs; raises FY23 EPS above consensus

  • Lemaitre Vascular ( LMAT ) beats by $0.02, beats on revs; guides Q2 EPS in-line, revs above consensus; guides FY23 EPS in-line, revs above consensus

  • Littelfuse ( LFUS ) beats by $0.78, beats on revs; guides Q2 EPS, revs above consensus

  • LivaNova ( LIVN ) beats by $0.04, beats on revs; guides FY23 EPS in-line

  • Livent ( LTHM ) beats by $0.22, beats on revs; raises FY23 revenue and adjusted EBITDA guidance

  • Life Storage ( LSI ) beats by $0.01, beats on revs; guides Q2 FFO below consensus; reaffirms FY23 FFO guidance

  • Lincoln National ( LNC ) issues downside EPS guidance for Q1, also announces it entered into $28 bln reinsurance transaction with Fortitude Re

  • Lindblad Expeditions ( LIND ) reports Q1 (Mar) results, beats on revs; guides FY23 revs in-line

  • Lloyds Banking ( LYG ) reports Q1 results in-line; reaffirms outlook

  • Louisiana-Pacific ( LPX ) beats by $0.29, misses on revs

  • Lumen Technologies ( LUMN ) beats by $0.09, reports revs in-line; reaffirms FY23 adjusted EBITDA and free cash flow guidance

  • LXP Industrial Trust ( LXP ) reports FFO in-line, beats on revs; reaffirms FY23 FFO guidance

  • Malibu Boats ( MBUU ) beats by $0.25, beats on revs; guides FY23 revs above consensus

  • Manitowoc ( MTW ) beats by $0.31, beats on revs

  • MarketAxess ( MKTX ) reports April 2023 trading stats; $12.4 bln in total credit ADV, up +1.3%; emerging markets ADV -10.3% to $2.6 bln

  • Match Group ( MTCH ) misses by $0.14, reports revs in-line; guides Q2 revs below consensus

  • Materion ( MTRN ) beats by $0.06, misses on revs; raises FY23 EPS in-line

  • Mercury ( MRCY ) beats by $0.03, beats on revs; guides Q4 EPS below consensus, revs below consensus; lowers FY23 EPS below consensus, revs below consensus

  • MeridianLink ( MLNK ) misses by $0.03, beats on revs; guides Q2 revs in-line; guides FY23 revs in-line

  • MidCap Financial Investment Corporation ( MFIC ) beats by $0.02

  • Mister Car Wash ( MCW ) misses by $0.01, misses on revs; reaffirms FY23 EPS guidance, revs guidance

  • Murphy Oil ( MUR ) beats by $0.26, beats on revs

  • Murphy USA ( MUSA ) beats by $0.63, beats on revs

  • NerdWallet ( NRDS ) reports Q1 results; approved a share repurchase plan with $20 million authorization

  • NiSource ( NI ) beats by $0.02; reaffirms FY23 EPS in-line

  • NMI Hldgs ( NMIH ) beats by $0.06, misses on revs

  • Omega Health ( OHI ) beats by $0.04, beats on revs

  • Omnicell ( OMCL ) beats by $0.32, beats on revs; guides Q2 EPS below consensus, revs mostly below consensus; guides FY23 EPS in-line, revs in-line

  • ONEOK ( OKE ) beats by $0.05

  • OneSpaWorld ( OSW ) beats by $0.02; beats on revs; sees Q2 revs above consensus; raises FY23 outlook

  • Pacific Biosciences ( PACB ) beats by $0.02, beats on revs

  • Parsons ( PSN ) reports EPS in-line, beats on revs; raises FY23 revenue, adjusted EBITDA, cash flow guidance

  • Paycom Software ( PAYC ) beats by $0.10, beats on revs; guides Q2, FY23 revs above consensus

  • Penumbra ( PEN ) beats by $0.12, beats on revs; guides FY23 revs above consensus

  • Perion Network ( PERI ) beats by $0.10, beats on revs; guides FY23 revs in-line

  • Phillips 66 ( PSX ) beats by $0.65

  • Phillips Edison & Company ( PECO ) beats by $0.02, beats on revs; reaffirms FY23 FFO guidance

  • ProPetro ( PUMP ) misses by $0.23, beats on revs

  • PROS Holdings (PRO) beats by $0.05, beats on revs; guides Q2 EPS below consensus, revs in-line; raises FY23 revs guidance

  • Prudential ( PRU ) misses by $0.26

  • Pulmonx ( LUNG ) beats by $0.03, beats on revs; reaffirms FY23 revs guidance

  • Quad/Graphics ( QUAD ) reports Q1 (Mar) results; reaffirms guidance

  • Radware ( RDWR ) reports EPS in-line, misses on revs

  • RXO, Inc. ( RXO ) beats by $0.04, misses on revs

  • Sapiens Int'l ( SPNS ) reports EPS in-line, beats on revs; raises FY23 revenue and operating margin guidance

  • Sarepta Therapeutics ( SRPT ) misses by $0.14, beats on revs

  • Scotts Miracle-Gro ( SMG ) beats by $0.31, misses on revs; provides FY23 targets; benefits of easing commodity costs to not be seen until FY24

  • Simon Properties ( SPG ) misses by $0.07, beats on revs; guides FY23 FFO in-line; raises common stock dividend by 8.8%

  • Sinclair Broadcast ( SBGI ) reports Q1 (Mar) results, revs in-line; guides Q2 revs below consensus

  • SiteOne Landscape Supply ( SITE ) misses by $0.02, beats on revs

  • Sotera Health ( SHC ) misses by $0.01, reports revs in-line; reiterates FY23 EPS in-line, revs in-line

  • Spire ( SR ) beats by $0.19, beats on revs; narrows FY23 EPS in-line

  • Spirit Aerosystems ( SPR ) misses by $1.43, misses on revs

  • SpringWorks Therapeutics ( SWTX ) misses by $0.08

  • Sprout Social ( SPT ) beats by $0.07, reports revs in-line; guides Q2 EPS below consensus, revs below consensus; guides FY23 EPS above consensus, reaffirms FY23 revs guidance

  • Starbucks ( SBUX ) beats by $0.09, beats on revs; global comps +11%; US comps +12%; reiterates FY23 guidance of +7-9% U.S. comp growth and hitting the higher end of that range globally

  • Stellantis ( STLA ) provides Q1 trading statement; beats on revs; reaffirms outlook; initiates $1.5 bln buyback

  • Super Micro Computer ( SMCI ) misses by $0.08, reports revs in-line; guides Q4 EPS above consensus, revs above two analyst estimate; guides FY23 EPS above consensus, revs in-line

  • The Vita Coco Company ( COCO ) beats by $0.03, beats on revs; guides FY23 revs in-line

  • Timken ( TKR ) beats by $0.20, beats on revs; raises FY23 guidance

  • Trane ( TT ) beats by $0.07, reports revs in-line; guides FY23 EPS in-line, revs above consensus

  • Trimble ( TRMB ) beats by $0.05, misses on revs; guides Q2 EPS below consensus, revs above consensus; lowers FY23 EPS below consensus, raises revs above consensus

  • TTM Tech ( TTMI ) misses by $0.01, misses on revs; guides Q2 EPS below consensus, revs below consensus

  • Turning Point Brands ( TPB ) beats by $0.13, beats on revs; maintains FY23 adjusted EBITDA guidance

  • UFP Industries ( UFPI ) beats by $0.23, misses on revs

  • Unisys ( UIS ) beats by $0.51, beats on revs; reiterates FY23 revenue and profitability guidance

  • United Therapeutics ( UTHR ) beats by $0.15, reports revs in-line

  • Unum Group ( UNM ) beats by $0.22, reports revs in-line; raises FY23 growth outlook for after-tax adjusted operating income per share

  • Varex Imaging ( VREX ) beats by $0.08, beats on revs; guides Q3 EPS in-line, revs above consensus

  • Verisk Analytics ( VRSK ) beats by $0.10, beats on revs; reaffirms FY23 EPS guidance, revs guidance

  • Viavi ( VIAV ) misses by $0.01, misses on revs; guides Q4 EPS below consensus, revs below consensus

  • Welltower ( WELL ) beats by $0.03, reports revs in-line; guides FY23 FFO in-line

  • Western Union ( WU ) beats by $0.09, beats on revs; guides FY23 EPS in-line

  • World Wrestling ( WWE ) beats by $0.02, beats on revs; reaffirms FY23 expectations

  • Workiva ( WK ) beats by $0.10, reports revs in-line; guides Q2 EPS below consensus, revs above consensus; guides FY23 EPS in-line, revs above consensus

  • Yum! Brands ( YUM ) misses by $0.07, beats on revs

  • Yum China ( YUMC ) beats by $0.25, beats on revs, comps of +8%; reiterates FY23 targets

  • Xenia Hotels ( XHR ) beats by $0.03, beats on revs; guides FY23 FFO in-line

News:

  • White House officials say they are open to compromise with House Republicans on debt ceiling, according to the Washington Post

  • Avista ( AVA ) names Kevin Christie as CFO effective May 11, 2023

  • Azure Power ( AZRE ) appoints Sunil Gupta as CEO and Group CFO, effective on July 10, 2023

  • Bristol-Myers ( BMY ) receives European Commission Approval for CAR T Cell therapy Breyanzi for relapsed or refractory large B-cell lymphoma after one prior therapy

  • Coty ( COTY ) announces the renewal of their license agreement with Davidoff

  • Duke Energy ( Progress is seeking to recover costs for the fuel used to generate electricity for South Carolina homes and businesses

  • Eli Lilly's ( LLY ) donanemab significantly slowed cognitive and functional decline in Phase 3 study of early Alzheimer's Disease

  • Emerson ( EMR ) appoints Mike Baughman as CFO effective May 10

  • Galapagos NV ( GLPG ) announces the departure of Bart Filius, President, COO, and CFO

  • GOL Linhas Aereas Inteligentes S.A. ( GOL ) CFO Richard Freeman Lark Jr. has resigned from his positions

  • Guess? ( GES ) announces that Markus Neubrand, currently Group Chief Financial Officer of MCM Worldwide, has been appointed Chief Financial Officer of Guess?, effective August 1, 2023

  • Herbalife Nutrition ( HLF ) announces senior executive leadership changes

  • ImmunoGen ( IMGN ): ELAHERE Demonstrates Overall Survival Benefit in the Phase 3 MIRASOL Trial in Patients with FRa-Positive Platinum-Resistant Ovarian Cancer

  • KAR Auction's ( KAR ) KAR Global announces it is rebranding to OPENLANE

  • Laboratory Corp ( LH ) and Jefferson Health enter strategic relationship

  • Lockheed Martin ( LMT ) awarded a $1.44 bln US Navy contract

  • Marathon Digital Holdings ( MARA ) announces bitcoin production and mining operation updates for April 2023

  • Morgan Stanley ( MS ) discloses SEC investigation update in 10Q filing

  • Murphy USA ( MUSA ) authorizes a new share repurchase authorization of up to $1.5 billion to begin upon completion of the current $1 billion authorization and to be executed by December 31, 2028

  • MYR Group ( MYRG ) announces new $75 mln share repurchase program

  • Nordstrom ( JWN ) to close both of its stores in downtown San Francisco due to crime problems, according to the New York Post

  • Ocwen Fincl's ( OCN ) PHH Mortgage Corporation announced that it has entered into a reverse mortgage subservicing agreement with Finance of America Reverse LLC

  • Pan American Silver ( PAAS ) Reports Additional High-Grade Drill Results From the La Colorada Skarn Project

  • Paycom Software ( PAYC ) announces that its Board of Directors approves initiation of dividend

  • PepsiCo ( PEP ) increases quarterly dividend to $1.265/share from $1.15/share

  • Petrobras ( PBR ) provided update on Bahia Terra production

  • SkyWest ( SKYW ) authorized to repurchase up to $250 million of the Company's common stock

  • Sprout Social ( SPT ) and Twitter announce a continued strategic partnership

  • Stanley Black & Decker ( SWK ) appoints Chris Nelson as COO of the co, and EVP and President of Tools & Outdoor, effective June 14, 2023

  • TechnipFMC ( FTI ) has been awarded a large contract by ExxonMobil Corporation (XOM) affiliate, Esso Exploration and Production Guyana Limited, to supply the subsea production system for the Uaru project

  • Tesla ( TSLA ) resumes long range Model 3 orders at a reduced price, according to Reuters

  • Uber ( UBER ) announces it is expanding UberX Share to Baltimore, Miami, Nashville, Philadelphia, and Washington DC in the coming weeks, with plans to launch even more cities soon

  • Unity Software ( U ) announced the reduction of approximately 600 employee roles

  • Watts Water Tech. ( WTS ) increases quarterly cash dividend 20% to $0.36/share from $0.30/share

  • WestRock ( WRK ) announces it will permanently cease operating its paper mill in North Charleston, South Carolina, on August 31, 2023

  • Zevra Therapeutics ( ZVRA ) announces the acceptance of an Investigational New Drug application by the U.S. 'FDA' to begin a Phase 1 clinical trial of KP1077 in narcolepsy which is expected to provide additional information regarding the optimal dosing regimen

M&A:

  • American Fincl ( AFG ) and American International Group (AIG) have entered into a definitive agreement whereby AFG will purchase Crop Risk Services from AIG

  • Centene ( CNC ) sells Apixio to New Mountain Capital; financial terms not disclosed, expected to be neutral to 2023 adj. EPS

  • Crescent Energy Company ( CRGY ) acquires accretive Eagle Ford bolt-on for $600 mln

  • ITT ( ITT ) announces the acquisition of privately held Micro-Mode Products for ~$80 mln, which closed on May 2

  • KKR ( KKR ) to acquire CoolIT Systems, a provider of liquid cooling systems for demanding computing environments

  • Petrobras ( PBR ) replies to media on sale of its stake in exploratory portion of the Tayrona Block

  • Vale S.A. ( VALE ) clarified divestment of MRN news

Syndicate:

  • Morphic ( MORF ) prices offering of 5,333,334 shares of common stock at $45.00 per share

  • NerdWallet ( NRDS ) files mixed securities shelf offering; also files for Class A and B common stock offering by selling shareholders

  • The Vita Coco Company ( COCO ) files for $200 mln mixed securities shelf offering; also files for 26,585,104 share common stock offering by selling shareholders

IPOs:

  • Expected to Price:

    • Kenvue ( KVUE ): The consumer health unit being spun off by Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) is expected to price its 151.2 mln share IPO between $20-$23.


Gapping Up/Down

  • Gapping up:

    • FRSH +9.3%, LTHM +9.2%, SMCI +8.5%, UIS +8%, MYRG +5.9%, ARWR +5.7%, LFUS +4.8%, PRO +4.6%, KAR +4.5%, BAND +4.1%, CCCS +3.8%, CWH +3.8%, ENLC +3.7%, IPHA +3.6%, EXPI +3.3%, WU +2.9%, YUMC +2.5%, LMAT +2.3%, SPNS +2.3%, GES +2.2%, INTC +2.1%, PAYC +2.1%, VCYT +2%, MTCH +2%, OKE +2%, MCW +1.9%, UNM +1.9%, ATGE +1.8%, GNRC +1.8%, LUMN +1.7%, MUSA +1.5%, BG +1.4%, CZR +1.3%, BFAM +1.2%, APAM +1%, INSP +1%, GOLD +1%, CHK +0.7%


  • Gapping down:

    • SPT -17.8%, MRCY -9.4%, ANDE -8.1%, AMD -7.4%, AMCR -6.7%, MORF -5.1%, SBUX -5%, UFPI -4%, WULF -3.4%, LYG -3.4%, TTMI -3.1%, LIVN -3%, WK -2.8%, PACB -2.7%, JKHY -2.5%, AXTA -2.4%, VOYA -2.4%, NRDS -2.4%, HLN -2.4%, GLPG -2.3%, PEN -2.3%, LSI -2.3%, AROC -2.2%, AFG -2%, FDP -2%, EXR -1.8%, STLA -1.8%, EXPD -1.5%, VIAV -1.5%, MUR -1.5%, HURN -1.4%, DEI -1.4%, SPG -1.3%, ASH -1.2%, SITE -1.2%, NVDA -1.1%, HLF -1.1%, CRK -0.9%, LOPE -0.8%, SWK -0.6%, SKYW -0.5%


Analyst Research (see Upgrades/Downgrades calendar for full list):

  • Upgrades

    • Advanced Micro (AMD) upgraded to Buy from Hold at Craig Hallum; tgt raised to $100

    • Amcor (AMCR) upgraded to Hold from Underperform at Jefferies

    • Amcor (AMCR) upgraded to Overweight from Neutral at JP Morgan; tgt lowered to $10.80

    • BHP Group (BHP) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Goldman

    • CNA Financial (CNA) upgraded to Neutral from Underperform at BofA Securities; tgt raised to $41

    • Cogent Communications (CCOI) upgraded to Buy from Underperform at BofA Securities; tgt raised to $85

    • Globalstar (GSAT) upgraded to Equal-Weight from Underweight at Morgan Stanley; tgt lowered to $0.97

    • HSBC Holdings (HSBC) upgraded to Buy from Hold at Berenberg

    • Marriott (MAR) upgraded to Outperform from Mkt Perform at Bernstein; tgt $204

    • Pearson Plc (PSO) upgraded to Buy from Underperform at BofA Securities

    • Prosperity Bancshares (PB) upgraded to Outperform from Underperform at Wolfe Research; tgt $68

    • Uber (UBER) upgraded to Positive from Neutral at Susquehanna; tgt raised to $48


  • Downgrades:

    • Advanced Micro (AMD) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at BofA Securities; tgt lowered to $95

    • BP (BP) downgraded to Hold from Buy at DZ Bank

    • Clarus Corporation (CLAR) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at BofA Securities; tgt lowered to $10

    • Comerica (CMA) downgraded to Peer Perform from Outperform at Wolfe Research

    • Logitech Int'l SA (LOGI) downgraded to Sell from Neutral at UBS

    • Molson Coors Brewing (TAP) upgraded to Neutral from Underweight at JP Morgan; tgt raised to $64

    • Premier (PINC) downgraded to Neutral from Outperform at Robert W. Baird; tgt lowered to $30

    • Thomson Reuters (TRI) downgraded to Hold from Buy at Canaccord Genuity; tgt raised to $131

    • Viper Energy Partners (VNOM) downgraded to Sector Weight from Overweight at KeyBanc Capital Markets


  • Others:

    • FIGS, Inc. (FIGS) initiated with a Buy at ROTH MKM; tgt $9

    • Installed Building Products (IBP) assumed with a Neutral at BTIG Research

    • Kanzhun Limited (BZ) initiated with an Outperform at Macquarie; tgt $24.10

    • NGM Biopharmaceuticals (NGM) initiated with a Buy at Citigroup; tgt $6

    • TopBuild (BLD) assumed with a Neutral at BTIG Research

    • Weatherford (WFRD) initiated with a Strong Buy at Raymond James; tgt $100


Econ Data:

  • 07:00 ET: MBA Mortgage Applications Index for Apr 29 (Briefing.com Consensus NA; Prior 3.7%)

  • 08:15 ET: ADP Employment Change for Apr (Briefing.com Consensus 142K; Prior 145K)

  • 09:45 ET: IHS Markit Services PMI - Final for Apr (Briefing.com Consensus NA; Prior 53.7)

  • 10:00 ET: ISM Non-Manufacturing Index for Apr (Briefing.com Consensus 51.9%; Prior 51.2%)

  • 10:30 ET: EIA Crude Oil Inventories for Apr 29 (Briefing.com Consensus NA; Prior -5.05M)

  • 14:00 ET: FOMC Rate Decision (Briefing.com Consensus 5.00-5.25%; Prior 4.75-5.00%)

Earnings:

  • Monday (May 1)

    • Morning: AMG CHKP CAN BEN GPN KBR NCLH ON PK SOFI WEC

    • Afternoon: ADUS AL AMRC AMKR ANET CAR AXNX BRX CRC CF CHGG CNO CYH CACC FANG PLOW RE FLS FMC FWRD FCPT HOLX INST INVH JJSF KMT LSCC LEG LOGI MED MGM MSTR MSA NSA NXPI OGS OTTR PDM RMBS SBAC SCI SON SFM SYK TEX TMDX RIG TWO VRNS VRTX VICI VNOM VNO WWD ZI


  • Tuesday (May 2)

    • Morning: ADT AER AGCO ABC AME BP BR LNG CQP CIGI CVLT CMI DORM DTM DD DEA ETN ECL NPO EPD ETRN AQUA EXPD FSS FELE IT GPK HRMY HWM IDXX ITW INCY INMD NSIT IPGP LDOS TREE LGIH MPC MAR MDC TAP MPLX NNN MD PRFT PFE PIPR PINC PEG RGEN QSR RYTM SAGE STNG SEE SUN SYY TROW TRI TRN TRTN UBER ZBRA ZBH


  • Tuesday (May 2)

    • Afternoon: ATGE AMD AFG ANDE ARWR APAM ASH AIZ ATRC AXTA BAND BFAM CZR CWH CCCS CHK CLX CRK DENN DEI EIX ET EEFT EXPI EXR F FNV FRSH LOPE THG HLF HMN HURN INSP JKHY JRVR KAI KAR LMAT LSI LFUS LTHM LUMN MTW MTCH MRCY MLNK MCW MUSA NRDS NMIH OHI OMCL OKE PACB PAYC PEN PECO PRO PRU LUNG RNR SRPT SPG SPT SBUX SMCI UFPI UIS UNM VREX VIAV VOYA WELL WU WK XHR YUMC


  • Wednesday (May 3)

    • Morning: ADNT ALE ASTE AVNS AVDX AVNT AVA GOLD BDC BRY TECH BCRX BLKB EAT BIP BLDR BG CDW CHEF CLH CNDT CRTO CVS DCPH XRAY DBRG DIN DFIN DRVN EMR EL EXC FTS FDP GRMN GNRC ROCK GOGO GFF HBI HSC HZNP INGR IONS JHG KHC LIVN LPX LXP MBUU MTRN MIR MUR NBIX NI PCRX PSN PERI PSX PUMP RDWR RXO SPNS SMG SBGI SITE SHC SR SPR SMP SPWR COCO TKR TT TRMB TPB UTHR VRSK WING WWE YUM


  • Wednesday (May 3)

    • Afternoon: TXG ADPT AEIS ALB ALKT ALLO ALL ATUS AMED AMWL ANSS HOUS APA AMK ATO AVT ACLS BHE BKH CPE CDAY CIVI CTSH CODI CFLT CORT CXW CTVA CCRN CW DEN DHT ESTE ECPG NVST EQIX EQH EQC ETSY ES EVH FPI FARO FSLY FATE FNF FLT FORM ULCC GNK GIL GKOS GL HST HUBS NARI INFN IR NGVT IOSP FROG KW KTOS KLIC LMND LESL MGY MRO VAC MMS MELI MET MTG MKSI MOS MYGN NSTG NFG NE NUS OPK OUT PLMR PGRE PDCE PCOR PSA QGEN QRVO QCOM QDEL QNST RDN RYN O RGNX RELY REZI RVLV RPT RSI RHP SIGI SITM SEDG SRC STAA SRI RGR SUM RUN SYNA TNDM TPIC TRIP TTEC TTMI USPH UDMY UGI OLED UPWK VMEO VSTO HCC WTS WERN WES WMB YELL ZG ZIMV


  • Thursday (May 4)

    • Morning: ACIW GOLF AGIO ATI ALNY AEP BUD APG APTV MT ARNC ARW AUPH BALL BHC BCE BDX BGNE BERY BKI BPMC BWA BV BRKR CAH CG CARS CIM IMOS CCOI CGNX COMM COP CEG DDOG DLX DGII DNB ECVT ESMT ENOV XPRO RACE FOCS FTDR GTES GEL GPRE HAYW DINO HII H IDA INSM IBP NTLA ICE IDCC IMXI ITCI IRM IRWD ITRI ITT JLL KRTX K KTB KYMR LAMR LANC LNTH MAC MTSI MMP MLM MDU MFA MGPI MRNA MODV NTCT NFE NJR NWN NVCR DNOW OCSL OGE OPCH OGN PZZA PARA PH PTON PENN PCG DOC PNW PBI PLNT PLTK PTLO PPL PBH PRMW PWR RCM REGN RITM RCL SABR SBH SRE SHAK FOUR SWK STWD STVN TFX TU TIXT THRY BLD UNIT UPBD VNT VMC WD W WCC WLK WRK WOW XPO XYL ZTS


  • Thursday (May 4)

    • Afternoon: AAON ABCL ACCO ATSG LNT AOSL ALTR AEE AMH AIG COLD AMN APLS AAPL TEAM AVID AZEK BGS BBDC BIGC BILL BIO BL SQ BCC BKNG BMBL CABO CDLX CVNA CHUY CRUS CLFD CWAN CDXS COHU COIN COLL ED CTRA CYRX CWK CYTK DH DRH BOOM DLB DASH DKNG DBX LOCO ENV EOG EXPE FRT FIGS FIVN FND FTNT FOXF FNKO GMED GDDY GT GDOT GDYN HTGC INGN PODD IRTC JAMF LGND LYFT MTZ MATX MGRC MERC MTD MCHP MNTV MPWR MNST MSI MP NCR LASR NOG OSPN ONTO OTEX OPEN OEC PCTY PBA PRDO PLYA POST POWI PRTA KWR QLYS RMAX RRR RDFN RRX REG RGA RLAY RLJ RKT RYAN SEM SHOP SIMO SPXC STEM SG TDC TXRH TMST TVTX TRUP TPC RARE UPLD VCYT VRRM WPM WW XPOF YELP ZETA


  • Friday (May 5)

    • Morning: ACMR AMC AXL AMRX BEP CBOE CNK CNHI ROAD D ENB EPAM ESNT EVRG FLR FYBR FSK FUBO FLGT GTN HUN TILE INSW JCI KOP MGA NMRK OMI PBF PAA PNM PRLB QRTEA SSP SHO CI TAC TWST WBD



Asia & Europe detail:

Asia: Nikkei CLOSED, Hang Seng -1.2%, Shanghai Composite CLOSED

Equity indices in the Asia-Pacific region ended Wednesday on a lower note while markets in China and Japan were closed for holidays. Markets in China will reopen tomorrow while Japan will be closed through the end of the week. South Korea's Finance Minister Choo acknowledged that aggressive tightening is increasing volatility in financial markets while Bank of Korea Governor Rhee said that it is too early to talk about a policy pivot. Reserve Bank of New Zealand Deputy Governor Hawkesby said that the Kiwi labor market remains strong after the release of solid Q1 employment figures. Bank Negara Malaysia raised its policy rate by 25 bps to 3.00% against expectations for no change.

  • In economic data:

    • India's April Nikkei Services PMI 62.0 (expected 57.0; last 57.8)

    • Australia's March Retail Sales 0.4% m/m (expected 0.3%; last 0.2%). April Services PMI 53.7 (expected 52.6; last 48.6) and April AIG Manufacturing Index -20.2 (last 5.6)

    • New Zealand's Q1 Employment Change 0.8% qtr/qtr (expected 0.4%; last 0.2%), Q1 Unemployment Rate 3.4% (expected 3.5%; last 3.4%), and Q1 Participation Rate 72.0% (expected 71.7%; last 71.7%). Q1 Labor Cost Index 0.9% qtr/qtr (expected 1.0%; last 1.1%); 4.5% yr/yr (expected 4.6%; last 4.3%)


---Equity Markets---

  • Japan's Nikkei: CLOSED

  • Hong Kong's Hang Seng: -1.2%

  • China's Shanghai Composite: CLOSED

  • India's Sensex: -0.3%

  • South Korea's Kospi: -0.9%

  • Australia's ASX All Ordinaries: -1.0%

---FX---

  • USD/JPY: -0.8% to 135.48

  • USD/CNH: -0.1% to 6.9224

  • USD/INR: +0.1% to 81.77

Europe: DAX +0.8%, FTSE +0.3%, CAC +0.7%

Major European indices trade on a mostly higher note while Spain's IBEX (-0.2%) underperforms. Unicredit and BNP Paribas reported better than expected quarterly results while Lufthansa affirmed its outlook for the year. Automaker Stellantis reported 14% growth in Q1 revenue. French Finance Minister Le Maire said that the French economy remains resilient despite ongoing protest.

  • In economic data:

    • Eurozone's March Unemployment Rate 6.5% (expected 6.6%; last 6.6%)

    • France's March government budget deficit EUR54.70 bln (last deficit of EUR50.30 bln)

    • Italy's March Unemployment Rate 7.8% (expected 8.0%; last 7.9%)


---Equity Markets---

  • STOXX Europe 600: +0.4%

  • Germany's DAX: +0.8%

  • U.K.'s FTSE 100: +0.3%

  • France's CAC 40: +0.7%

  • Italy's FTSE MIB: +1.3%

  • Spain's IBEX 35: -0.2%

---FX---

  • EUR/USD: +0.3% to 1.1038

  • GBP/USD: +0.3% to 1.2507

  • USD/CHF: -0.4% to 0.8890


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